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Show overview
City Council Special Meeting
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Monday, August 13, 2018
5:30 PM · Council Chambers, 135 E. Sunset Way, Issaquah WA
Watch on YouTube ↗
Agenda PDF ↗
Minutes PDF
Transcript .txt
Topic tracked across meetings:
Amending Financial Policies to remove the Ad Hoc Long Term Financial Committee
AB 8353
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City Council Special Meeting · Aug 13, 2018
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City Council Regular Meeting · Mar 21, 2022
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Next: City Council Regular Meeting · Mar 21, 2022 ▶
Agenda · 5 items
Transcript · 3,589 segments
Minutes
2. FINANCIAL RETREAT
2a
Financial Performance [50 min.]
2b
Current Debt Review [10 min.]
2c
Long-Term Financial Model [90 min.]
2d
Financial Indicators [20 min.]
2e
Current Revenue Sources [10 min.]
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3589 segments
.txt ↗
0:15
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good evening and welcome to the Monday
0:19
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August 13th City Council's special
0:22
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meeting and we're going to meet hot this
0:25
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is purpose of this meeting is told a
0:27
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financial retreat we're discussing
0:29
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financial performance current debt
0:31
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review long term finance model financial
0:34
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indicators and current revenue sources
0:36
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so with that we'll get started
0:41
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Thank You council president Mart's
0:44
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welcome everyone tonight it's in a
0:47
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nutshell everything financial and so
0:49
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this is sometimes for finance
0:53
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departments this is our most exciting
0:55
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time is when we can have the
0:57
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conversation and go through information
0:59
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number by number I'm just kidding so
1:03
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we're going to be talking tonight about
1:05
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a number of different pieces of
1:07
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financial information we've provided the
1:10
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2017 year-end report we've also have a
1:14
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2018 mid-year report due to some
1:17
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staffing transition we would typically
1:19
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have a quarterly report to the council
1:21
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to give you financial performance
1:23
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however tonight we're going to be
1:25
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talking about that mid-year or some
1:27
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often refer to it as second quarter of
1:29
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the year so we're doing this in
1:33
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anticipation of our budget development
1:35
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cycle for 2019 this is to give a
1:39
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perspective on where we've been how
1:41
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we've performed and also to talk about
1:45
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some planning going forward you'll note
1:48
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in the information that the key section
1:51
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of the book is the financial model this
1:53
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is an item that the ad hoc long-range
1:56
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financial committee has been working on
1:58
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and as directed by the City Council
2:02
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looking at ways to help with our
2:05
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financial stability as the council
2:07
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addresses transportation issues in the
2:09
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community so with that there are
2:13
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certainly projects that are identified
2:15
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in the 2018 2022 capital improvement
2:20
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plan
2:21
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that document is not included in here it
2:23
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is a separate resource that's available
2:24
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for the community as well as a council
2:28
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on our city website so with that we're
2:32
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going to be talking about a number of
2:34
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topics in my cover memo I alluded to
2:37
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what those agenda items would be and so
2:42
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that is financial review of the how we
2:44
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have performed retrospective reports
2:47
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we'll talk about where our existing debt
2:49
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is just so that everyone can gain an
2:52
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understanding of what it looks like talk
2:54
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about the financial model and the
2:56
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assumptions that were used as well as
2:58
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some example scenarios that were
3:01
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discussed by the ad hoc committee and
3:03
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then we'll review some indicator
3:05
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information this is a tool that was
3:06
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created last year to help us pave the
3:09
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way with understanding what warning
3:11
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trends we might want to be monitoring
3:13
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these indicators are not are not in it
3:17
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in their entirety all the indicators
3:19
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that a community might look at but we're
3:22
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starting with trying to understand how
3:24
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our financial condition might change
3:27
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should the council make a decision and
3:29
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then we'll be talking about funding
3:31
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sources both existing as well as there
3:34
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are some new source opportunities it's
3:36
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not intended as you can see the time
3:38
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allotted to funding sources or revenue
3:41
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sources because this is something that
3:44
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as part of our budget development we'll
3:47
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continue to have discussions on
3:50
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alternative revenue sources and then of
3:53
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course other major projects that are not
3:55
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included in the CIP so with that I
3:59
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wanted to start on some financial
4:02
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performance so I wanted to go into the
4:06
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information and take a look at 2017 this
4:10
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year-end report this does start on what
4:14
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I think you have in your packet as page
4:16
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1 but is the 2017 year and report budget
4:19
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versus actual so overall the general
4:26
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fund
4:28
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pretty robust ending fund reserves tax
4:32
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revenues were strong in 2017 our
4:36
↗
development revenue we saw increases and
4:39
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we had general fund expenditures come in
4:41
↗
5% below
4:42
↗
the budgeted amounts that were
4:44
↗
authorized by the City Council our
4:46
↗
utility operating our utility enterprise
4:50
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funds are very strong as well in good
4:53
↗
financial shape the one thing I did want
4:56
↗
to note is that these are reports budget
4:59
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versus actual these are different from
5:01
↗
the formal audit of our financial
5:03
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statements the finance department is
5:05
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anticipating the state auditor's office
5:07
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will be with us on-site for the audit
5:09
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fieldwork in September and they will be
5:12
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formalizing then those financial
5:14
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statements and the council will be
5:15
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invited to those sessions as well to to
5:19
↗
see financial statements from a
5:20
↗
different view but I wanted to talk
5:24
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about with some highlights with regards
5:26
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to revenue expenditures and our fund
5:28
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balance the primary revenue sources in
5:31
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the general fund are taxes and what we
5:33
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call charges for goods or services so
5:35
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these are other fees that that we charge
5:38
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other entities residents and customers
5:43
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these sources are about 82% of the
5:47
↗
general fund and we had revenues for
5:52
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2017 exceed our our 2017 target of
5:58
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revenue the final revenue budget was set
6:01
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at almost 47 million we received 109
6:05
↗
percent of that or about 51 million in
6:07
↗
revenue sources the reason that we or I
6:15
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should back up a little bit about the
6:17
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revenue targets in 2017 the council did
6:21
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authorize some amendments and those
6:22
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amendments from the starting original
6:24
↗
budget in 2017 ended about four point 1
6:29
↗
million dollars upwards primarily due to
6:32
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the fund accounting shifts that that we
6:34
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did in 2017
6:36
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one of the biggest reasons for some of
6:38
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the what we call the fund accounting
6:40
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cleanup was because we shifted sales tax
6:42
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into the general fund and then the
6:45
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council through their budget decides
6:48
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where that money goes so instead of
6:50
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splitting it up and being confusing we
6:53
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wanted to show specifically all sales
6:56
↗
tax in one place and then you decide
6:58
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what to do with it into other funds the
7:02
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sales tax was very it's the largest
7:04
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source of revenue for the general fund
7:07
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we received about fourteen point seven
7:10
↗
million dollars and we were around
7:12
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ninety nine percent of our estimated
7:14
↗
receipts we collected all of these
7:18
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retail sales tax along with all of the
7:21
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different types of sales tax the primary
7:23
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or the or the large part of our sales
7:26
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tax comes from retail sales we also have
7:29
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a strong showing of construction sales
7:32
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tax as well and that came in at 17% this
7:36
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is because construction is and continues
7:38
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to be strong in Issaquah we also have
7:42
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another type of sales tax just wanted to
7:45
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point that out in the information we
7:47
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don't take a deep dive into the details
7:49
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about sales tax but our accommodation
7:51
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and food services tax has seen an
7:54
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increase increase and this was a 7%
7:57
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increase in 2017 over the same period in
8:01
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2016 so that is something that that we
8:05
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have data on other category of revenues
8:10
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for the general fund is the property tax
8:12
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this is another large source a hundred
8:15
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percent of our tax estimates were
8:18
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collected comes through King County very
8:21
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strong source of funds very stable
8:24
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utility taxes are also a large source
8:27
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for the general fund about 19% of all
8:30
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sources that we received and these come
8:32
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from our collecting of tax on sales of
8:38
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electricity natural gas solid waste
8:41
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water telephone cable television all
8:44
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within the city limits
8:46
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so in 2007
8:48
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we collected about 4.5 million dollars
8:50
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and that was about a hundred and one
8:52
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percent of the the budget targets so
8:55
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we're very pleased to see that our
8:57
↗
targets were that that were getting
9:01
↗
close to what we're forecasting via no
9:04
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attacks is business and occupation taxes
9:06
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on the business activity in Issaquah if
9:10
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the council will recall that there was
9:12
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an increase in sales or the excuse me
9:16
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the be no tax rates we do have another
9:19
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full year of you know taxes coming into
9:23
↗
the city this comes from about three
9:28
↗
thousand eight hundred ninety five
9:30
↗
businesses who filed in 2017 keep that
9:34
↗
in mind that we we do have over 6100
9:38
↗
licensed businesses but not all have to
9:41
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pay B&O tax we had year-end receipts of
9:45
↗
over five million dollars and this was a
9:47
↗
hundred and eight percent of our budget
9:50
↗
forecast again shows a full year of
9:53
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those increased rates adopted back in
9:55
↗
2015 this is a another strong stable
10:00
↗
showing of our business climate and I
10:06
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wanted to talk a little bit about
10:07
↗
development fees these include building
10:10
↗
permit fees engineering services plan
10:12
↗
review inspection services we had a
10:16
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sharp decline in development activity in
10:18
↗
2016 so 2017 development related revenue
10:23
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surged in 2017 a hundred and eighty five
10:27
↗
percent of the revenue target and this
10:30
↗
primary reason was because of the
10:32
↗
conservative estimate at the time of
10:33
↗
budget because we were within or
10:38
↗
involved in the moratorium in place and
10:41
↗
so we wanted to be conservative on that
10:44
↗
budget target however we did have
10:46
↗
projects that still move forward one of
10:48
↗
those was the Gateway Apartments their
10:52
↗
sources of revenue and these are these
10:55
↗
fall into that category of charges for
10:56
↗
good and goods and services is
10:58
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recreation fees
11:00
↗
very positive showing right on target
11:03
↗
with our 2017 projections of about 2.2
11:07
↗
million dollars then we go into our
11:09
↗
public safety fees so these are for jail
11:11
↗
services and we received about 1.5
11:17
↗
million dollars received of the 1.9
11:21
↗
million dollar target this coming in
11:25
↗
under the revenue target was primarily
11:28
↗
because of the number of guaranteed beds
11:32
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being reserved by local jurisdictions
11:34
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then we have our final revenue source of
11:39
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fines and forfeitures of about 220,000
11:43
↗
this came in way over target this is a
11:46
↗
this is different cult one to predict is
11:48
↗
fines in fees because you don't know
11:50
↗
when someone's not going to comply with
11:53
↗
law so this is just one that I wanted to
11:57
↗
show and also comment on difficult to
12:00
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predict on the expenditure side then
12:04
↗
again the general fund expenditures in
12:07
↗
2017 were under budget
12:09
↗
the general fund includes levels of
12:12
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service for police and fire protection
12:15
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planning community development economic
12:18
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development Parks and Recreation and
12:20
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general government administrative and
12:21
↗
financial services all that comes from
12:23
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the general fund yes sorry before you
12:25
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get too far into that can I ask a
12:26
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question around revenues and I'm
12:28
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actually sort of looking ahead at page
12:30
↗
four but you know as I look at major
12:34
↗
outliers you talked about building
12:37
↗
permits and I'm so much I completely
12:39
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understand so we were at two hundred
12:41
↗
ninety six percent of projected and that
12:45
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was with a moratorium for the whole year
12:47
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so how did how did that how did we get
12:52
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there you talked a little bit about a
12:55
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couple of things that were ongoing
12:56
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through the moratorium but I guess how
12:58
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do we make sure in 2018 that we get a
13:03
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more accurate number because he had a
13:04
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total two and a half million bucks total
13:05
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which is the largest share of the sort
13:08
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of difference from what was projected
13:15
↗
so for 28 for 2017 or I should I should
13:19
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back up development fees are one of the
13:21
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one of those also somewhat difficult to
13:27
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predict and with a moratorium in place
13:32
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because we wanted to be conservative
13:34
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because it means something at the at the
13:36
↗
end of the day or the end of the year
13:38
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and and the the purpose for the low
13:43
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estimate was was to do just that however
13:46
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there were projects that were in the
13:48
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pipeline that we were aware of and we
13:51
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were monitoring that would continue to
13:54
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move forward and sometimes projects move
13:58
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faster than you anticipate and so
14:00
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keeping up with that that budget target
14:03
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it starts to smooth itself out and in
14:05
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2018 we go through this the same effort
14:07
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of looking at what's in the pipeline
14:09
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what do we expect is is going to happen
14:12
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and in what year and so 18 is set and we
14:18
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all we set revenue targets higher
14:19
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because you know we improved our tools
14:23
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for forecasting those projects but
14:25
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nonetheless we still have new that
14:27
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projects were in the pipeline so as we
14:28
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continued as we start to look at 2019
14:30
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we're doing the same thing is
14:32
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understanding again what do we
14:35
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anticipate coming forward and again that
14:38
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the difficulty of that is is things
14:42
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happen or things get delayed or they or
14:44
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they move a bit faster so it's it's one
14:47
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of those things eventually we start to
14:48
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smooth out and and what we do when we go
14:53
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into forecasting we don't necessarily
14:54
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assume project by project specific but
14:57
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whenever we start to take revenues and
14:59
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increase those based on the general
15:02
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economic inflator so if if that answered
15:06
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your question about us our ISM I was
15:10
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monitoring that but things in the
15:12
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pipeline are difficult to predict where
15:14
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they're going to land revenue wise got
15:16
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it
15:17
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a related question is the other large
15:20
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but the other large differences in
15:22
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miscellaneous revenue was that the
15:24
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changing of accounting and where we put
15:26
↗
things versus other funds or was that a
15:28
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real unexpected windfall may have been
15:32
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this is that's something that we can add
15:34
↗
into the parking lot to get to answer
15:37
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some questions and provide that to the
15:39
↗
council we did have in 2017 some land
15:43
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purchases or that had been anticipated
15:45
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or not and so that's something that we
15:48
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can certainly you know get provided the
15:51
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deep drill down into and to make sure
15:55
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that we're understanding what exactly
15:56
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happened but fund accounting was quite a
15:59
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factor in 2017 to get things planned in
16:03
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the right place
16:03
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and accounted for in the right place
16:05
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because here's why I ask these questions
16:07
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that sort of the overall point is that I
16:10
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mean how wonderful that we brought in
16:12
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more money than we thought were going to
16:14
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and we spent less than we thought and I
16:16
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wish that my budgets from my personal
16:17
↗
finances worked that well they don't but
16:20
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what that does is it drives up our
16:22
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ending fund balance right and then when
16:25
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we go to correct that by spending money
16:27
↗
and this isn't this isn't a problem per
16:30
↗
se but we've seen recently in the
16:32
↗
community confusion about as we go to
16:35
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balance our various funds and keep our
16:37
↗
funds at at the right levels you know
16:40
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that can feel that can get confusing to
16:43
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the public right so in a you know in a
16:45
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perfect world you know we would bring in
16:49
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what we think we're gonna bring in and
16:50
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we'd spend what we think we're gonna
16:51
↗
spend and those and that ending fund
16:52
↗
balance I mean again it's a wonderful
16:54
↗
problem to have oh no we have too much
16:56
↗
money at the end of the year but you
16:58
↗
know at the same time we I think you get
17:01
↗
my point
17:02
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so the extent to which as we get into
17:04
↗
budget season for next year I mean I
17:05
↗
think historically we almost always are
17:09
↗
cautious in our budgets and so we end up
17:11
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spending less than we thought we were
17:13
↗
going to and make more than we thought
17:15
↗
we were going to but I I want to
17:17
↗
understand going forward how that
17:19
↗
relates these conversations about our
17:21
↗
ending fund balance and making sure the
17:22
↗
community understands that when we you
17:25
↗
know we're not running deficits if we
17:27
↗
you know correct acrost our funds
17:29
↗
and and bring you know bringing our
17:32
↗
numbers in line with our long-term
17:33
↗
financial policy so they sent to achieve
17:35
↗
you talked about that further as we get
17:37
↗
into budget season would be helpful
17:38
↗
absolutely and you just alluded to the
17:42
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how you tackle fund balance when your
17:45
↗
reserves are over your target and
17:47
↗
reserves when they're under the target
17:49
↗
and so in your financial policy and
17:51
↗
that's something that the council
17:52
↗
addressed was updating financial policy
17:56
↗
to be very clear on the the reserve
17:59
↗
target moved last year from that 8% to a
18:02
↗
range of 15 to 20 percent policy also
18:06
↗
was very very clear in those sections of
18:08
↗
it that said when the council has more
18:11
↗
revenues and or more reserves and they
18:14
↗
they they want to have in the in their
18:18
↗
butt fund balance then that's where the
18:21
↗
council has to have discussions about
18:22
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how to spend that money that can be done
18:25
↗
at the budget development time same
18:28
↗
thing or it can be done throughout the
18:30
↗
year knowing where you're at if there is
18:33
↗
something that like building permit fees
18:37
↗
that came in way over that's something
18:39
↗
that the administration can start to
18:42
↗
work on to say okay now we have this as
18:44
↗
part of your your budget amendment
18:46
↗
process is to say let's amend the budget
18:48
↗
and then let's use it for something same
18:51
↗
thing in the budget development where a
18:53
↗
council would maybe be under their
18:55
↗
revenue there reserve target is where
18:57
↗
you would in your in your budget then
18:59
↗
want to correct that bring it up and so
19:02
↗
something may not get done in the year
19:04
↗
because you are just going to leave more
19:07
↗
in your ending fund balance to meet your
19:10
↗
financial policies so we will continue
19:12
↗
as we work on the 2019 budget is to
19:16
↗
address the fund balance issue we will
19:19
↗
be talking about that some tonight when
19:22
↗
we talk about the financial model and
19:24
↗
the the assumptions and a pathway
19:27
↗
forward for tackling the transportation
19:29
↗
issue great thanks
19:34
↗
we can keep going I will thank you
19:37
↗
let's see expenditures just want to give
19:39
↗
a brief overview about spending
19:41
↗
appropriation the requirements that the
19:43
↗
City Council authorizes during the
19:46
↗
budget development cycle are typically
19:48
↗
for these major categories their salary
19:51
↗
and benefits just like a business we
19:53
↗
have operating supplies we have cost
19:56
↗
allocations and that's one fun charging
19:58
↗
another fund for some service and then
20:01
↗
we have professional services we have
20:04
↗
capital outlay and I just wanted to just
20:06
↗
make a quick note the capital outlay it
20:08
↗
can be different while it's still a
20:09
↗
capital purchase there's a difference
20:11
↗
between capital outlay and capital
20:13
↗
projects and it's all because of a
20:15
↗
threshold number that policy states and
20:18
↗
then we have transfers from one fund to
20:21
↗
another primarily for capital projects
20:23
↗
or debt service obligations so in the
20:26
↗
information I'm not going to go through
20:28
↗
department detail which starts on page
20:32
↗
six but I just want to generally comment
20:34
↗
about 2017 and our expenditures we had
20:40
↗
expenditures at about 95 percent of the
20:44
↗
2017 budget of 52 million dollars we
20:47
↗
came in about 49 almost fifty thousand
20:50
↗
spent the expenditure allocations were
20:53
↗
amended from the original budget up
20:55
↗
about 5.2 million and this was primarily
20:59
↗
due to again the fund accounting cleanup
21:01
↗
of transactions that we added because we
21:04
↗
we put all the revenue in the general
21:06
↗
fund for sales tax but we also added in
21:09
↗
a transfer out for debt service so it's
21:11
↗
clear that all of that limited general
21:17
↗
obligation bonds that payment comes
21:20
↗
directly from the general fund we also
21:22
↗
had some budget amendments in 2017 that
21:27
↗
were connected to expenditures for the
21:30
↗
talus slide the trader Joe intersection
21:33
↗
improvements central park pad one king
21:36
↗
county roads property purchase the
21:38
↗
Gilman lofts development as well as some
21:41
↗
you know professional services for
21:43
↗
working in our development services
21:44
↗
department the original budget then I
21:47
↗
have listed out the ordinances for the
21:51
↗
the public to note that these changes to
21:54
↗
the budget happened throughout the year
21:58
↗
so then that leads us to fund balance
22:01
↗
and fund balance is basically a measure
22:06
↗
of the of our liquidity and it's
22:09
↗
important to note that this is always a
22:11
↗
forecast of the mount until our
22:12
↗
financial statements are audited so when
22:16
↗
when you're looking at it's kind of like
22:17
↗
reconciling your checkbook because fund
22:19
↗
balance or fund accounting is like
22:21
↗
little checkbooks all the funds has a
22:23
↗
beginning balance you put deposits in
22:25
↗
you write out some checks for some
22:27
↗
expenses and then after each line you
22:30
↗
have an ending fund balance that's the
22:32
↗
same thing that we deal with in fund
22:34
↗
accounting and so that every time we
22:37
↗
take in a deposit and every time we
22:39
↗
spend some dollars on goods or services
22:41
↗
that fund balance changes and so I
22:44
↗
always like to make it be known that the
22:47
↗
the ending fund balance is something
22:49
↗
that we always try to have that that new
22:52
↗
number as we go through record the
22:54
↗
reconciliation process available for
22:56
↗
counsel so the fund balance is it is a
23:00
↗
source of revenue though as we just
23:02
↗
talked about is that when there's a lot
23:05
↗
in reserves you can spend it and when
23:07
↗
there's not a lot reserves you've got to
23:09
↗
put it back there so in 2017 the the
23:12
↗
beginning fund balance was sixteen point
23:15
↗
five million dollars our 2017 revenues
23:19
↗
exceeded expenditures by over 1.5
23:23
↗
million dollars and so that improved our
23:25
↗
2017 forecasted ending fund balance of
23:28
↗
eighteen million dollars now we're
23:30
↗
getting ready to go to through the audit
23:33
↗
fieldwork and so when we get to that
23:35
↗
point at this time of the year were the
23:38
↗
two thousand ending 17 fund balances is
23:42
↗
pretty we're pretty close in that unless
23:44
↗
there's something that we've seriously
23:46
↗
missed and significantly missed but
23:49
↗
there's always a challenge I'm if I were
23:52
↗
to talk about prior
23:53
↗
adjustments we could be here all night
23:55
↗
so 2017 and the fund balance equates to
23:58
↗
about 36% of our 2017 expenditures so
24:03
↗
you can see that when we compare that to
24:04
↗
our target our reserve target of 15 to
24:08
↗
20 percent we have a significant level
24:11
↗
of reserves at 2017 so with that I'm
24:15
↗
going to just point out for those who
24:19
↗
are looking to understand this financial
24:21
↗
report some of the information with
24:25
↗
regards to revenues are summarized and
24:28
↗
show in the different categories on page
24:31
↗
four of the report the 51 million
24:34
↗
dollars taken in and then the next page
24:37
↗
is a summary of expenditures by the
24:40
↗
department showing a 95 percent of the
24:44
↗
amended budget spent or utilized and
24:47
↗
then at the bottom of every fund and
24:51
↗
you'll see this because all funds are
24:52
↗
included in this report so our general
24:55
↗
fund special revenue funds capital
24:57
↗
project funds debt service funds and our
25:00
↗
utility funds and other agency funds are
25:02
↗
all included and you can see the same
25:04
↗
format it's kind of like an income
25:05
↗
statement if you're more familiar with a
25:07
↗
private sector you can see revenues
25:09
↗
expenditures and you can see then the
25:12
↗
impact to the funds balances so there
25:16
↗
you can see the actual revenues over
25:19
↗
expenses were 1.5 million dollars
25:22
↗
beginning fund balance changing from
25:25
↗
balance and an ending fund balance I
25:26
↗
just wanted to point out to the
25:28
↗
designation of fund balance this is a
25:31
↗
Gatsby requirement to note the type or
25:35
↗
the designation of fund balance because
25:37
↗
we can't spend it all we have non
25:39
↗
spindle non spendable items so if you're
25:42
↗
familiar with inventory that's an amount
25:43
↗
that's associated with inventory we
25:45
↗
can't spend it's not cash we have
25:47
↗
restricted dollars because in the
25:50
↗
general fund we do have some dollars
25:52
↗
that are associated with seizure or
25:55
↗
forfeiture dollars and for the police
25:58
↗
department and then everything else is
26:01
↗
unassigned that's to be used at the
26:04
↗
consuls discretion so with that I would
26:10
↗
be happy to answer any questions about
26:12
↗
the 2008 or 2017 year-end report
26:19
↗
questions for my fellow council members
26:25
↗
all right that's our seat well we're
26:27
↗
moving right along then I'm gonna move
26:29
↗
to the 2018 mid-year report this is on a
26:34
↗
page I went too fast I was over clicking
26:36
↗
page 49 again this is a same format I'm
26:44
↗
going to I'll go through again some
26:47
↗
major highlights of this but I just
26:49
↗
wanted to let the council know on page
26:52
↗
49 that again this is a emphasis and
26:56
↗
it's on the general fund it is a
26:59
↗
snapshot of the fund activity prior to
27:02
↗
audit and for 2018 we have no budget
27:06
↗
amendments so this is something that the
27:08
↗
council will be addressing some proposed
27:10
↗
budget amendments coming but this report
27:12
↗
does not include those so for 2018 as as
27:17
↗
we are at the mid-year point we continue
27:21
↗
to have your best reserves our tax
27:23
↗
revenues remain strong the general fund
27:26
↗
revenues are at 48% of budget and
27:29
↗
general fund expenditures are at 45
27:31
↗
percent of budget utilized again utility
27:34
↗
operator operating revenue is strong so
27:41
↗
with that we have that we have the same
27:44
↗
categories of revenue we have received
27:47
↗
about twenty four and a half million
27:49
↗
dollars in taxes again we have our large
27:54
↗
taxes being sales tax B&O tax utility
27:57
↗
tax and property tax there isn't
28:00
↗
anything that is kind of hanging out
28:04
↗
there that that we're seeing that would
28:07
↗
be problematic for us to remain in that
28:10
↗
robust and strong economic cycle here
28:15
↗
property taxes our at the four point six
28:19
↗
million dollars in collection that's
28:21
↗
fifty two percent of what we have
28:24
↗
anticipated and one thing to note about
28:26
↗
property taxes is that we don't receive
28:30
↗
revenues route you know consistently on
28:33
↗
a month-to-month basis this is kind of a
28:36
↗
big windfall in May and a windfall in
28:40
↗
November and then property taxes then
28:42
↗
trickle in so that's why sometimes when
28:46
↗
you see revenues are under or over it
28:49
↗
could be because of other agencies who
28:52
↗
provide that and you might see that in
28:53
↗
the case of shared revenues where
28:55
↗
sometimes from other agencies we don't
28:57
↗
receive that revenue until the third
28:59
↗
quarter or even the end of the year and
29:01
↗
so when you say why are why are we not
29:03
↗
on target there's nothing that alarms us
29:06
↗
with regards to why we wouldn't be
29:09
↗
meeting or exceeding our revenue targets
29:16
↗
any questions on 2018 revenues before I
29:20
↗
jump into expenditures at the moment
29:25
↗
okay well we can go back to any to any
29:28
↗
any question that comes up there I'm
29:34
↗
going to move around my page here oh
29:37
↗
sorry
29:38
↗
councilmember Rey I do have a question
29:40
↗
so you mentioned that property taxes can
29:43
↗
be lumpy that is we get them here and
29:45
↗
there and a little bit in between what's
29:47
↗
the pattern for other sources of taxes
29:50
↗
I'm thinking about sales tax is it a
29:51
↗
linear distribution through the year
29:53
↗
does it skew one way or the other
29:55
↗
you know I'm just looking at these
29:57
↗
things and so is 49% mean we're gonna
30:01
↗
have a 49% year or does it you know do
30:04
↗
we get a Christmas bump for sales tax it
30:07
↗
comes in monthly but there are because
30:12
↗
we have yes the Christmas bump we have
30:13
↗
you know we have the holiday bump but
30:16
↗
there is they're pretty consistent in
30:18
↗
the city of Issaquah so that's that's
30:20
↗
kind of a good thing
30:24
↗
so do we have any ability to have in
30:29
↗
addition to what we've adopted as a
30:31
↗
budget in addition to having our accrual
30:33
↗
do we haven't made near the ability to
30:35
↗
do a projection for well weeks how we
30:37
↗
expect to end the year how that might be
30:39
↗
different than either of those other
30:41
↗
numbers that's what we're starting to do
30:43
↗
is we start to develop the budget
30:44
↗
because it's it's a component of the
30:47
↗
budget development is where we start to
30:49
↗
do those year in projections and so
30:52
↗
certainly that that's something that
30:54
↗
you'll see when we start having those
30:57
↗
conversations but for this reports
30:59
↗
retrospective so we would not have any
31:02
↗
forecasted information here there is
31:04
↗
though in a later part of this report
31:07
↗
some of those projections you see a lot
31:09
↗
of those are kind of they're just
31:11
↗
they're just going up because we are in
31:13
↗
a strong and stable economy and so
31:15
↗
that's that's why we wanted to share
31:17
↗
that in another part here because these
31:20
↗
are budget versus actual and we wanted
31:23
↗
to give you good clear reports on how we
31:26
↗
were performing based on the targets
31:29
↗
that you set for budget
31:31
↗
okay because if I mean if this includes
31:35
↗
this includes July then on revenues you
31:41
↗
know I would if it was evenly spaced and
31:44
↗
there wasn't a big Christmas bump then
31:46
↗
I'd expect to be at you know 56.7% not
31:50
↗
48 percent and this is as of June I see
31:53
↗
okay feel better
31:58
↗
all right so expenditure overview like I
32:01
↗
indicated there have been no budget
32:05
↗
amendments that have been considered by
32:07
↗
the council those are coming for your
32:08
↗
September 4th meeting the budget
32:11
↗
amendments that were anticipating are a
32:14
↗
little over almost 900,000 of some
32:17
↗
staffing and benefits that the Council
32:19
↗
of it has addressed and there's agenda
32:20
↗
bills and in the budget amendment that
32:22
↗
you'll see we reference the agenda bill
32:25
↗
where you were already seeing the ask
32:31
↗
of the administration and then we have
32:34
↗
some coming up reauthorization requests
32:39
↗
for the general fund and then we also
32:42
↗
will be looking at a very very small
32:47
↗
donation that came in for the Senior
32:49
↗
Center and then there's a there's a an
32:52
↗
exact offsetting expenditure to utilize
32:55
↗
those monies in 2018 so that's what
32:59
↗
that's what we're anticipating and again
33:02
↗
will be further conversations about that
33:05
↗
in September that leads us to again I
33:13
↗
might sound like a broken record but we
33:15
↗
have a 2018 identified or a target
33:22
↗
general fund beginning balance of 18
33:26
↗
million dollars right now revenues are
33:29
↗
exceeding expenditures and so when you
33:33
↗
compare a very very small revenue
33:39
↗
revenues under expenditures from the
33:41
↗
budget side on the planning side and
33:43
↗
where we're at now because we we aren't
33:46
↗
matched with the revenues at 50 percent
33:48
↗
and expenditures at 50 percent we're
33:51
↗
seeing that right now revenues are over
33:54
↗
expenditures and so we have a fund
33:56
↗
balance of about 19 million dollars as
33:59
↗
of June 30th now again checkbook balance
34:02
↗
changes every time we add money and we
34:04
↗
pay bills so that that dollar amount has
34:08
↗
already changed again we do have
34:13
↗
significant balance though over the
34:16
↗
council's financial reserve policy of
34:18
↗
the 15 to 20 percent proportion on 40%
34:24
↗
at this point right yes we are on page
34:28
↗
I'm just gonna refer to well we're
34:32
↗
actually from a from the calculation the
34:37
↗
percentage of expenditures because we
34:39
↗
have 19 million dollars and we
34:41
↗
of only 23 million dollars of
34:44
↗
expenditures out yes so we are at the
34:47
↗
50% target but if you do the math on
34:49
↗
what we've actually spent - what we you
34:52
↗
know would have were around the 80 plus
34:55
↗
percent but yeah yeah these are
34:59
↗
snapshots these snapshots you wouldn't
35:01
↗
compare the end of the year to a
35:02
↗
half-year gives you there - but it's
35:05
↗
still you know even if we were to take
35:07
↗
this number and compare it to any sort
35:09
↗
of projection to the end of here it's
35:11
↗
gonna be something like forty percent
35:12
↗
yeah I can't remember right so kind of
35:18
↗
along those lines it's almost the same
35:19
↗
question I asked on revenue but
35:21
↗
unexpensive I mean dude did we see some
35:23
↗
ik underruns in first few quarters that
35:29
↗
we would not expect to see the same
35:31
↗
under-run in the second two quarters
35:33
↗
that is are they are they are there
35:36
↗
things that for instance let me just use
35:38
↗
it for instance if we had some salary
35:41
↗
savings in the first two quarters and we
35:42
↗
filled the positions we would not have
35:44
↗
those salaries savings in the second two
35:45
↗
course do we have any data that gives us
35:47
↗
some indication about will this trend
35:50
↗
continue or will we see ourselves
35:52
↗
bumping back up to the budgeted level
35:54
↗
well when I what I'm seeing is that
35:58
↗
there may have been if there are some
36:00
↗
delays in some projects or studies to
36:03
↗
get underway for 2018 that had been
36:06
↗
identified in any of the departments if
36:09
↗
those had been delayed for any reason
36:11
↗
then you would see you would see some
36:14
↗
that are you know under their budget but
36:17
↗
then if they've if they've gotten these
36:19
↗
these these projects on your weight and
36:22
↗
then we're gonna see that smoothing out
36:24
↗
and and utilizing their budget now that
36:26
↗
doesn't mean that they're there could be
36:28
↗
you know something else that creates a
36:30
↗
hurdle for departments to spend what
36:33
↗
they had anticipated but we would want
36:36
↗
to then capture that in any budget
36:38
↗
amendment if it was going to be
36:39
↗
significant so there isn't anything
36:41
↗
that's that's out there that is cause
36:44
↗
for concern with regards to you know not
36:48
↗
getting to our expenditure targets but
36:51
↗
we'll be knowing that
36:52
↗
and again because we're going through
36:54
↗
the projection process through the
36:55
↗
budget development departments are
36:57
↗
working with the budget analysts to
36:58
↗
anticipate what they are they're going
37:01
↗
to be spending throughout the remainder
37:04
↗
of the year and so that's an ongoing
37:06
↗
work that's happening now councilmember
37:12
↗
winters time thank you yeah and do we
37:15
↗
keep track of any other non accounting
37:17
↗
balances such as headcount like budget
37:20
↗
versus actual like we expected to have
37:22
↗
so many we got this many your question
37:26
↗
was on headcount yeah it's like it's a
37:28
↗
non accounting balance sure
37:31
↗
I mean we're we you know we had a
37:35
↗
budgeted number of FTEs so it could it
37:38
↗
be possible I mean if get this this
37:40
↗
budget versus actuals you know we you
37:42
↗
know we have a budget we have an actual
37:44
↗
variance if that's something that can
37:47
↗
easily be provided to supplement this
37:50
↗
information and obviously we don't have
37:51
↗
it tonight but I think that maybe next
37:53
↗
time you know we we sit down for a real
37:56
↗
budget meeting if that's easy to get and
38:00
↗
I'd like to see that thank you I
38:01
↗
appreciate that we and we'll put that in
38:03
↗
the in the in our parking lot and get
38:05
↗
that information as we have those
38:07
↗
additional conversations for a budget
38:09
↗
thank you all right is there any other
38:16
↗
questions about the 2018 mid-year review
38:21
↗
it appears not thank you all right so
38:26
↗
let's move on to a look at our our
38:31
↗
current debt I do want to point out that
38:34
↗
council member rate asks some questions
38:37
↗
thank you very much and there was a
38:40
↗
revised page that was provided because
38:44
↗
the charts were flipped and so when
38:48
↗
you're looking at the second page of the
38:51
↗
the debt review and I'll grab the page
38:53
↗
number here 196
38:57
↗
you'll note that the chart in the in the
39:00
↗
packet of information that went with the
39:04
↗
unlimited general obligation debt
39:07
↗
obligations should have gone below with
39:10
↗
the limited general obligations but I
39:12
↗
think we can we can all see and I'll
39:15
↗
talk quickly about what this information
39:18
↗
means so the city of Issaquah has a
39:23
↗
triple-a bond rating and this is through
39:26
↗
Standard & Poor's this is because we
39:29
↗
have healthy reserves as well as a
39:33
↗
significant level of debt capacity so
39:35
↗
you could issue a lot of debt there's
39:38
↗
not a lot of cities in Washington to
39:40
↗
have a triple-a rating and so we
39:43
↗
maintain that rating as we stay current
39:47
↗
on our mark and conditions and we
39:50
↗
contract with a bond advisor to help us
39:53
↗
with how the marketplace is tolerating
39:57
↗
the potential for bond issuance I just
40:00
↗
wanted to provide the council with a
40:03
↗
note about the low interest rates and
40:08
↗
what a current trend that's in place is
40:11
↗
that we instead of going out for these
40:15
↗
more formal bond issuance it really
40:19
↗
depends on the bond issue size of it and
40:21
↗
you know everything that goes into that
40:23
↗
but the the trend is that we would go
40:26
↗
out and solicit a bid from privately
40:28
↗
from banks and we got we're getting very
40:31
↗
favorable rates so for example when we
40:33
↗
issued the last portion of the park
40:34
↗
bonds last year that was that was great
40:39
↗
rates under 2% so we're still looking at
40:43
↗
favorable rates not necessarily at 2%
40:45
↗
but that's just something that we we
40:48
↗
find out when we go and ask for requests
40:50
↗
for bids just clarification really quick
40:53
↗
but you've explained that to us before I
40:56
↗
want to make sure I understand that
40:57
↗
instead of go really go into a market
40:59
↗
place we just found a single private
41:01
↗
buyer I just I just tried to Reese a
41:04
↗
what I think I heard you say yes
41:06
↗
that's correct we we go out and solicit
41:08
↗
yeah you said a general bond issuance so
41:10
↗
they're a marketplace someplace where
41:12
↗
there may where people we don't even
41:14
↗
know show up and maybe want part that's
41:17
↗
correct but this is when we're just
41:19
↗
going to one individual or institution
41:20
↗
in this case and they're trying to make
41:25
↗
sure it was clear we we offer it out to
41:27
↗
any bank who wants to wants to provide a
41:30
↗
quote mm-hmm so and so it's it's
41:33
↗
different it's it's less expensive and
41:35
↗
time-consuming there are still all of
41:37
↗
the regulations and rules around around
41:40
↗
issuing debt but what that does is that
41:43
↗
it allows for banks to see that you know
41:47
↗
we might be a good fit in their
41:48
↗
portfolio and that's why we get those
41:50
↗
favorable rates so the information
41:55
↗
provided in this in the debt review
41:57
↗
shows where we at we're at at the end of
42:01
↗
the year for 2017 where we have assessed
42:04
↗
valuation of all properties in the city
42:06
↗
of Issaquah then what it shows there is
42:09
↗
that we have some certain kind of debt
42:11
↗
capacity and that's at that
42:12
↗
two-and-a-half percent of assessed value
42:14
↗
so we have debt capacity for certain
42:16
↗
types of levying and certain certain
42:19
↗
purposes from a capacity standpoint so
42:22
↗
you can see we have total capacity of
42:24
↗
that 800 million part of that then comes
42:29
↗
into play when the council issues konso
42:31
↗
manic or non voted on debt that means
42:34
↗
not having to go to the to the voters to
42:36
↗
ask if you can issue debt so that comes
42:40
↗
into play where we have to be under a
42:42
↗
different assessed evaluation limit so
42:46
↗
you can see that showing there that we
42:48
↗
have statutory than debt limits are set
42:50
↗
then we remove the outstanding debt that
42:54
↗
we have we have 8.1 million in council
42:58
↗
Manek bonds out there as well as other
43:02
↗
debt for the that excess levy and parks
43:06
↗
and open spaces are both voted on levies
43:09
↗
and so we we total outstanding debt as
43:13
↗
of the end of 2007
43:15
↗
is about 25 million dollars we have
43:18
↗
about eight hundred and seventy eight
43:20
↗
thousand dollars as of the end of 2017
43:24
↗
in our debt service funds you would say
43:26
↗
we don't have enough to cover that
43:27
↗
that's the amount to pay the annual
43:29
↗
payment because we receive tax dollars
43:32
↗
into these funds and then we pay the
43:33
↗
debt service out for those folded pieces
43:36
↗
so you can see our debt capacity is
43:39
↗
quite large in the bottom blue line what
43:43
↗
I wanted to also provide for the council
43:46
↗
just so that you could see a perspective
43:49
↗
of our annual debt service this is this
43:52
↗
is our current obligations of the
43:55
↗
council Manek debt at over two million
43:57
↗
dollars every year and we have then the
44:01
↗
excess levy the voters approved and our
44:05
↗
current year debt obligation is a little
44:08
↗
over 1.7 million dollars I just wanted
44:11
↗
to put in a perspective that the council
44:14
↗
Matic bonds or our debt service is about
44:16
↗
four percent of our general fund current
44:20
↗
year expenditures so oftentimes that's
44:23
↗
something that we get asked to say well
44:26
↗
what's what's the percentage of debt as
44:28
↗
as compared to our total expenditures so
44:31
↗
we're at about four percent so I think
44:38
↗
it'd be useful to understand not today
44:43
↗
but in future meetings how that compares
44:46
↗
with comparable cities
44:48
↗
how does Redmond look how does Kirkland
44:51
↗
look as we consider options that would
44:54
↗
take on additional debt for in for
44:57
↗
infrastructure and transportation it'd
44:59
↗
be really good to understand like we
45:01
↗
know we're in a great place with ending
45:02
↗
fund balance right that 4% Seifer
45:04
↗
present' I don't have anything to
45:05
↗
compare that to okay we will do that
45:07
↗
thank you
45:11
↗
all right the next page then if you take
45:15
↗
the amended report you can see visually
45:18
↗
that our our our unlimited geo bonds or
45:26
↗
those are the the bonds that had voter
45:28
↗
approval that those those amortization
45:31
↗
schedules run out about one
45:34
↗
one-and-a-half our that's at one point
45:35
↗
seven out to about two thousand twenty
45:38
↗
six and then we start to drop down so
45:40
↗
that's the that's the bond payment
45:42
↗
starts to go down principal and interest
45:43
↗
as we then run out in those bonds mature
45:47
↗
in 2033 then we if we compare then and
45:53
↗
what kind of we'll be talking about this
45:54
↗
when we talk about the financial model
45:56
↗
the the the graph that depicts our
45:59
↗
limited geo obligations this is the
46:02
↗
council Manek bonds you can see that
46:04
↗
we're we have a debt service payment of
46:06
↗
about two million dollars well very
46:08
↗
quickly we're gonna start to drop and so
46:11
↗
in 2019 2020 we're starting to see our
46:16
↗
obligation annually drop half a million
46:18
↗
dollars and so eventually we would have
46:21
↗
we have no debt and so this is something
46:25
↗
that I wanted to show and depict this
46:27
↗
way that we would we would start here
46:31
↗
then and when the council starts to make
46:33
↗
a decision about debt issuing debt to
46:37
↗
see how that would change and and there
46:40
↗
is a picture of that when we are getting
46:42
↗
into some of our assumptions and in the
46:44
↗
model the questions on our current debt
46:50
↗
and again the revised page was sent out
46:54
↗
to counsel prior to just just right
46:56
↗
before the meeting so it looked like a
47:00
↗
quizzical look but no hands if a council
47:03
↗
member hunt
47:07
↗
so the debt obligation for the non
47:12
↗
booted on his flat for a longer than or
47:17
↗
the voted debt and so I'm just so my
47:21
↗
question is why why is that difference
47:23
↗
in the rates so much later for the non
47:27
↗
voted debt if I'm under said that is
47:31
↗
it's the annual payment and so our
47:33
↗
annual payment based on the bond
47:35
↗
amortization schedule it was just
47:38
↗
designed in that way so our our payments
47:42
↗
go down about a half a million dollars
47:46
↗
over the course of the next three or
47:49
↗
four years and so we we essentially
47:52
↗
would not have a debt payment and so
47:54
↗
that flat line is it's just a depiction
47:58
↗
of the the payment each year year over
48:00
↗
year right okay but all that's the
48:03
↗
question maybe slightly differently have
48:05
↗
we have we exercised non voted more
48:08
↗
recently than voted like these are the
48:11
↗
schedules you know it's just there
48:13
↗
appears to be more I mean if we look at
48:19
↗
our debt service is comparable between
48:23
↗
voted and non voted at the moment but
48:25
↗
the total outstanding there's much more
48:30
↗
voted in than there is non voted in
48:33
↗
and yet the voted in drops faster well
48:39
↗
the voted in drops faster in I'm just
48:42
↗
trying to because the we just issued it
48:49
↗
just issued the last piece of the park
48:52
↗
bonds and so that is that is also
48:55
↗
included in our annual payment for the
48:58
↗
voted in bonds and that's that is the
49:02
↗
structure of the repayment of the bonds
49:06
↗
so I'm not sure if I have an answer to
49:09
↗
say why one is more than the other
49:12
↗
the council has has not issued any
49:14
↗
councilmen
49:15
↗
debt for quite a long time
49:19
↗
and so that's why you see basically no
49:22
↗
no debt obligation but the council
49:25
↗
didn't or the or the community voted to
49:29
↗
or the excess levy and so therefore that
49:32
↗
that was a bigger amount of money so
49:35
↗
it's just the chart that's backwards it
49:38
↗
wasn't corrected here okay
49:40
↗
it was I thought it was corrected in
49:42
↗
this version okay not corrected in the
49:44
↗
book version okay I totally get it okay
49:47
↗
I thought this was the correct oh my
49:49
↗
apologies okay now that was played why I
49:51
↗
was utterly can was that why you were
49:53
↗
confused several people that was why
49:55
↗
they're confused so the correction it
50:01
↗
that was in the original printed fiscal
50:03
↗
forecasting book if you take the the two
50:06
↗
charts they were flipped so it was a
50:08
↗
copy-paste this is good so the the
50:11
↗
charts are they're correct they were
50:13
↗
just under the wrong categories so this
50:16
↗
is the corrected one no this is not the
50:21
↗
corrected one there was an amendment
50:28
↗
after what added so thank you there in
50:31
↗
the ninety cents yeah
50:36
↗
can you could you go back there to make
50:40
↗
it larger
50:41
↗
not larger make it smaller to do show
50:43
↗
the comparison there we go yes this is
50:49
↗
the correct one that's remember winters
50:53
↗
time don't leave Tina second to be a
50:56
↗
master the document you go back to page
51:00
↗
103 of the today's packet
51:07
↗
and it's it's it was just a thing
51:10
↗
there's just a page before where we were
51:12
↗
and it's the debt review current-gen
51:17
↗
it's the the outstanding line less debt
51:23
↗
outstanding geo bonds there is no longer
51:31
↗
okay this is not which page number its
51:39
↗
page 95 of the original packet you going
51:44
↗
up right there
51:48
↗
so the yeah so midway through that table
51:53
↗
less debt outstanding you see about 8.1
51:58
↗
and counsel Matic 7 7 and XS parks and
52:02
↗
open space 9 what those are as of when
52:06
↗
those are as of 12:30 1 2017 okay okay
52:13
↗
all right okay I see that date there
52:14
↗
okay that was oh I see that date jumps
52:17
↗
out at me because I was looking I was
52:19
↗
comparing those two hour those are the
52:21
↗
exact same amounts they were at the end
52:22
↗
of September 2017 as well I was just
52:26
↗
because I was looking I know I had that
52:28
↗
in front was looking at to see what we
52:29
↗
actually had counsel Matic bonds and for
52:31
↗
I'm not sure where I can't recall if top
52:33
↗
my head what we're using the council
52:35
↗
Matic bond for so I looked at the old
52:37
↗
budget that I noticed these numbers are
52:38
↗
exactly the same because we we know
52:40
↗
because we have the we have the
52:42
↗
amortization and so we know what the
52:45
↗
outstanding debt is at the end of every
52:49
↗
year so it's something that we could see
52:51
↗
that we would have the same amount for
52:55
↗
you if the report said June 2017 we know
52:59
↗
what our ending debt would be at the end
53:01
↗
of the year and so I think we can do it
53:03
↗
better we can clarify that better that
53:05
↗
that this is this is based on the
53:07
↗
amortization schedule so it wouldn't
53:10
↗
change it just so happens that those
53:11
↗
amounts exactly match as of September
53:14
↗
30th to 7 2017 as well we knew what
53:18
↗
those we knew what those balances were
53:20
↗
so we should we should have noted that
53:22
↗
they that they were the balances
53:23
↗
identified for 2000 at the end of 2017
53:27
↗
the report was just dated September and
53:31
↗
it wasn't the outstanding bonds as of
53:33
↗
September it was as of the end of the
53:35
↗
year 2017 ok maybe actually said yeah it
53:38
↗
says September 30th okay thank you
53:49
↗
any more questions on the depth review
53:55
↗
actually I did sorry it was what do we
53:58
↗
what's that's inside that on council
54:01
↗
have we issued a council Matic bond so
54:03
↗
the current bonds for council annek
54:05
↗
bonds are paying for what well the cons
54:09
↗
of matic bonds off the top my head they
54:14
↗
were for there's a variety of reasons
54:21
↗
for there was some police and we're
54:24
↗
pulling that up now what will that we
54:26
↗
might want to get that back to the
54:27
↗
council so we can get you that accurate
54:29
↗
information there's a number of debt
54:32
↗
issuance you know what during the 2018
54:33
↗
budget I found it here Highlands Park I
54:36
↗
can answer my own question here there is
54:39
↗
2006 2007 2009 and 2014
54:42
↗
oh there's some 2014 Highland Park
54:46
↗
facilities all right so it was under our
54:48
↗
watch hmm hey thank you some of us over
54:53
↗
you are off the hook
54:55
↗
shall we proceed any other questions
54:57
↗
nope nope all right all right okay so
55:01
↗
let's talk up a little bit about
55:02
↗
long-term financial model this is on
55:07
↗
page 97 of the original packet so as we
55:14
↗
as we talk about incorporating long term
55:18
↗
council long term goals and financial
55:21
↗
strategies we wanted to provide a way to
55:24
↗
look at not only where we've been
55:27
↗
historically and and if some of you
55:30
↗
remember because the financial models
55:32
↗
and a little bit different format
55:33
↗
because it was it was it was big sheets
55:37
↗
big spreadsheets and a lot of
55:39
↗
information and so we wanted to
55:40
↗
synthesize this down into a way that we
55:44
↗
could quickly have a conversation about
55:46
↗
where's our baseline where's our
55:48
↗
starting point and if we do a B C or D
55:51
↗
how does it look
55:53
↗
and so we've integrated some potential
55:58
↗
general fund debt service obligations
56:00
↗
for projects that are
56:02
↗
and in the CIP this is something that
56:04
↗
the ad-hoc committee has been working on
56:07
↗
to help the administration present this
56:10
↗
information in a way that would be
56:12
↗
useful for decision-making and so this
56:15
↗
is a financial model is a living
56:18
↗
document so when a decision is made
56:20
↗
we're gonna update the model and we're
56:22
↗
going to then you know continue to
56:25
↗
provide this as a decision-making tool
56:27
↗
because it identifies the revenues that
56:31
↗
we anticipate expenditures that that we
56:35
↗
expect and then that impact on an ending
56:37
↗
fund balance and so we we look to do a
56:40
↗
conservatively objective measure of our
56:45
↗
our forecasts because we just didn't
56:47
↗
want to be too optimistic so the model
56:51
↗
provides a baseline scenario and I'll
56:54
↗
walk through those assumptions here in a
56:55
↗
little bit it was based on an analysis
56:59
↗
of our historical and current financial
57:02
↗
environment revenues operating and
57:05
↗
capital expenditure forecast our current
57:08
↗
debt and potential debt and then we look
57:11
↗
to do some affordability analysis and
57:13
↗
that's and I'll talk about that in the
57:15
↗
financial indicator section but again
57:18
↗
this model is updated routinely and the
57:22
↗
ad hoc committee had some dis of great
57:25
↗
work and had some good discussions about
57:29
↗
putting together scenarios for how we
57:33
↗
start to tackle primarily our
57:34
↗
transportation issues so the next page I
57:38
↗
want to just briefly cover the
57:42
↗
assumptions that were used in our
57:44
↗
financial model what you'll see this is
57:47
↗
on page 97 I want to make sure I'm given
57:51
↗
the right page number 98 excuse me
57:57
↗
so our assumptions are where we start
58:00
↗
with at the baseline we used an
58:03
↗
assumption for general economic growth
58:05
↗
for revenue unless otherwise noted and
58:08
↗
so we use 3% for most of the scenarios
58:11
↗
with the exception of scenario D we also
58:15
↗
then going down the rows use specific
58:17
↗
revenue assumptions for economic growth
58:19
↗
and you might see that some might be the
58:22
↗
same and you might say why be a no tax
58:25
↗
we see as increasing 3% it's based on
58:28
↗
the three-year average we wanted to
58:30
↗
segregate that out because it's a major
58:32
↗
source of revenue
58:33
↗
just like we segregated out sales tax
58:35
↗
and property tax and so you might say
58:36
↗
that's just kind of irrelevant but we if
58:39
↗
we wanted to look at a scenario where it
58:42
↗
just had a deep decline it was available
58:44
↗
to do that in a scenario sales tax
58:48
↗
increasing again on a three-year average
58:50
↗
is at a four percent so that's obviously
58:54
↗
more and then you see property tax
58:56
↗
because they're subject to the state law
58:58
↗
and limitations of one percent plus any
59:01
↗
new construction growth and you'll see
59:03
↗
ncg that is what that means new
59:05
↗
construction growth so that's added on
59:08
↗
top of the one percent
59:10
↗
and then we wanted to add in a
59:12
↗
possibility of a new revenue source and
59:15
↗
we put in new revenue because we don't
59:18
↗
know what that is that that is something
59:19
↗
for these future discussions of the
59:22
↗
council on the expenditure side then we
59:24
↗
used a general economic growth for
59:27
↗
expenditures unless otherwise noted we
59:30
↗
talked we we talked about do we just
59:33
↗
have one for both general for revenues
59:36
↗
and expenditures and so we wanted to
59:38
↗
separate it out in case we wanted to
59:40
↗
have a scenario that said revenues we
59:43
↗
don't see any good outlook and
59:46
↗
expenditures are just going to keep
59:48
↗
rising so then we have a specific
59:50
↗
expenditure assumptions and what we did
59:52
↗
in the baseline is what we wanted to
59:53
↗
make an assumption that we had annual
59:56
↗
new staffing for enhanced levels of
59:58
↗
service so we didn't define what that
59:59
↗
level of service was but an enhanced
1:00:02
↗
level of service so new staffing we
1:00:04
↗
wanted to show about three and a half
1:00:07
↗
percent
1:00:08
↗
each year so that we that we were always
1:00:15
↗
assuming that there would be some growth
1:00:17
↗
in FTE they also wanted to put into play
1:00:22
↗
and this is primarily where that some of
1:00:23
↗
the biggest changes come because for
1:00:26
↗
tackling some of the transportation
1:00:28
↗
issues it means issuing debt and paying
1:00:31
↗
a debt service payment and paying a
1:00:33
↗
principal and interest payment and
1:00:35
↗
that's what we were just talking about
1:00:36
↗
what we have in the our current debt we
1:00:41
↗
also included the obligation for the
1:00:43
↗
transit-oriented development and that is
1:00:46
↗
included in the baseline it's also
1:00:49
↗
included in any scenario change that you
1:00:52
↗
see in the line above but we did include
1:00:54
↗
that because that has also been an
1:00:56
↗
obligation that has been already
1:00:58
↗
obligated in some cases in the the 2000
1:01:04
↗
in the baseline the 2018 budget adopted
1:01:08
↗
this does include the those budget
1:01:11
↗
amendments that I talked about earlier
1:01:12
↗
and that is those staffing changes and
1:01:15
↗
the reauthorizations for a couple of
1:01:18
↗
projects one comment I think of probably
1:01:24
↗
many in the annual debt service
1:01:26
↗
obligation as a percentage of the
1:01:27
↗
expenditures in the baseline 4% I think
1:01:30
↗
that should just be clear that this is
1:01:32
↗
we're just talking about council Matic
1:01:34
↗
bonds and this has nothing to do with
1:01:35
↗
any voted in debt this is us just using
1:01:38
↗
existing cash flows and here that's what
1:01:44
↗
has its own restricted funds thank you
1:01:48
↗
for bringing that up because if one
1:01:50
↗
looks at those if you look at the any of
1:01:52
↗
the reports a year on report or the 2018
1:01:54
↗
mid-year report because it has all of
1:01:56
↗
those funds if you were to look at the
1:01:59
↗
the fund for voted in debt those tax
1:02:03
↗
dollars go directly into that fund and
1:02:05
↗
the debt service is paid out it so it
1:02:07
↗
does not touch the general fund
1:02:08
↗
it's the council Manek bonds where the
1:02:11
↗
where the general fund has to transfer
1:02:13
↗
some dollars to that fund so you see a
1:02:15
↗
transfer in and then you see the debt
1:02:17
↗
service going out so thank you for
1:02:18
↗
bringing that up
1:02:20
↗
deputy council president Matisse so
1:02:24
↗
thank Thank You Jen I just had a couple
1:02:27
↗
questions so I can better understand the
1:02:29
↗
assumptions so with the annual new
1:02:32
↗
staffing resources in scenario B which
1:02:37
↗
which would be the economic downturn you
1:02:42
↗
you were still having 3.5% for new
1:02:47
↗
staffing okay and then likewise on
1:02:50
↗
scenario B where there's an additional
1:02:54
↗
source you still have that at 3.5% so
1:02:57
↗
across the board really seeing that in
1:03:00
↗
the assumptions anyway yes we left that
1:03:02
↗
flat because then that would kind of
1:03:04
↗
align with a a more conservative of
1:03:07
↗
objective approach is that we may have
1:03:11
↗
added staff and continued have to add
1:03:12
↗
staff for delivering levels of service
1:03:15
↗
and certainly that that's something in
1:03:17
↗
an economic downturn is that it is it a
1:03:21
↗
short chill is it a long a long term
1:03:24
↗
recession and so there still may be a
1:03:26
↗
plan going forward to continue to add
1:03:29
↗
staff maybe not at that level but it was
1:03:32
↗
it was just a way to show that we
1:03:34
↗
routinely
1:03:35
↗
are continuing to add staff to ensure
1:03:38
↗
that we provide quality levels of
1:03:40
↗
service okay and then the general
1:03:43
↗
economic growth for expenditures is also
1:03:45
↗
at 3% for the economic downturn so just
1:03:49
↗
again flat across with your assumptions
1:03:52
↗
okay I was trying to better understand
1:03:55
↗
that Thanks tell us member winter Stein
1:03:56
↗
I want to pick up on something where I
1:04:00
↗
just said so I'm missing the point about
1:04:02
↗
an economic downturn scenario B as an
1:04:05
↗
economic downturn
1:04:06
↗
adhi well I thought you said B so my
1:04:09
↗
mistake that's how I'm looking at this
1:04:10
↗
and
1:04:16
↗
up above it says scenario B you're right
1:04:18
↗
scenario D we've got to be in a D sorry
1:04:21
↗
okay that it was D that I was talking
1:04:24
↗
about okay thank you so I'm kind of
1:04:31
↗
curious and and maybe this is something
1:04:33
↗
for to bring back but I I think deputy
1:04:37
↗
president batiste is brings up a really
1:04:40
↗
good point which is if we're having an
1:04:42
↗
economic downturn we're probably not
1:04:43
↗
adding 3.5% in staffing and I'm curious
1:04:49
↗
to see what would happen to that that
1:04:51
↗
chart if we flattened out both the
1:04:54
↗
revenues and the expenses Oh City
1:05:01
↗
Administrator thank you
1:05:03
↗
we can certainly run that scenario the
1:05:06
↗
purpose of putting together these
1:05:08
↗
scenarios was to just create some
1:05:11
↗
bookends so that you can see under one
1:05:15
↗
changing condition what sort of effect
1:05:18
↗
does that have on the whole so that is
1:05:22
↗
why you see staffing assumption
1:05:26
↗
remaining constant across the scenarios
1:05:28
↗
we just want to adjust one variable so
1:05:30
↗
in this case we were adjusting the
1:05:32
↗
revenue side of the equation and
1:05:34
↗
scenario D so that you can just see that
1:05:37
↗
impact but council members are are
1:05:40
↗
correct under real-life conditions we
1:05:44
↗
would make other adjustments to make
1:05:47
↗
sure that we balanced out this is just
1:05:49
↗
for painting a picture of what happens
1:05:51
↗
if you have less revenue but you keep
1:05:55
↗
other things constant
1:06:02
↗
deputy council president patís Thank You
1:06:06
↗
Emily so that was really the purpose of
1:06:10
↗
my questions so with assumption modeling
1:06:12
↗
that way you're as you're trying to look
1:06:15
↗
across you're able to compare apples to
1:06:17
↗
apples Thanks it comes from Winchester
1:06:23
↗
thank you I think before we move off
1:06:27
↗
this page those that didn't have the
1:06:29
↗
opportunity that the rest of us did in
1:06:32
↗
committee to review this this is really
1:06:35
↗
the time to challenge some of the
1:06:37
↗
assumptions that we have or at least
1:06:38
↗
understand them I'd say maybe not at
1:06:40
↗
this point let's really make sure we
1:06:42
↗
understand each one of these before we
1:06:44
↗
move on and I know that some of the
1:06:48
↗
things that we wrestled with in
1:06:49
↗
committee where you can like the head
1:06:52
↗
count for example I think the original
1:06:54
↗
proposal was just a fixed number and we
1:06:56
↗
said no let's do it as a percent we
1:06:59
↗
thought that that would would be a
1:07:00
↗
better model and then and then this idea
1:07:05
↗
scenario a was was everything in the
1:07:11
↗
transportation TI p but we funded
1:07:13
↗
ourselves we don't go ask for any
1:07:15
↗
dollars all the unfunded portion of the
1:07:17
↗
transportation TI p we just we its
1:07:20
↗
existing revenues we find our savings
1:07:23
↗
somewhere else we know we're going to
1:07:24
↗
get some back because our debt
1:07:25
↗
obligation is going to go down but this
1:07:27
↗
was a scenario we just pay for it no no
1:07:30
↗
ask of the people of for anything and
1:07:32
↗
then B was no I'll just take half of it
1:07:36
↗
thinking was what let's let's use our
1:07:42
↗
existing revenue to fund half of the
1:07:47
↗
unfunded transportation projects because
1:07:50
↗
some of the transportation has funding
1:07:51
↗
associated or we and we're forecasting
1:07:53
↗
getting grant money and other sources of
1:07:55
↗
money but there is an unfunded component
1:07:57
↗
and I would just recommend I always keep
1:07:59
↗
an electronic copy of the the CIP budget
1:08:01
↗
at hand so I can always look at those
1:08:03
↗
real quickly so I think that's very
1:08:05
↗
handy to do so be said let's just do
1:08:08
↗
half let's just fund half of that
1:08:10
↗
outstanding balance and maybe just maybe
1:08:12
↗
we'll get some projects under our
1:08:14
↗
and and demonstrate to ourselves that we
1:08:17
↗
can do this and we can do it well and
1:08:19
↗
then maybe maybe that would be a time
1:08:22
↗
where we go back out and ask the voters
1:08:25
↗
to fund the balance of the unfunded half
1:08:29
↗
and that's what C represents so funny is
1:08:35
↗
fun at all don't ask for any new B is
1:08:39
↗
without any new revenue fun half of the
1:08:42
↗
unfunded balance and and C goes out and
1:08:45
↗
asks the people for the revenue for the
1:08:49
↗
other half of the unfunded balance does
1:08:51
↗
that make sense those are the scenarios
1:08:57
↗
thanks Paul that's helpful
1:08:59
↗
cops remember Ramos just for me the
1:09:02
↗
scenario D and I know what you're trying
1:09:04
↗
to say
1:09:04
↗
I mean trend only change one thing but
1:09:07
↗
as you said the realistic part of it is
1:09:10
↗
hard to look at it because if you just
1:09:12
↗
assume everything may the expense side
1:09:14
↗
just keeps growing but you just cut your
1:09:16
↗
revenue you know that just wouldn't be
1:09:18
↗
realistic so I find a hard time now you
1:09:21
↗
say it's comparing apples that was to me
1:09:23
↗
it changed at Apple to an orange so then
1:09:25
↗
looking at that with the other without
1:09:27
↗
making adjustments there which you we
1:09:30
↗
would have to do it it doesn't give me a
1:09:32
↗
good comparison that way so I guess the
1:09:35
↗
challenge on the two columns there of
1:09:37
↗
growth of expenditures 3% and the three
1:09:40
↗
and a half percent growth of staffing it
1:09:44
↗
makes it look like a lot worse than it
1:09:48
↗
probably would councilmember hunt
1:09:53
↗
thank you so I have a question about the
1:09:57
↗
new construction growth and assessed
1:09:59
↗
valuation that is held constant across
1:10:03
↗
the model right
1:10:06
↗
and then how how is that factored in
1:10:09
↗
with the model so it's 1% plus new
1:10:13
↗
construction growth in assessed
1:10:16
↗
in the financial model what we identify
1:10:20
↗
is a 1% growth in the property of
1:10:24
↗
property tax that is not the same actual
1:10:28
↗
growth in assessed valuation and so the
1:10:32
↗
the 1% is what we calculate as being our
1:10:36
↗
our limit based on those forecasts for
1:10:39
↗
assessed valuations based on our growth
1:10:42
↗
our growth projections and so then the
1:10:45
↗
new construction value is is not a
1:10:48
↗
static number that's also going up based
1:10:52
↗
on our historical growth in new
1:10:54
↗
construction I think some of the the
1:10:57
↗
numbers are around 280 some thousand in
1:11:02
↗
new construction growth and so that
1:11:05
↗
we've we've taken and we just we
1:11:08
↗
increase that based on our our new
1:11:11
↗
construction growth of about three to
1:11:13
↗
four percent every year but it's there's
1:11:16
↗
there's a lot of detail in into that
1:11:18
↗
line item because it because one it's
1:11:20
↗
not static and the 1% is just based off
1:11:24
↗
of the calculation of our assessed
1:11:28
↗
valuations and you can see and that was
1:11:31
↗
in one of the reports and we've got some
1:11:32
↗
information in our our growth in our
1:11:35
↗
assessed valuations later on in the
1:11:37
↗
report and then I can show you how we
1:11:40
↗
calculate that because we are assuming
1:11:43
↗
that our property valuation this us
1:11:45
↗
about that's just a depiction of that 1%
1:11:50
↗
of that that dollar amounts so I can
1:11:54
↗
answer that question maybe a little bit
1:11:55
↗
later have some of your race so I have a
1:12:00
↗
question and a concern my question is
1:12:02
↗
what we're really trying to do here is
1:12:04
↗
to establish what our realistic new debt
1:12:08
↗
capacity is for capital improvements
1:12:13
↗
using council Matic bonds is that the
1:12:16
↗
intent of what we're driving at here yes
1:12:18
↗
so my concern is we keep talking about
1:12:21
↗
transportation and I don't think we've
1:12:23
↗
ever had a discussion
1:12:23
↗
as counsel about that so I I think that
1:12:27
↗
it's fine as an ie
1:12:28
↗
you know such as investing in the you
1:12:30
↗
know more transportation initiatives but
1:12:32
↗
I don't ever recall us having a
1:12:34
↗
discussion about we're gonna look to
1:12:35
↗
invest much more in transportation than
1:12:38
↗
we are right now so this could be other
1:12:40
↗
capital investments as well as
1:12:42
↗
transportation less your mark fair okay
1:12:49
↗
so noted I'm something of a wintry Stein
1:12:54
↗
I'm gonna go back to what Vicki asked a
1:12:58
↗
second ago I'm gonna stick bet with the
1:13:00
↗
new construction growth I want to make
1:13:05
↗
sure I have this correct so there's new
1:13:07
↗
construction in 2018 and we're going to
1:13:10
↗
there's going to be some assessment of
1:13:12
↗
that value they're gonna be charged a
1:13:15
↗
property tax and we're gonna we're gonna
1:13:18
↗
get that in 2018 now that property in
1:13:22
↗
its assessed value in 2019 will go into
1:13:27
↗
the pool that has a limited growth of 1%
1:13:30
↗
so so this so where it says and say if
1:13:35
↗
so one percent plus ncg that ncg at one
1:13:39
↗
year is into the 1% pool maximum growth
1:13:42
↗
the next year so every subsequent year
1:13:46
↗
the new construction growth goes goes
1:13:48
↗
into the pool where it's limited there's
1:13:49
↗
no limit to the new construction growth
1:13:51
↗
because we don't we they've never been
1:13:52
↗
taxed before there's no this is the
1:13:54
↗
first assessment on some improvement on
1:13:56
↗
the property the first year's assessment
1:13:59
↗
it's got a value okay now that becomes
1:14:01
↗
part of the assessment pool that we have
1:14:03
↗
limited growth in in subsequent years so
1:14:06
↗
it's you're nodding your head I think
1:14:07
↗
that's that's important thank I mean
1:14:11
↗
thank you for acknowledging my statement
1:14:14
↗
of understanding deputy council
1:14:16
↗
president impetus I just in in regard to
1:14:21
↗
feedback on the assumptions one thing
1:14:25
↗
that I was pleased to see is that when
1:14:26
↗
we're we're talking about
1:14:29
↗
the staffing resources that were also
1:14:32
↗
listing enhanced levels of service that
1:14:34
↗
to give us an opportunity that if we're
1:14:37
↗
talking about that that we're talking
1:14:40
↗
about what level of service we want to
1:14:43
↗
have and something that we I I think you
1:14:46
↗
know that we talked about during the
1:14:47
↗
last budgeting session in terms of what
1:14:51
↗
are the levels of service that we're
1:14:52
↗
focusing on
1:15:01
↗
any other questions or comments at the
1:15:03
↗
moment alright let's proceed okay thank
1:15:07
↗
you next page is really a key age in
1:15:17
↗
most of this report because it's a chart
1:15:20
↗
and it has the what for this discussion
1:15:26
↗
purposes was to show all of the baseline
1:15:30
↗
ending fund balance and this is general
1:15:33
↗
fund how the ending fund balance is for
1:15:37
↗
is forecasted so the baseline scenario a
1:15:41
↗
scenario B scenario D so what happens
1:15:43
↗
then to the ending fund balance forecast
1:15:47
↗
when we lay it all over into one chart
1:15:51
↗
and so what I wanted to point out is is
1:15:54
↗
just some of the colors to show that
1:15:58
↗
with the baseline you can see that the
1:16:02
↗
purple ending fund balance starts at
1:16:07
↗
they're all starting at the same point
1:16:09
↗
starts at the just below 20 million
1:16:12
↗
dollars and pretty much skyrockets
1:16:15
↗
because one of the main reasons is there
1:16:20
↗
would be no more debt that would be
1:16:22
↗
issued because you can see in the
1:16:23
↗
assumptions we're assuming additional
1:16:26
↗
staffing we're assuming expenditure
1:16:28
↗
growth at 3 percent we're assuming
1:16:30
↗
revenue growth at 3 percent some a
1:16:32
↗
little bit higher sales tax and so you
1:16:36
↗
can see that this is a the purple line
1:16:39
↗
is a very positive picture doing only
1:16:43
↗
those things that are in the baseline
1:16:44
↗
now that doesn't mean that we've
1:16:46
↗
identified specifically but we've we've
1:16:48
↗
identified a level of assumptions that
1:16:50
↗
we would move forward with I want to
1:16:53
↗
jump over and then talk about the
1:16:57
↗
scenario a which is the orange line and
1:17:05
↗
this is the exact opposite because this
1:17:07
↗
is what I think was referred to and we
1:17:09
↗
were talking about in our ad-hoc
1:17:11
↗
committee as the apocalypse and so you
1:17:13
↗
can see that ending fund balance
1:17:15
↗
starting at just under twenty million
1:17:16
↗
dollars goes severely downward into the
1:17:21
↗
negative realm and so I just wanted to
1:17:24
↗
give you both ends where we've got
1:17:27
↗
baseline and we've got scenario a I just
1:17:31
↗
wanted to then point out the green lines
1:17:33
↗
in between are the council's reserve
1:17:36
↗
policy so you see the dark green is
1:17:39
↗
where the ceiling for your reserves are
1:17:44
↗
identified in policy and then the light
1:17:46
↗
green is the floor so that's the 15% of
1:17:50
↗
those expenditures so you can see that's
1:17:51
↗
that's kind of our target so we've got
1:17:56
↗
the as a scenario that identified if we
1:17:59
↗
tackled every piece of the unfunded
1:18:04
↗
transportation projects in the CIP that
1:18:09
↗
we would not have enough not enough
1:18:12
↗
money in our ending fund balance in
1:18:14
↗
order to accommodate so that that is
1:18:16
↗
just not a sustainable scenario then we
1:18:19
↗
go into scenario B and that is the blue
1:18:23
↗
line and you can see that the blue line
1:18:26
↗
does dip down in a few years primarily
1:18:30
↗
because we have existing council Matic
1:18:33
↗
debt we still have a payment but as you
1:18:35
↗
can see in that in the amended graphed
1:18:38
↗
for the debt that that was provided you
1:18:42
↗
can see that that debt those debt
1:18:44
↗
obligations were going down and so what
1:18:47
↗
the blue line depicts is that we
1:18:49
↗
continue to pay that debt if the council
1:18:51
↗
chooses to issue debt for tackling some
1:18:55
↗
projects we would dip down into our
1:18:58
↗
reserves to do that all things being the
1:19:02
↗
same in the assumptions but then we
1:19:04
↗
would start to come back up because
1:19:05
↗
again existing debt obligations drop off
1:19:08
↗
but what this shows is that this it's
1:19:10
↗
about a two point one two point five
1:19:14
↗
million
1:19:14
↗
our annual debt service and so basically
1:19:16
↗
what this scenario shows is that we're
1:19:18
↗
going to continually have about that
1:19:21
↗
level of debt service about that four
1:19:24
↗
percent five percent of expenditures
1:19:26
↗
towards debt obligations console Matic
1:19:29
↗
bonds so that's the blue line that
1:19:33
↗
scenario see then was a scenario that
1:19:36
↗
added in a source of revenue to help
1:19:38
↗
either offset and remove some of the
1:19:43
↗
obligation of the general fund but you
1:19:45
↗
can see the yellow line is pretty close
1:19:49
↗
to the baseline because the assumptions
1:19:51
↗
showed about 1 million in the first year
1:19:56
↗
and then kind of ramping up to about a
1:19:58
↗
two million dollar revenue source that
1:20:01
↗
would help to offset the general fund
1:20:03
↗
paying the debt obligation so that again
1:20:06
↗
is a is an upward movement and does not
1:20:09
↗
impact or or dip into our reserve
1:20:14
↗
targets and then we have the scenario D
1:20:18
↗
which was to show that revenues would be
1:20:21
↗
declining but our expenditures would
1:20:24
↗
remain the same also shows that we would
1:20:27
↗
go into an unsustainable mode and that
1:20:31
↗
certainly as administrator moon
1:20:34
↗
indicated is that yes the reality would
1:20:36
↗
be that the council would be reacting to
1:20:39
↗
offset and reduce expenditures should
1:20:42
↗
the revenues decline but this was a way
1:20:45
↗
to depict the scenarios to give try to
1:20:49
↗
give a good clear understanding about if
1:20:51
↗
if there was one scenario versus another
1:20:54
↗
and so I would like to hear feedback and
1:20:58
↗
certainly questions of the council
1:20:59
↗
councilmember we're just not thank you
1:21:01
↗
two questions
1:21:02
↗
do you recall why did we start scenario
1:21:07
↗
C when we did it looks from this it's
1:21:13
↗
almost like next year but I mean that
1:21:18
↗
wouldn't be we wouldn't do that right it
1:21:20
↗
would be a couple years down the road
1:21:23
↗
rather than so immediate
1:21:26
↗
assumptions showed in the assumption
1:21:28
↗
that serves 1 million two million so it
1:21:30
↗
showed an example of and to look at the
1:21:34
↗
start of the year that we wouldn't have
1:21:37
↗
we wouldn't just you know it wouldn't be
1:21:39
↗
a start at the beginning of the year
1:21:40
↗
calendar year and all of a sudden we we
1:21:42
↗
knew we were gonna have two million
1:21:44
↗
dollars that's why I have the million
1:21:45
↗
two to show that we would not have a you
1:21:48
↗
know that full source of revenue well
1:21:50
↗
I'm just saying from this these numbers
1:21:52
↗
right here see tracks with the baseline
1:21:55
↗
immediately and it seems to me the new
1:21:58
↗
revenues would more likely kick in see
1:22:01
↗
should track with B for a number of
1:22:04
↗
years before the new revenue kicks in so
1:22:08
↗
so I basically it looks like we're
1:22:10
↗
taking some new revenue almost
1:22:12
↗
immediately with C I'm just thinking it
1:22:14
↗
was should kick in a little bit later
1:22:16
↗
does that make sense yes
1:22:18
↗
so that was my first question but you
1:22:20
↗
have a response I mean do we provide the
1:22:23
↗
year as to when it actually was when the
1:22:26
↗
scenario C revenues were we're kicking
1:22:29
↗
in it started around if you look about
1:22:31
↗
2022 okay so I would expect that C curve
1:22:38
↗
to take off we should track with the B
1:22:41
↗
curve all the way to 2022 and then start
1:22:44
↗
sloping up rather than starting right in
1:22:48
↗
2018 so that's that I think it would
1:22:49
↗
look a little bit different okay but
1:22:53
↗
think about that I know I fully
1:22:55
↗
understand okay all right all right then
1:22:58
↗
the other question is about that
1:23:00
↗
scenario D it doesn't mcgann it it says
1:23:06
↗
in the assumptions I guess this is this
1:23:09
↗
is supposed to be like a 1-year in 2021
1:23:11
↗
or is this like we go zero looks like we
1:23:14
↗
go zero in 2018 and just stay zero
1:23:17
↗
forever in terms of the general economic
1:23:19
↗
growth and and I wonder see that we
1:23:27
↗
so this this downturn in 2021 doesn't
1:23:31
↗
look like it looks like it's a downturn
1:23:32
↗
starting in 2018 per these numbers that
1:23:35
↗
are in this chart in front of us now so
1:23:37
↗
I'm actually looking at the previous
1:23:38
↗
page and seeing the numbers but looking
1:23:41
↗
at this chart up here so that down and
1:23:45
↗
so and so that is a scenario where we
1:23:47
↗
just have this zero growth forevermore
1:23:51
↗
okay so that's pretty extreme and I'm
1:23:56
↗
not sure this model run even reflects
1:23:59
↗
that oh it does okay it's tracking with
1:24:02
↗
the until 2021 okay and then then it's
1:24:07
↗
just assuming from 2021 onwards we're at
1:24:10
↗
zero okay that one makes it okay now I
1:24:13
↗
get that one because that one's tracking
1:24:15
↗
would be as it should until there's a
1:24:16
↗
turn a downturn okay don't remember hunt
1:24:25
↗
green lines which are the 15% reserves
1:24:28
↗
are in the 20% reserve target those are
1:24:31
↗
the same for all scenarios but in
1:24:34
↗
reality when they also change because
1:24:38
↗
the reserve would change with the
1:24:39
↗
different scenarios well well the reason
1:24:42
↗
that they're that they're going up it is
1:24:43
↗
because it's it's based on the
1:24:45
↗
calculation of the expenditure in that
1:24:47
↗
year and so the data behind this is is
1:24:50
↗
calculating 15% of those expenditures
1:24:53
↗
and those expenditures generally are
1:24:55
↗
going up three percent so the reserve
1:24:58
↗
requirement is going up just as it is
1:25:03
↗
based on on the baseline because they're
1:25:05
↗
all at three percent right so there's no
1:25:07
↗
variability and that one and they're all
1:25:10
↗
at they're all at 15 percent and 20
1:25:13
↗
percent so so one things that's
1:25:18
↗
interesting about this is you know I
1:25:20
↗
feel like this is you know we Jam the
1:25:23
↗
knobs one way and the JEM knobs the
1:25:25
↗
other way and see what it sweeps through
1:25:26
↗
and it's you know it's also thinking
1:25:29
↗
like okay if I add lots of salt no salt
1:25:32
↗
lots of pepper no pepper and in the end
1:25:34
↗
there's give me some combination of salt
1:25:36
↗
and pepper
1:25:37
↗
to make a zesty meal and it seems like
1:25:40
↗
something that sort of qualitatively
1:25:43
↗
looks something like the scenario B
1:25:46
↗
outcome right where you get down towards
1:25:48
↗
some number that is somewhere close to
1:25:51
↗
where our reserve goals are and that's
1:25:55
↗
through some combination of what we take
1:25:58
↗
on council Matic and what we fund with
1:26:01
↗
alternative revenue sources but you know
1:26:04
↗
I'm just sort of doing a spoiler alert
1:26:06
↗
from where I hope we get to down the
1:26:08
↗
road which is something that looks
1:26:09
↗
vaguely like this maybe not
1:26:11
↗
you know quite so beautifully right just
1:26:13
↗
skimming the 15% line but something that
1:26:17
↗
looks kind of like this that brings us
1:26:19
↗
down towards our where we want to get to
1:26:23
↗
with our ending fund balance and that in
1:26:25
↗
terms of it
1:26:25
↗
hockey sticking back up to use a good
1:26:28
↗
Minnesota term later you know we can
1:26:31
↗
figure out how to how to deal with that
1:26:33
↗
as we when when we get to that good one
1:26:36
↗
of the one of those are the good
1:26:37
↗
problems to have thank you that I mean
1:26:42
↗
the the purpose of of the different
1:26:46
↗
scenarios was to do just that is that
1:26:49
↗
was there a pathway forward that was
1:26:51
↗
planned
1:26:52
↗
and then according to financial policy
1:26:55
↗
that the council would be adhering to
1:26:57
↗
that is that you have a planned use of
1:27:00
↗
your resources your reserves and that
1:27:05
↗
you have a plan because when we look at
1:27:07
↗
some of the indicators you would say
1:27:09
↗
well operating deficits are not a good
1:27:11
↗
thing however if there is a plan to go
1:27:17
↗
into the green in this case with the
1:27:19
↗
colors chosen on the graph is that
1:27:21
↗
you're you're doing something and you're
1:27:25
↗
working on issues and this is a
1:27:28
↗
financial depiction of what happens if
1:27:32
↗
you issue new debt and that was
1:27:35
↗
primarily the purpose for coming up with
1:27:38
↗
these the financial model is to try to
1:27:42
↗
tackle
1:27:44
↗
those issues regarding transportation
1:27:46
↗
sure because because I'll just add at
1:27:49
↗
some point having a really high ending
1:27:52
↗
fund balance there's there's a level
1:27:55
↗
beyond which it's it's it's just bad you
1:27:59
↗
know bad public policy right because a
1:28:02
↗
citizen in the city or a business owner
1:28:04
↗
in the city could come to us and say you
1:28:06
↗
know if we were at 60% right or some
1:28:10
↗
some super high number and they're like
1:28:11
↗
why are you raising so much money and
1:28:14
↗
not spending it right like you haven't
1:28:17
↗
all you have options you can take you
1:28:19
↗
know you've got all this extra money you
1:28:20
↗
can spend it or you can just not tax us
1:28:22
↗
and you know collect a little less money
1:28:24
↗
or slow down your rate of growth of
1:28:26
↗
taxing and and do that as well so you
1:28:29
↗
know I do think I have been happy that
1:28:32
↗
I'm happy that we're above the Green
1:28:34
↗
Line but you know I I would love us to
1:28:37
↗
come up with a solution that gets us
1:28:39
↗
back towards our stated goal I feel like
1:28:41
↗
every year we talked about this we
1:28:43
↗
talked about how lucky we are they were
1:28:44
↗
above the line but you know at some
1:28:46
↗
point it would be good to do that like I
1:28:49
↗
said just because residents might feel
1:28:51
↗
like hey you know what one solution is
1:28:53
↗
just not taxes so much and of course
1:28:54
↗
because we have such narrow taxation
1:28:57
↗
mechanisms in this state and it's so
1:28:59
↗
draconian to get money back once you
1:29:01
↗
stop you know once you reduce a revenue
1:29:04
↗
stream we're always careful not to not
1:29:06
↗
to do that but it's but having having
1:29:09
↗
policies that result in a net closer to
1:29:11
↗
our goal I think is is is the is the
1:29:14
↗
responsible thing to do with voters
1:29:16
↗
money other questions oh come of
1:29:21
↗
interest I well just in general I would
1:29:24
↗
say that see you see is the scenario
1:29:28
↗
again if you detach it from 2018 basis
1:29:32
↗
there and reattach it to be around 2022
1:29:35
↗
2023 then that starts to make the most
1:29:38
↗
sense to me and it in it but it banks
1:29:40
↗
upon us us kind of basically earning
1:29:45
↗
some capital in terms of public trust
1:29:47
↗
and what we can do with transportation
1:29:48
↗
we're saying without any additional ask
1:29:50
↗
we're you know we're gonna we're gonna
1:29:52
↗
take the assets we've already collected
1:29:53
↗
and
1:29:55
↗
gonna do some important projects and and
1:29:58
↗
and it's a little bit of a bat that says
1:30:01
↗
and and if we do a good job and we think
1:30:05
↗
we will do a good job then you know
1:30:07
↗
there will be a better climate for us to
1:30:09
↗
go ask for some new funding for the
1:30:11
↗
balance of the unfunded transportation
1:30:14
↗
projects in our CIP that's what that's
1:30:17
↗
what scenario C says and I'm interested
1:30:20
↗
in that scenario at the same time I do
1:30:24
↗
want to take up the conversation that
1:30:26
↗
Chris brought up about other portions we
1:30:29
↗
have other asset classes in our CIP way
1:30:31
↗
of facilities parks trails and
1:30:32
↗
transportation and and I don't know if
1:30:36
↗
we're prepared to have a conversation
1:30:37
↗
about that tonight but there might be
1:30:38
↗
good some get someone out onto the table
1:30:41
↗
to discuss and I'm looking I'm looking
1:30:44
↗
at the the CIP document right now of the
1:30:48
↗
and it goes out for you know into the
1:30:50
↗
future years there's a total of 238
1:30:52
↗
million of unfunded capital
1:30:55
↗
transportation is 161 of that 238 and
1:30:59
↗
parks and trails are a total of 28 out
1:31:02
↗
of that 238 perhaps we've been making an
1:31:06
↗
assumption in this that because we've
1:31:09
↗
been the public has a time and again
1:31:12
↗
shown a willingness to tax themselves
1:31:16
↗
for parks and open space acquisition and
1:31:18
↗
trail related stuff that that as a
1:31:21
↗
policy would be something that we would
1:31:23
↗
expect to do in future years as well
1:31:26
↗
perhaps to cover that on funded portion
1:31:28
↗
of the capital plan which which I don't
1:31:32
↗
know so I'm just putting I don't - I'm
1:31:35
↗
just saying something I want to put any
1:31:36
↗
words anybody's mouth and then and then
1:31:38
↗
the facilities part is all in the future
1:31:41
↗
years which means is out beyond 2022 and
1:31:44
↗
it is it's unfunded Kippur Shin is 48
1:31:47
↗
million so that's significantly that's
1:31:49
↗
twice what the parks and trails is
1:31:51
↗
almost and I'm not as familiar with that
1:31:54
↗
because that's actually roll and roll up
1:31:56
↗
of quite a few of the categories that's
1:31:58
↗
only for asset classes but we have many
1:32:00
↗
more categories than that in our CIP
1:32:03
↗
and I'm not sure we're prepared at all
1:32:05
↗
to have a more in-depth conversation
1:32:06
↗
about that tonight but I think it would
1:32:09
↗
be good to hear if from the
1:32:10
↗
administration on what the thinking
1:32:13
↗
might be about that part of the CIP
1:32:15
↗
because it was it was when we got
1:32:18
↗
together as the Finance Committee ad-hoc
1:32:21
↗
committee it was definitely very strong
1:32:24
↗
direction like let's focus on
1:32:26
↗
transportation it's the biggest part and
1:32:28
↗
it's the one that we don't have a track
1:32:32
↗
record in terms of you know going to ask
1:32:36
↗
for money for being successful we went
1:32:38
↗
for the bond and still got 54% but that
1:32:41
↗
still wasn't successful so and in
1:32:44
↗
feeling also it reflected what we
1:32:46
↗
thought was the most urgent need within
1:32:48
↗
the community and we have a list of
1:32:51
↗
projects that we think would make a
1:32:52
↗
difference so let's put the focus of our
1:32:55
↗
capital and in this whole model on
1:32:57
↗
transportation but I've said what I
1:33:00
↗
think maybe about parks and trails and
1:33:02
↗
what the strategy might be for him
1:33:03
↗
handling the unfunded portion there I'd
1:33:05
↗
like to know what others think about
1:33:07
↗
that and I and I like to hear we'd want
1:33:09
↗
to get some more back on the facilities
1:33:11
↗
part and I think we need to get that
1:33:12
↗
from the administration because I don't
1:33:13
↗
think we've ever talked about that so so
1:33:15
↗
I want to be clear on one thing the a be
1:33:17
↗
that impaneled the ad hoc Finance
1:33:19
↗
Committee acts actually asked us to look
1:33:21
↗
specifically at transportation and
1:33:23
↗
that's why we focused on transportation
1:33:24
↗
having said that here we are today
1:33:27
↗
talking about citywide the bigger issues
1:33:29
↗
and so you know that that's why I had
1:33:32
↗
Hawk focuses with you thank you yeah you
1:33:35
↗
know it's this whole conversation is
1:33:37
↗
gonna be really interesting Paul because
1:33:39
↗
I understand this idea of maybe starting
1:33:42
↗
with council Matic and and you know
1:33:44
↗
building some inertia I also think
1:33:46
↗
there's a there's an alternate and
1:33:48
↗
certainly not gonna solve it here
1:33:50
↗
tonight but there's an alternate thing
1:33:51
↗
that says if you know what you need to
1:33:52
↗
do to start transport to get to address
1:33:54
↗
transportation get cracking right and
1:33:56
↗
use all the tools that are arsenal to
1:33:59
↗
address it right I'm not sure that's the
1:34:01
↗
right way to do it but you know I could
1:34:03
↗
see somebody saying that somebody's
1:34:04
↗
saying look you know we've said
1:34:06
↗
transportations the thing just get going
1:34:08
↗
do everything you can find every nickel
1:34:10
↗
in every cushion in every couch
1:34:13
↗
everywhere and and go do it so it'll be
1:34:16
↗
interesting to figure out how how we
1:34:17
↗
want to how we want to pursue that
1:34:19
↗
Christian did you have something resin
1:34:21
↗
no sorry okay other questions comments
1:34:25
↗
and we're looking for other thoughts all
1:34:33
↗
right
1:34:38
↗
alright I'm just gonna quickly go
1:34:41
↗
through because like I said that this
1:34:43
↗
this page was was probably a page that
1:34:46
↗
we could have just had maybe a smaller
1:34:48
↗
packet and we could have talked
1:34:51
↗
specifically about the model but the
1:34:53
↗
again the this information is intended
1:34:55
↗
to provide you with with a lot of detail
1:34:59
↗
as we go into the the budget discussion
1:35:03
↗
so thank you
1:35:03
↗
council president marks for talking
1:35:05
↗
about will continue the discussions on
1:35:11
↗
revenue sources and capital expenditures
1:35:14
↗
that might be made I want to then jump
1:35:18
↗
to financial indicators because this is
1:35:21
↗
this is where we are getting into kind
1:35:24
↗
of testing how we're doing and so one of
1:35:28
↗
the things that I wanted to point out is
1:35:30
↗
that financial can our financial
1:35:34
↗
condition is obviously something that we
1:35:39
↗
want to make sure that we have the
1:35:41
↗
ability to maintain existing levels of
1:35:44
↗
service and that there are there are
1:35:47
↗
things that impact there are local and
1:35:49
↗
regional economic disruptions that often
1:35:53
↗
get in the way of what we need to do to
1:35:57
↗
meet demands and so what we wanted to
1:36:00
↗
put together and this is the same as
1:36:02
↗
last year but if you remember that these
1:36:04
↗
were the large pages again which we
1:36:06
↗
shrunk these down and pointed out some
1:36:11
↗
retrospective and historical information
1:36:13
↗
about where we've been and I'm going to
1:36:15
↗
talk about each of the the indicators
1:36:18
↗
that we have developed information for I
1:36:21
↗
also just wanted to point out that there
1:36:24
↗
are a number more indicators that are in
1:36:30
↗
that would impact our environmental and
1:36:32
↗
organizational factors that contribute
1:36:34
↗
to our financial condition so that would
1:36:36
↗
answer perhaps comes whenever
1:36:40
↗
winter stands comment about
1:36:43
↗
non-financial and so I just wanted to
1:36:46
↗
make that point that those are in the
1:36:50
↗
overall kind of matrix and I'll walk
1:36:53
↗
through that we're in the process of
1:36:54
↗
compiling this information and just kind
1:36:58
↗
of wanted to let you know that how you
1:36:59
↗
would read the the first page is that
1:37:02
↗
we've done some work on the indicators
1:37:04
↗
one two three six and partial of seven
1:37:07
↗
we continue to add data to our our
1:37:13
↗
master data and will continue to then go
1:37:17
↗
out and look for comparative information
1:37:20
↗
from other communities as well so
1:37:23
↗
nonetheless I wanted to just briefly go
1:37:26
↗
over that our indicators are based on
1:37:29
↗
our baseline right now and certainly as
1:37:34
↗
the council makes decisions then what we
1:37:35
↗
do is we go back and we put that that
1:37:38
↗
forecast or that those those assumptions
1:37:40
↗
of the council or those decisions of the
1:37:42
↗
council in and it serves as a test on
1:37:44
↗
whether or not we're going to be
1:37:46
↗
performing better or worse and helps us
1:37:51
↗
take a a longer look at our financial
1:37:54
↗
condition so what I wanted to point out
1:37:57
↗
on page let's say I'm just trying to get
1:38:00
↗
page numbers here on page 107 of the
1:38:05
↗
packet that just kind of shows that flow
1:38:07
↗
of some of those environmental factors
1:38:11
↗
that impact our financial condition
1:38:16
↗
there's organizational factors and then
1:38:18
↗
there's certainly the financial factors
1:38:19
↗
and we we the easy ones are the
1:38:21
↗
financial factors because we we do
1:38:23
↗
collect data and and we do want to
1:38:25
↗
present it in a way that is helpful for
1:38:27
↗
the council and then you see way up
1:38:30
↗
above you can see those early warning
1:38:32
↗
trends and you can see some of those
1:38:35
↗
early warning trends are and I'll go
1:38:37
↗
through those in the indicators that we
1:38:38
↗
have prepared and and what you would
1:38:42
↗
look for but it's intended to help the
1:38:44
↗
council with decision making
1:38:48
↗
and I have a description of each of the
1:38:50
↗
indicators so if there isn't any
1:38:53
↗
questions about the the overall plan for
1:38:56
↗
putting a tool in place and continuing
1:38:58
↗
to use it I'll go on with the indicators
1:39:02
↗
the first one is revenue per capita and
1:39:05
↗
so examining our revenue per capita and
1:39:09
↗
this is the this is in comparison so per
1:39:11
↗
capita is relative to the change in
1:39:13
↗
population and the rate of inflation and
1:39:17
↗
you can see historically that we have
1:39:20
↗
had increasing net operating revenues
1:39:23
↗
per capita and so you can see at the top
1:39:25
↗
the warning trend would be is that if
1:39:26
↗
they were decreasing because that would
1:39:29
↗
mean is if our revenues were going down
1:39:31
↗
per capita that means that we're not
1:39:33
↗
able to maintain those existing levels
1:39:35
↗
of service we would need to find new
1:39:37
↗
sources of revenue or or certainly ways
1:39:41
↗
to save money on the expenditure side
1:39:43
↗
but it assumes that that the cost of
1:39:47
↗
service is directly related to
1:39:48
↗
population size and so we've put
1:39:51
↗
together the data in the historical
1:39:54
↗
information you can see how the numbers
1:39:56
↗
play out these are actual numbers from
1:39:57
↗
our audited financial statements the the
1:40:01
↗
CPI and then we just we just do the math
1:40:04
↗
and the population then creates that per
1:40:07
↗
capita revenue and you so you can see
1:40:10
↗
that is increasing historically Hausner
1:40:14
↗
would just I'm Thank You Jen what type
1:40:19
↗
of revenue are we talking about this is
1:40:22
↗
just general fund so this is just
1:40:24
↗
general this is just okay we can do we
1:40:27
↗
could do any indicators on the different
1:40:30
↗
types of revenues so if we were going to
1:40:31
↗
look at this from a utility perspective
1:40:33
↗
then you know those would be those rates
1:40:35
↗
and the capital contributions I just
1:40:37
↗
didn't see I thought that maybe it was
1:40:39
↗
but I didn't see any where I know that's
1:40:41
↗
primarily been our context tonight has
1:40:43
↗
been general fund but I didn't I didn't
1:40:46
↗
see that on there say specifically
1:40:48
↗
general fund so thank you for that
1:40:50
↗
tell me about transfers but when we're
1:40:55
↗
talking about the general fund and
1:40:56
↗
transfers what do you what would we be
1:40:59
↗
referring to
1:41:00
↗
what we referred to there is because in
1:41:03
↗
fund accounting one fund transfers money
1:41:06
↗
to another so we also include those
1:41:09
↗
transfer dollars now some you might
1:41:12
↗
think maybe a special revenue fund was
1:41:15
↗
entrace fer some dollars into the
1:41:17
↗
general fund because of some some
1:41:19
↗
condition but we we want to be made
1:41:22
↗
known that we are including transfers in
1:41:24
↗
the the net operating revenues could you
1:41:29
↗
give me an example of this example a
1:41:33
↗
transfer into the general fund yeah
1:41:36
↗
transfer into the general fund could be
1:41:39
↗
from let's just and this is hard because
1:41:44
↗
when we when we did our fund accounting
1:41:46
↗
cleanup we shifted and we created
1:41:48
↗
special revenue funds specifically for
1:41:52
↗
like REIT so for example if you would
1:41:54
↗
have the project that the general fund
1:41:58
↗
was the project was left out of the
1:42:00
↗
general fund so all the transactions
1:42:02
↗
were being you know tracked in the
1:42:06
↗
general fund but there was a source of
1:42:08
↗
revenue that that was going to come from
1:42:10
↗
readers were going to come from another
1:42:12
↗
special revenue fund that we would
1:42:13
↗
transfer in that revenue to tackle that
1:42:15
↗
that one-time capital project so there's
1:42:20
↗
not a lot of transfers that come into
1:42:21
↗
the general fund right we're often
1:42:24
↗
feeding other funds with general funds
1:42:26
↗
so transfers as a percent I mean how
1:42:30
↗
what percent is this above the total
1:42:34
↗
revenue I'm gonna have to get you that
1:42:36
↗
just get apart I don't want to guess
1:42:38
↗
less than five I'm not a guess there one
1:42:40
↗
could we provide that back okay sorry
1:42:43
↗
they just said something which I was
1:42:45
↗
wondering if this was true you said this
1:42:47
↗
it's not common to transfer from other
1:42:50
↗
funds in the general and yet you have a
1:42:51
↗
title to your net operating revenues and
1:42:53
↗
transfers like transfers had some
1:42:56
↗
significance I just wasn't aware of what
1:42:58
↗
that was so there was significance in in
1:43:01
↗
2007
1:43:02
↗
tene because there was a million dollar
1:43:04
↗
transfer from the because of the Malheur
1:43:08
↗
bait property and so there there was a
1:43:11
↗
transfer into the general fund so yeah
1:43:13
↗
transaction that confuses us constantly
1:43:16
↗
it never stops confusing us okay
1:43:18
↗
it is a very complicated project the
1:43:21
↗
purchase okay so so I'm can I'm confused
1:43:28
↗
by this first that first off are these
1:43:31
↗
in real dollars are actual dollars
1:43:34
↗
revenue no I know they're actual dollars
1:43:37
↗
are they in real dollars in other words
1:43:38
↗
have you corrected are these in 2017
1:43:41
↗
dollars all back NPV to current they are
1:43:47
↗
they are real so in what year are they
1:43:51
↗
then are they they're in 2017 dollars
1:43:53
↗
they're in 2013 dollars what are they in
1:43:54
↗
they are the actual for that year these
1:43:57
↗
are the audited financial statement
1:43:59
↗
that's not what I mean by real dollars I
1:44:00
↗
mean for is it corrected for a certain
1:44:03
↗
year's currency because they were
1:44:05
↗
because they were in the past on the big
1:44:07
↗
spreadsheet they were corrected for
1:44:10
↗
inflation basically because otherwise
1:44:12
↗
what I have to do here is I have to take
1:44:14
↗
these numbers then I have to compare it
1:44:15
↗
to the CPI and eyeball it myself right
1:44:17
↗
what you want to do is you want to
1:44:19
↗
divide these numbers out by the CPI to
1:44:21
↗
get real dollars right I think so take
1:44:26
↗
that as an for an offline I believe on
1:44:29
↗
the bricks down the big spreadsheet we
1:44:31
↗
corrected for two things we corrected
1:44:32
↗
for population and then we corrected for
1:44:34
↗
inflation right which should have given
1:44:36
↗
us per capita in real dollars right not
1:44:40
↗
just per capita because the thing that
1:44:42
↗
the thing that I'm confused about and
1:44:44
↗
I'm not ready to be I'm not ready to say
1:44:46
↗
I'm alarmed yet but I thought that at
1:44:49
↗
least before last year the big chart
1:44:51
↗
showed is essentially flat in revenues
1:44:53
↗
more or less in revenues per capita in
1:44:55
↗
real dollars over time and this the the
1:44:59
↗
first three years of this chart is
1:45:01
↗
anything but right the the actual
1:45:04
↗
operating revenue goes up 19.4% the
1:45:07
↗
operating revenues transfer per capita
1:45:09
↗
goes up by 17 percent meanwhile the CPI
1:45:11
↗
only goes up by three point eight
1:45:13
↗
percent I don't think that's what
1:45:15
↗
previous years what we call the big
1:45:17
↗
chart showed I think it showed over a
1:45:19
↗
reasonable length timeline that those
1:45:22
↗
numbers were flat because if those
1:45:23
↗
numbers aren't flat then it means that
1:45:26
↗
the cost of governance in the city is
1:45:27
↗
going up even even taking into account
1:45:30
↗
the fact that we get economies of scale
1:45:33
↗
and some of our operations right some of
1:45:35
↗
the things we do we can do with a larger
1:45:37
↗
population that's harder to do with a
1:45:38
↗
smaller population so you should at
1:45:40
↗
least be staying flat in that kind of a
1:45:43
↗
measure and it was in the big in the big
1:45:45
↗
chart that we did in previous years but
1:45:47
↗
it's not here so again I don't want to
1:45:50
↗
say I'm alarmed yet but I want to say I
1:45:52
↗
absolutely need to understand better
1:45:54
↗
corrected for real dollars corrected for
1:45:56
↗
inflation so so again divided by
1:45:58
↗
population divided by inflation so that
1:46:01
↗
we see what the real cost of governance
1:46:03
↗
is over time so these are these are
1:46:06
↗
revenues just revenues mm-hmm so I think
1:46:10
↗
we can take a deeper dive than in on
1:46:12
↗
your your view of last year as compared
1:46:18
↗
to this year well the big chart that we
1:46:20
↗
did did it for like 10 years right we
1:46:22
↗
looked you have to be careful just
1:46:24
↗
looking for three or four years right
1:46:25
↗
you have to you have to take sort of
1:46:27
↗
when we did it before we looked at a
1:46:29
↗
longer timeline so you smoothed out sort
1:46:31
↗
of local variations because you can get
1:46:33
↗
little local blips that'll make things
1:46:35
↗
look weird but both revenues and
1:46:38
↗
expenditures in per capita real dollars
1:46:42
↗
were essentially flat and that's what
1:46:44
↗
made me comfortable with a lot of the
1:46:46
↗
things we were doing this was two years
1:46:48
↗
ago the conversation because it made me
1:46:51
↗
say I could go to a resident in the city
1:46:53
↗
and say the cost of government for you
1:46:55
↗
isn't any worse you know the cost of
1:46:57
↗
government for your yeah we're in any
1:47:00
↗
worse for you than it was 10 years ago
1:47:01
↗
right if I can't say that then I have to
1:47:05
↗
ask myself a whole bunch of questions
1:47:09
↗
that I want to have to ask myself about
1:47:11
↗
the way that we're choosing to generate
1:47:14
↗
and spend money and that was the whole
1:47:17
↗
purpose of that of that big spreadsheet
1:47:20
↗
and and so that's what that's why I need
1:47:23
↗
to know a lot better about this per
1:47:26
↗
capita in real dollars over a longer
1:47:28
↗
time lines and
1:47:29
↗
make sure that we don't have a problem
1:47:30
↗
because this if I just looked at this
1:47:32
↗
the fact that I mean he got allocate
1:47:35
↗
expenditures also but in you want all
1:47:38
↗
that stuff to track you want to say
1:47:40
↗
we're asking of the people comparable
1:47:42
↗
that we asked to the people ten years
1:47:43
↗
ago we're spending comparable for people
1:47:46
↗
that we were spending ten years ago and
1:47:47
↗
you correct that for a population and
1:47:49
↗
inflation will bring back the big all of
1:47:52
↗
the data and so you can look at it in
1:47:54
↗
that framework because we're looking at
1:47:57
↗
the historical here and then we're
1:47:58
↗
looking at the next page we're looking
1:48:00
↗
at the forecast so we will certainly
1:48:03
↗
include that when we have budget
1:48:06
↗
discussions great okay that would help
1:48:08
↗
me and and and I believe it'll show
1:48:11
↗
things better than I'm envisioning them
1:48:12
↗
in my head just looking at this one page
1:48:14
↗
okay thanks oh then I'm just gonna move
1:48:23
↗
on through then the revenues per capita
1:48:25
↗
this is the projected this is this is
1:48:27
↗
coming then from that moving forward
1:48:30
↗
with the same information and and then
1:48:34
↗
based on the baseline assumptions
1:48:42
↗
the indicator to which is expenditures
1:48:45
↗
per capita I do want to point out that
1:48:47
↗
the warning trend would be this was a
1:48:49
↗
correction and it is in the page 111
1:48:53
↗
replacement that was supplemental
1:48:55
↗
materials this was a typing error and it
1:49:01
↗
should say increasing that operating
1:49:03
↗
revenue expenditures per capita
1:49:06
↗
obviously with changing expenditures if
1:49:10
↗
expenditures are going up relative to
1:49:12
↗
population changes that that would mean
1:49:15
↗
that the cost of providing services is
1:49:18
↗
outstripping the ability the community's
1:49:20
↗
ability to pay it also indicates - if
1:49:24
↗
there is an increase in spending that
1:49:27
↗
can be greater than accounted for then
1:49:30
↗
the inflation or the addition of new
1:49:33
↗
services and here's the replacement page
1:49:37
↗
to show the warning trend would be
1:49:39
↗
increasing net operating expenditures
1:49:44
↗
per capita again we showed the same
1:49:47
↗
information from a historical
1:49:49
↗
perspective from 2013 as council
1:49:54
↗
president Mart's indicated last year's
1:49:57
↗
sheets had information that had a
1:50:02
↗
significantly more historical data in
1:50:05
↗
there and so our shift to move some
1:50:09
↗
things around we will again do that
1:50:12
↗
deeper dive but you can see in the
1:50:14
↗
expenditures again when we try to depict
1:50:17
↗
that in charts we show per household and
1:50:21
↗
per capita pretty much the same in in
1:50:25
↗
changing from expended one year to the
1:50:29
↗
next there was a question by a
1:50:31
↗
councilmember ray with regards to what
1:50:34
↗
happened in 2021 I provided an
1:50:38
↗
explanation on that this was some of the
1:50:41
↗
impact of our debt obligation our annual
1:50:44
↗
debt obligation dropping off and
1:50:49
↗
the then the the general economic change
1:50:52
↗
in expenditures is 3% so we don't have a
1:50:55
↗
full three percent year-over-year so in
1:50:59
↗
a couple of years we have about two
1:51:02
↗
percent and so we have population
1:51:04
↗
changes increasing at the two percent
1:51:06
↗
level and so all of a sudden we have
1:51:08
↗
this blip in that third year because our
1:51:11
↗
debt service has dropped down in the and
1:51:14
↗
the change year over over a year is not
1:51:16
↗
apples to apples again like I indicated
1:51:19
↗
in my response and if this had been
1:51:22
↗
extended out into 2023 we would see
1:51:26
↗
another funky change in expenditures for
1:51:32
↗
per capita expenditures and per
1:51:34
↗
household expenditures to go upward
1:51:37
↗
similar to 2021 so so we are seeing so
1:51:43
↗
the sign that says warning trend would
1:51:45
↗
be increasing that operating expenses
1:51:47
↗
per capita and that's exactly what we're
1:51:48
↗
seeing so we've got the warnings that we
1:51:51
↗
have warning sign mm-hmm okay yes and
1:51:55
↗
and so per capita expenditures over four
1:51:59
↗
years have gone up 26% but CPI is only
1:52:02
↗
gone up ten point three percent so we're
1:52:04
↗
outpacing inflation so that's
1:52:08
↗
hypothetically a problem again it looks
1:52:14
↗
different than when we talked about this
1:52:16
↗
either a year two ago but this concerns
1:52:19
↗
me it's noted and we'll go back and make
1:52:23
↗
sure that the information provided and
1:52:25
↗
what changed in these in this depiction
1:52:35
↗
other questions all right indicator 3 is
1:52:41
↗
operating deficits the warning trend is
1:52:43
↗
increasing general fund operating
1:52:44
↗
deficits I talked a little bit about
1:52:46
↗
this when we were looking at the
1:52:49
↗
financial model when we were looking at
1:52:52
↗
scenario B that it would look like it
1:52:58
↗
was an operating deficit again this
1:53:03
↗
occurs when expenditures are exceeding
1:53:06
↗
revenues it doesn't mean that the budget
1:53:08
↗
is out of balance because reserves are
1:53:10
↗
used because reserves are a source to be
1:53:14
↗
used to fund services and so it does
1:53:19
↗
mean that in a current year it doesn't
1:53:22
↗
mean that the government is spending
1:53:24
↗
more than its receiving there could be
1:53:27
↗
things like an emergency in one year and
1:53:30
↗
then not the next but for the most part
1:53:34
↗
is that an operating deficit in one year
1:53:37
↗
is not a cause for concern it's when it
1:53:40
↗
happens over multiple years and there's
1:53:42
↗
not a plan in place and the council does
1:53:45
↗
again as I stated have financial policy
1:53:49
↗
that identifies how you handle operating
1:53:52
↗
deficits over time how you handle
1:53:56
↗
spending reserves or bringing reserves
1:53:59
↗
back up into your into your policy
1:54:02
↗
targets and so this is something that I
1:54:06
↗
wanted to point out too with regards to
1:54:08
↗
credit raging firms when they look at
1:54:12
↗
operating deficit it's certainly a minor
1:54:15
↗
warning signal but then they would at be
1:54:18
↗
asking for a plan and so certainly any
1:54:22
↗
large deficit more than more than 10%
1:54:25
↗
would also be something that the credit
1:54:28
↗
raiders would ask for more information
1:54:32
↗
about so I'm sorry what assumptions are
1:54:39
↗
we using why why are we seeing a change
1:54:45
↗
out at 20 20 20
1:54:47
↗
20:22 because if you if you if you
1:54:50
↗
append the projected on to the
1:54:52
↗
historical for most of this you get sort
1:54:54
↗
of a little back and forth oscillation
1:54:57
↗
of some kind but then you get this you
1:54:59
↗
get this step out around 2020 and all of
1:55:01
↗
a sudden you're above zero and you stay
1:55:03
↗
above zero what's that about
1:55:05
↗
well one of the one of the things that
1:55:08
↗
we talked about was the where our debt
1:55:11
↗
service starts starts to be reduced and
1:55:13
↗
so this does not include the any new
1:55:18
↗
debt right now this is just a look at
1:55:21
↗
where we pelvis right that should make
1:55:23
↗
it better and that's why you see the
1:55:25
↗
operating deficits on the projected side
1:55:27
↗
going out going above the negative sorry
1:55:32
↗
an operating deficit is a good thing
1:55:34
↗
the well I'm not saying the operating
1:55:37
↗
deficit is a good thing this is just how
1:55:39
↗
we're looking at this indicator based on
1:55:42
↗
the operating deficit revenues over
1:55:44
↗
expenditures and every year so as we go
1:55:47
↗
into the outer years in the baseline
1:55:50
↗
that that the the color I'm going to go
1:55:55
↗
back to the color of the line there was
1:55:58
↗
no operating deficit in some of those
1:56:00
↗
years in the outer ears now I'm super
1:56:02
↗
confused deficit so a positive number
1:56:04
↗
means a deficit or does it positive
1:56:07
↗
number mean a surplus the positive
1:56:09
↗
number means a surplus thank you okay
1:56:12
↗
now I get it
1:56:13
↗
so rising surpluses would be a warning
1:56:16
↗
sign no it would not be a warning sign
1:56:20
↗
it would be the the warning would be
1:56:23
↗
that if we continued to be in the
1:56:25
↗
negative then that would be problematic
1:56:27
↗
but in this case our current our current
1:56:31
↗
revenues over expenditures forecast
1:56:34
↗
shows that we would not have we would
1:56:37
↗
not have operating deficits so therefore
1:56:40
↗
there would be no warning right okay
1:56:43
↗
nothing to warn us I would heartily
1:56:44
↗
encourage either calling this operating
1:56:46
↗
surpluses or inverting the graph right
1:56:49
↗
because the title on the thing is the
1:56:51
↗
positive value of the thing right and
1:56:53
↗
this is not a measure of operating
1:56:56
↗
deficits as a measure of operating
1:56:58
↗
surpluses right
1:56:59
↗
this is a measure of operating deficits
1:57:03
↗
because that is that is the warning but
1:57:06
↗
in this case in this in these scenarios
1:57:08
↗
in these forecasts we do not have one so
1:57:11
↗
certainly I think this is the how the
1:57:15
↗
indicator Jennifer let me tell you as a
1:57:18
↗
math person the warning says increasing
1:57:21
↗
increasing in this chart is not a bad
1:57:23
↗
thing decreasing is a bad thing
1:57:25
↗
so something some combination of the
1:57:27
↗
warning sign and the title of the chart
1:57:29
↗
and what whether you choose to invert
1:57:32
↗
the chart or not but anybody that is not
1:57:34
↗
a map person or not a finance person is
1:57:36
↗
going to be very confused by this okay
1:57:37
↗
I'm quite confident that that's the case
1:57:39
↗
because you see the increasing write on
1:57:42
↗
the warning as this number is increasing
1:57:44
↗
and that's actually a good thing right
1:57:46
↗
but it took some time for me to work
1:57:48
↗
through what that was so I just ask that
1:57:49
↗
you consider whether there's some
1:57:51
↗
combination of how we word this and how
1:57:53
↗
we show this that makes it more clear
1:57:55
↗
for anybody who's going to take a look
1:57:57
↗
at this because I'm sure if I'm confused
1:57:59
↗
there will be other people working we
1:58:00
↗
will work on depicting it in a better
1:58:02
↗
manner and a better framework for the so
1:58:04
↗
that the community can understand it
1:58:05
↗
Thanks before we move on
1:58:07
↗
Toula could you explain it to me so I
1:58:09
↗
can understand yeah I really understand
1:58:13
↗
I'm not tracking you sure so above the
1:58:16
↗
nice and calm
1:58:17
↗
above the line is a surplus at which
1:58:19
↗
chart page which are you looking at I'm
1:58:20
↗
gonna make sure I'm in the right age 114
1:58:23
↗
right operating deficits historical is
1:58:26
↗
the top charge so above the line is the
1:58:28
↗
surplus which chart are you on the top
1:58:29
↗
one the top one either they're both the
1:58:32
↗
same for both of them above zero is a
1:58:34
↗
surplus below zero is a deficit so when
1:58:39
↗
you go back one page to increasing
1:58:41
↗
general fund deficits as a percentage of
1:58:44
↗
net operating revenues that would be a
1:58:45
↗
warning trend right what that means okay
1:58:48
↗
wait hold on okay moving on warning
1:58:50
↗
trend would be increasing general fund
1:58:52
↗
operating deficits so the deficit is
1:58:54
↗
increasing if the deficit is increasing
1:58:57
↗
that's a warning sign so I so okay it's
1:58:59
↗
a-okay it's right that's right
1:59:04
↗
what's that that's a deficit that's
1:59:06
↗
growing right value is getting large yes
1:59:10
↗
so so it means a chart that is it has an
1:59:12
↗
increasingly negative value that's what
1:59:14
↗
means going further into deficit that's
1:59:17
↗
right right okay all right okay so and
1:59:21
↗
so what is your concern my concern is
1:59:24
↗
that first of all if I see something
1:59:27
↗
that's titled deficits I'm used to the
1:59:31
↗
the title of a chart being a the
1:59:34
↗
positive value of something and secondly
1:59:36
↗
is it if I see increasing I think well
1:59:41
↗
it's increasing so so we've got a
1:59:43
↗
problem
1:59:43
↗
you lost me right there where are you
1:59:44
↗
seeing the word increasing what are you
1:59:46
↗
talking about under the warning trend
1:59:47
↗
would be says increasing general fund
1:59:49
↗
operating deficits yep you're free to
1:59:53
↗
disagree with my date with my understand
1:59:56
↗
what it was so what's the problem with
1:59:57
↗
that phrase increasing deficits because
1:59:59
↗
I look at that chart and that charts
2:00:01
↗
increasing so we've got a problem no no
2:00:04
↗
it doesn't it's not increasing it did
2:00:06
↗
from 13 to 14 the deficit increased and
2:00:09
↗
it took a little dip in 15 to 16 but
2:00:12
↗
it's but the value of the chart is
2:00:16
↗
increasing over time moving up into the
2:00:18
↗
right yeah growing I know that okay okay
2:00:25
↗
again you're free disagree with my
2:00:27
↗
concern well I hear what you're saying
2:00:30
↗
now yeah I don't this you don't yeah I
2:00:36
↗
see that this I know that a growing
2:00:38
↗
negative number would be a bad thing
2:00:40
↗
we're not seeing a growing negative
2:00:41
↗
number gotcha
2:00:42
↗
so that's good right council member ray
2:00:47
↗
Jen thank you very much for your earlier
2:00:49
↗
responses to my questions that we're
2:00:51
↗
real helpful the one that I do want to
2:00:52
↗
kind of dive a little bit into is is
2:00:55
↗
here because in our projections for 18
2:00:58
↗
we're showing a deficit of nine hundred
2:01:01
↗
twenty three thousand dollars and right
2:01:03
↗
now where we have a surplus of 1.2
2:01:05
↗
million dollars and so I understand that
2:01:08
↗
there's some guidance that's driving
2:01:09
↗
that number I just like to understand
2:01:11
↗
the guidance of why we why we're going
2:01:14
↗
to have why we have the discrepancy
2:01:15
↗
between what we're seeing you know what
2:01:16
↗
we're
2:01:17
↗
um the we could have we could have
2:01:22
↗
multiple charts than to show the the
2:01:24
↗
operating deficits or surpluses or or
2:01:28
↗
how it's depicted up into the right yes
2:01:31
↗
based on the budget based on the
2:01:33
↗
council's expectation that there would
2:01:35
↗
be an operating deficit in 2018 we could
2:01:40
↗
also show then and I think it's
2:01:43
↗
something that will be an important
2:01:46
↗
piece as we get better depiction of this
2:01:48
↗
is that when we start to forecast the
2:01:51
↗
year on 2018 we can show the same chart
2:01:56
↗
inverted to show how what were what
2:02:00
↗
we're forecasting for the operating
2:02:01
↗
deficits so I think will will properly
2:02:05
↗
identify what is what is the budget
2:02:09
↗
versus forecast then as we bring back
2:02:12
↗
more information other questions
2:02:21
↗
okay thank you indicator six this is
2:02:26
↗
capital outlay this is one that commonly
2:02:33
↗
and and again this is this is general
2:02:36
↗
fund capital outlay but this is just
2:02:40
↗
another indicator that in the warning
2:02:43
↗
trend would be that three or more year
2:02:46
↗
decline in capital outlay might mean
2:02:49
↗
that there are some challenges with
2:02:52
↗
keeping up with vehicle and equipment
2:02:56
↗
and the maintenance of that referred to
2:02:58
↗
as maybe capital outlay so we've
2:03:03
↗
replacing items in the general fund or
2:03:07
↗
capital outlay items that do not make
2:03:09
↗
the CIP that is something that we wanted
2:03:12
↗
to show historically on the the second
2:03:15
↗
chart is where we wanted to depict CIP
2:03:18
↗
and so this is one that is to show that
2:03:24
↗
we're we're working towards putting
2:03:26
↗
together these tools and to let the
2:03:31
↗
council see the see the portion that has
2:03:35
↗
been identified for total capital outlay
2:03:38
↗
it is rather all over the place but
2:03:42
↗
nonetheless it's something that can help
2:03:46
↗
to test how we're doing in our financial
2:03:50
↗
condition because our smaller assets are
2:03:53
↗
important as well as the bigger objects
2:03:57
↗
that are in CIP and then the final
2:04:02
↗
indicator so you can ask a question so
2:04:05
↗
this is another one that if you tie
2:04:06
↗
together the historical would be
2:04:08
↗
projected like if I just look at the
2:04:10
↗
historical I go oh I think we may have
2:04:12
↗
that warning trend right but if you tie
2:04:15
↗
it together with the projected what you
2:04:17
↗
get is sort of a back and forth squiggle
2:04:19
↗
a little bit right and so it's not
2:04:21
↗
necessarily I guess it's still is it
2:04:29
↗
still generally coming down there's high
2:04:31
↗
there's highs and lows but we go from
2:04:33
↗
orig
2:04:34
↗
that's generally in the 1 and a half to
2:04:37
↗
three percent range to a regime that is
2:04:40
↗
generally sub 1% right so would you say
2:04:44
↗
that that warning trend is is is
2:04:49
↗
activated on this on this indicator
2:04:53
↗
administrator moon not yeah not yet I
2:04:56
↗
think this is a great tool for us to
2:04:58
↗
just watch over time and make sure we
2:05:01
↗
are thinking about our replacement of
2:05:03
↗
smaller capital assets if we go back in
2:05:07
↗
time beyond 2013 we may see a different
2:05:10
↗
pattern from year to year you have
2:05:13
↗
different pieces of equipment that come
2:05:15
↗
due some might be really big and create
2:05:18
↗
a little spike on the next year you may
2:05:20
↗
not have that so there's a good deal of
2:05:23
↗
variability from year to year I would
2:05:25
↗
also say in the projection we have some
2:05:28
↗
work to do
2:05:29
↗
to make sure that we're forecasting
2:05:30
↗
accurately into the future for those
2:05:32
↗
smaller capital needs so as we think
2:05:36
↗
about our fleet replacement you know how
2:05:39
↗
we certainly have a schedule but we can
2:05:42
↗
analyze you know how to spread things
2:05:44
↗
out in a better way and so I would I
2:05:46
↗
would expect that we don't fall as lows
2:05:51
↗
as shown in the projection and that we
2:05:54
↗
stay somewhere around whatever that
2:05:56
↗
trend line has been historically but I
2:05:59
↗
think the purpose of the chart is just
2:06:01
↗
to be mindful that we we should assume
2:06:04
↗
that we have an annual obligation to
2:06:06
↗
keep up with those replacements and then
2:06:08
↗
if we underfund we're putting service
2:06:12
↗
delivery at risk
2:06:14
↗
do we have an idea of what that number
2:06:18
↗
should be that's an excellent question I
2:06:22
↗
don't off the top of my head I think we
2:06:24
↗
do on our on our fleet side and that
2:06:27
↗
tends to capture
2:06:30
↗
larger more expensive pieces of
2:06:32
↗
equipment I don't have that off the top
2:06:34
↗
of my head and then there's other pieces
2:06:37
↗
that are part of capital outlay that
2:06:40
↗
we're developing asset management plans
2:06:42
↗
for yep other questions
2:06:45
↗
that's member hunt what are the
2:06:48
↗
asterisks indicate what are they
2:06:51
↗
indicate on the years for that one I
2:06:53
↗
don't see them on the other one excuse
2:06:59
↗
me this may have been a change in the in
2:07:01
↗
the formatting and so I'll need to get
2:07:04
↗
what that note is because that didn't
2:07:07
↗
get transferred
2:07:16
↗
their questions right I'm just gonna
2:07:21
↗
move quickly through the the indicator
2:07:24
↗
number seven this is property values
2:07:26
↗
both historical and projected again it's
2:07:30
↗
based on the assessed valuation these
2:07:35
↗
are the King County assessed valuations
2:07:39
↗
from a historical perspective and then
2:07:42
↗
these are the growth so I'm going to
2:07:43
↗
shift to page 118 and just point out in
2:07:49
↗
the the assessed valuation numbers are
2:07:53
↗
based on what we we are seeing
2:07:59
↗
historically and what we have that are
2:08:01
↗
coming from the projects in the pipeline
2:08:03
↗
and so this is the number where we get
2:08:06
↗
that that 1% the limitations for in
2:08:10
↗
order for us to forecast property taxes
2:08:13
↗
and you can see that the assessed
2:08:14
↗
valuation in this particular projected
2:08:18
↗
information is going up and so I just
2:08:22
↗
wanted to circle back and let you know
2:08:24
↗
this is the dollar amount where we get
2:08:26
↗
our property tax estimates going forward
2:08:31
↗
so I struggle a little bit with this one
2:08:34
↗
because you could by just putting more
2:08:38
↗
stuff by having more development swamp
2:08:41
↗
what's actually going on like I it with
2:08:44
↗
a measure like this you could have the
2:08:46
↗
average home sale price be dropping
2:08:49
↗
right but as long as as long as you are
2:08:52
↗
growing faster than housing prices are
2:08:55
↗
dropping you would see a positive number
2:08:56
↗
so my question is is there any way the
2:08:59
↗
same way we talked about revenues and
2:09:01
↗
expenses as per capita in real dollars
2:09:04
↗
is there some divisor that we can put
2:09:07
↗
the this is the numerators the divisor
2:09:09
↗
we can put this over such that we can
2:09:12
↗
measure how this is for a business that
2:09:16
↗
has a certain number of square feet or a
2:09:17
↗
homeowner for a certain risk square feet
2:09:19
↗
I mean what you what what I'd one in a
2:09:22
↗
perfect world if I could wave a magic
2:09:23
↗
wand would be like the value of
2:09:26
↗
commercial real estate over the
2:09:27
↗
commercial square feet the value of
2:09:29
↗
residential
2:09:30
↗
over the residential square feet right
2:09:32
↗
and then you would get commercial per
2:09:34
↗
square foot you'd get residential per
2:09:36
↗
square foot and then you would really
2:09:38
↗
experience what I mean we could sort of
2:09:40
↗
talk about what the average homeowner or
2:09:42
↗
business owner is experiencing and I
2:09:45
↗
have no idea if any of that information
2:09:46
↗
is available or how easy it would be to
2:09:48
↗
get I don't know just that that that
2:09:51
↗
would be super we're taking down this
2:09:54
↗
and again these are indicators that
2:09:56
↗
we're starting to pull together so that
2:09:59
↗
we can start having these conversations
2:10:00
↗
so appreciate that and let's remember
2:10:06
↗
winter stuff yes so historical that's
2:10:09
↗
easy to get you just go look it up
2:10:13
↗
pretty daring to project rising property
2:10:17
↗
values in the future well this this is
2:10:19
↗
something that the the crystal ball it's
2:10:22
↗
it's a hard one to I mean it's it's hard
2:10:24
↗
to predict these things and so we we
2:10:26
↗
have to put something out there as a
2:10:27
↗
starting point as a talking point and
2:10:29
↗
then we're not afraid to have holes
2:10:32
↗
punched in our our assumptions over our
2:10:35
↗
information so yeah it is a risky so why
2:10:40
↗
why even why look forward at this one I
2:10:43
↗
mean we know we just we know what's
2:10:45
↗
happening mm-hmm right because we don't
2:10:50
↗
there's there's there's so many factors
2:10:53
↗
in the environment that that drive
2:10:56
↗
assessed valuations most and I don't
2:11:00
↗
know how we would manage to a forecast
2:11:03
↗
of property valuation changes so I think
2:11:10
↗
tracking it I get tracking it that's
2:11:12
↗
absolutely fine as a look this is what
2:11:14
↗
it's okay we've got next year's numbers
2:11:17
↗
in this is what it is I just don't know
2:11:20
↗
the value of projecting anything into
2:11:21
↗
the future in this way because it's a
2:11:23
↗
major source of revenue and we do want
2:11:27
↗
to
2:11:27
↗
something in the financial model that it
2:11:30
↗
identifies property tax as add is a
2:11:35
↗
source and the only way that we get
2:11:37
↗
there is is the you know the formula to
2:11:40
↗
identify what our annual levy is gonna
2:11:43
↗
be okay so then I would want to track
2:11:45
↗
how it's happening care compared to our
2:11:48
↗
our baseline or our basis that's what I
2:11:52
↗
want to track hey so you're providing
2:11:55
↗
the actual but what I want to know is
2:11:57
↗
what it is to our base sofiane are so
2:11:58
↗
okay so that makes sense so so so we
2:12:01
↗
actually if I we this is and this is
2:12:03
↗
this is not total this is total
2:12:06
↗
valuation or just like average increase
2:12:09
↗
this is this is total valuation this is
2:12:12
↗
okay which it would be averages okay
2:12:17
↗
yeah so I would think is a key indicator
2:12:19
↗
I just want to know what is it doing
2:12:22
↗
compared to what we are in using in our
2:12:24
↗
forecast if we're using an 8% I already
2:12:27
↗
ate no 2018 so for we don't know 2019
2:12:31
↗
yet that's correct right
2:12:33
↗
okay so let's track how it does compared
2:12:35
↗
to what's what we forecasted okay other
2:12:41
↗
questions comes from array um this is
2:12:43
↗
this is great I just want to start by
2:12:45
↗
saying this is great stuff since we're
2:12:48
↗
gonna get back and the routine of doing
2:12:50
↗
quarterly updates it would be I think
2:12:51
↗
really useful to see these numbers on a
2:12:55
↗
quarterly basis instead the anyone
2:12:57
↗
particularly relates to property because
2:12:59
↗
it can be an early warning indicator of
2:13:01
↗
an impending doom if we start to see
2:13:04
↗
property values tank and we've seen that
2:13:07
↗
happen before so if we can have a little
2:13:09
↗
higher level of granularity than just
2:13:11
↗
the annual numbers I think that would
2:13:12
↗
provide us all kind of some some good
2:13:15
↗
early warnings to take some corrective
2:13:17
↗
action with so but I love this stuff
2:13:24
↗
other questions
2:13:29
↗
all right so then let's let's move on
2:13:31
↗
this is intended of the next session the
2:13:35
↗
lat the last section is about revenue
2:13:37
↗
sources and this talks about current
2:13:41
↗
revenue sources but I also wanted to
2:13:43
↗
just briefly touch base on some
2:13:46
↗
information for information purposes
2:13:47
↗
only was alternative revenue so what I
2:13:51
↗
wanted to provide for the council here
2:13:53
↗
is just a look at our current revenue
2:13:56
↗
sources this is information all city
2:14:00
↗
funds so this is not only the general
2:14:03
↗
fund but it also includes all of those
2:14:05
↗
revenue sources and you can see that
2:14:07
↗
there's a large portion for charges for
2:14:09
↗
goods and services because it includes
2:14:10
↗
the utility funds and that's those
2:14:12
↗
utility rates that we charge just to go
2:14:15
↗
back we're on page 119 of the packet of
2:14:17
↗
information the information in here is
2:14:23
↗
intended to give you historical actual
2:14:26
↗
levies that we have received in and then
2:14:31
↗
we have then the forecasts for the
2:14:35
↗
different types of revenues that that we
2:14:37
↗
have put out you can see a number of
2:14:41
↗
different ways that we've provided this
2:14:44
↗
information so on the next page 120 you
2:14:47
↗
can see the authorized levy amounts also
2:14:50
↗
wanted to provide the council with that
2:14:52
↗
property tax distribution so when a
2:14:54
↗
property owner receives their their tax
2:14:57
↗
bill not all of those monies go to the
2:14:59
↗
city of Issaquah there is about 10% of
2:15:02
↗
the property tax that would go to the
2:15:05
↗
city of Vista that's the blue pie piece
2:15:07
↗
that's coming out and so we wanted to
2:15:11
↗
make sure that this information was
2:15:14
↗
available next page this is the levy
2:15:17
↗
rates one of the things that I think we
2:15:21
↗
talked about here but I wanted to kind
2:15:23
↗
of circle back to was about that when we
2:15:27
↗
when we predict assessed value and we
2:15:30
↗
predict what the property tax levy would
2:15:33
↗
be as the assessed value goes up the the
2:15:37
↗
the property because we're limited with
2:15:39
↗
that 1% the actual rate goes down and in
2:15:43
↗
the chart at the top of the page it
2:15:45
↗
identifies the the total the dollar for
2:15:50
↗
in 2018 per thousand and assessed
2:15:53
↗
valuation I also wanted to shift out
2:15:56
↗
that there is the general levy or the
2:15:59
↗
regular tax rate of about 87 cents and
2:16:01
↗
then you have that access tax rate and
2:16:04
↗
that's the the voter approved levy that
2:16:06
↗
does not hit the general fund but it but
2:16:09
↗
it show you that that when our
2:16:11
↗
valuations go up and our ability to set
2:16:15
↗
the property tax rate it is just an
2:16:17
↗
automatic going downward then I just
2:16:23
↗
wanted to show you those assessed
2:16:24
↗
evaluations this is a lot of small
2:16:26
↗
numbers in a space to show you what
2:16:30
↗
those actual assessed valuations were as
2:16:32
↗
well as there's that new construction
2:16:34
↗
value of about the two hundred and I I
2:16:41
↗
knew I remembered a number about two
2:16:42
↗
hundred eighty but that was 2017 in 2018
2:16:47
↗
we actually had information from King
2:16:51
↗
County that it did go down some so it is
2:16:54
↗
one that's hard to predict other
2:16:56
↗
information then for the council
2:16:59
↗
historical residential home values and
2:17:02
↗
at the bottom of the page you can see
2:17:04
↗
some average valued home and the changes
2:17:08
↗
year-over-year that's a question about
2:17:10
↗
that so you've got that that value was
2:17:14
↗
obtained from Zillow mmm-hmm do we have
2:17:17
↗
a more rigorous way to get that number
2:17:21
↗
other than Zillow because I seem to
2:17:23
↗
recall not necessarily in City Council
2:17:28
↗
but some question about how Zillow's
2:17:31
↗
mechanism and whether it's accurate and
2:17:33
↗
all that kind of stuff and we're working
2:17:35
↗
on making sure that we have that we have
2:17:38
↗
the right source so certainly
2:17:41
↗
something as we continue to build on our
2:17:43
↗
tools for understanding where we are
2:17:46
↗
we've been and where we want to go we'll
2:17:48
↗
continue to have better sources and the
2:17:52
↗
Multiple Listing Service doesn't make
2:17:54
↗
that kind of information available well
2:17:56
↗
they do that make that kind of available
2:17:57
↗
at the time of this report this is my
2:18:00
↗
understanding it was what had been used
2:18:01
↗
in the past and again and we're working
2:18:03
↗
to strengthen our tools and the
2:18:05
↗
information that we produce okay I don't
2:18:07
↗
have anything against Zillow just if
2:18:09
↗
there's a if there's a more accurate
2:18:10
↗
mechanism I've just seen Zillow stuff in
2:18:12
↗
the past that I was sort of a
2:18:13
↗
head-scratcher it was like I would
2:18:15
↗
didn't have a lot of confidence and
2:18:16
↗
there are numbers and then when we go to
2:18:20
↗
page 122 this is information and does
2:18:24
↗
some comparisons to other cities what we
2:18:28
↗
wanted to do is show the the only the
2:18:31
↗
city portion by community and the change
2:18:35
↗
in the the rates just a quick snapshot
2:18:40
↗
of you you can see the city portion and
2:18:44
↗
the total rate and then the percentage
2:18:46
↗
of the total and so from 2016 to this
2:18:51
↗
current year that's at ten percent of
2:18:53
↗
the total tax bill the city of Issaquah
2:18:56
↗
collects or that just over a dollar for
2:18:59
↗
per thousand of assessed valuation you
2:19:02
↗
can see how we compare two cities from
2:19:04
↗
Bellevue to Kirkland Redmond Sammamish
2:19:08
↗
and in smaller communities counts
2:19:12
↗
remember ray why is our number so low
2:19:14
↗
because we have our assessed evaluation
2:19:18
↗
is it is what it is and the property tax
2:19:24
↗
limitation of 1% and that is I mean that
2:19:31
↗
that's the math okay I mean I just
2:19:34
↗
always you know a little bit of
2:19:35
↗
competition with Sammamish right and and
2:19:37
↗
they're killing us here and a dollar
2:19:39
↗
seven now
2:19:40
↗
it's all in perspective we are not
2:19:44
↗
aligned no this is so so I was gonna
2:19:48
↗
come out of this my comments are not
2:19:50
↗
reflected they're not aimed at what you
2:19:52
↗
just said but I think this is super
2:19:54
↗
super important and I'm just gonna get
2:19:56
↗
on a on a high hog here just for 60
2:19:59
↗
seconds this is the flipside of all the
2:20:04
↗
traffic and concerns that our community
2:20:07
↗
has had around growth over the last
2:20:10
↗
thirty years this is when you talk about
2:20:13
↗
old Issaquah and where did old Issaquah
2:20:15
↗
go we made a decision thirty years ago
2:20:18
↗
and have continued to execute public
2:20:20
↗
policy around having a well rounded city
2:20:23
↗
that has commercial and retail and
2:20:26
↗
residential and so when you see we are
2:20:30
↗
able to function with a relatively lower
2:20:35
↗
cost to our residents to our homeowners
2:20:39
↗
than many of our comparable cities on
2:20:41
↗
the east side this is the upside part of
2:20:44
↗
the upside and there's there's a number
2:20:47
↗
of having of being a real city and not
2:20:50
↗
just being a bedroom community and so I
2:20:52
↗
think this is SuperDuper important and I
2:20:54
↗
I struggle because I don't want to throw
2:20:55
↗
any of our neighboring cities under the
2:20:57
↗
bus but this is really the repercussions
2:21:00
↗
of being well rounded and so I'm very
2:21:03
↗
proud of these numbers and I will tell
2:21:05
↗
you that these numbers are lower than
2:21:07
↗
unincorporated King County I looked at
2:21:09
↗
unincorporated King County last summer
2:21:11
↗
and so when people think that by not
2:21:14
↗
incorporating they're gonna get
2:21:16
↗
themselves a better tax bill
2:21:18
↗
unfortunately that's not how it works
2:21:20
↗
so and our residents and this numbers
2:21:23
↗
prove that thanks sounds remember
2:21:27
↗
winters time property taxes are roughly
2:21:30
↗
13% of revenue and the general fund that
2:21:34
↗
true roughly in were you looking at a
2:21:37
↗
specific year just India recently it's I
2:21:43
↗
mean
2:21:53
↗
I mean how you you don't have to do I
2:21:55
↗
thought maybe you'd know if top your
2:21:57
↗
head this isn't I just just to put this
2:21:59
↗
in another I think in an important
2:22:01
↗
perspective as well as what this rate
2:22:03
↗
you know that this rate is what it is
2:22:05
↗
but it's also only about 13 percent of
2:22:09
↗
our revenue mm-hmm and in in I was just
2:22:12
↗
looking back into them in the mid-year
2:22:14
↗
report yeah you have it in the narrative
2:22:17
↗
well we've we've collected what I've got
2:22:20
↗
in the narrative here is not the
2:22:23
↗
percentage of our total our overall
2:22:26
↗
revenue so that's something that we can
2:22:31
↗
add the the chart and you know it's more
2:22:34
↗
just yeah the you have this in here you
2:22:39
↗
compares with the other cities and
2:22:41
↗
that's interesting and and we have a
2:22:45
↗
significant amount of retail sales tax
2:22:48
↗
for example not everybody has the same
2:22:50
↗
mix so that that's that's it's
2:22:55
↗
interesting to compare but we're not
2:22:57
↗
really but II you know we have to do it
2:23:00
↗
I think it only makes sense if you know
2:23:04
↗
the entire makeup what's the president
2:23:07
↗
yes I wanted to add to this too because
2:23:10
↗
the one we're looking at this
2:23:12
↗
information is that the city portion
2:23:14
↗
includes the excess debt levy and so one
2:23:18
↗
thing to note is that another community
2:23:20
↗
may have have had voter approved excess
2:23:25
↗
levies go forward they may have opted to
2:23:28
↗
do a lid levy lift they may have opted
2:23:32
↗
to do utilize all of their bank capacity
2:23:35
↗
so so this this tells a story of
2:23:39
↗
everything that that a community has has
2:23:42
↗
determined to do and when we compare
2:23:44
↗
those communities and so I just wanted
2:23:46
↗
to point that out is that this is the
2:23:47
↗
the total city portion of all the
2:23:50
↗
different levies that and the the
2:23:55
↗
impacts to their levy that those
2:23:57
↗
communities have chosen do it thank you
2:24:03
↗
for that clarification
2:24:05
↗
so then we move on to page 123 I just
2:24:09
↗
wanted to give a council the council a
2:24:11
↗
breakdown of our sales tax it goes to a
2:24:15
↗
variety of different places you can see
2:24:17
↗
that the city of Issaquah does not
2:24:19
↗
collect the the the total 10% general
2:24:23
↗
sales tax so we collect a small portion
2:24:26
↗
just like the property tax it goes to
2:24:29
↗
other entities then we put in some
2:24:32
↗
information - about our our total sales
2:24:35
↗
tax as well as a history of sales tax by
2:24:38
↗
some of those major categories there's a
2:24:42
↗
quite a number of different categories
2:24:45
↗
of sales tax that we monitor and receive
2:24:49
↗
and it's all over the board but the
2:24:53
↗
major portion is the retail sales tax
2:24:55
↗
portion then we move on to information
2:24:59
↗
background information about our
2:25:01
↗
business and occupation tax you can see
2:25:03
↗
there all of the different tax rates
2:25:05
↗
again the tax rate was was changed in
2:25:09
↗
2015 so you can see how we look at and
2:25:14
↗
how we audit those bno tax returns and
2:25:18
↗
those thresholds for whether or not
2:25:20
↗
someone has to file a tax return
2:25:23
↗
quarterly filing is at 25000 an annual
2:25:28
↗
filing is at a hundred thousand and then
2:25:31
↗
providing some historical information
2:25:33
↗
and forecast
2:25:40
↗
keep going moving on to page 125 at the
2:25:44
↗
bottom is information utility taxes and
2:25:46
↗
those are the taxes that we charge on
2:25:48
↗
electricity natural gas so again that
2:25:51
↗
forecast of all of the different
2:25:53
↗
categories of utility tax and then on
2:25:55
↗
the next page 126 shows a historical
2:25:59
↗
comparison by the type of utility tax
2:26:03
↗
that the city collects we also have
2:26:06
↗
included information about building
2:26:08
↗
permits engineering and plan check fees
2:26:10
↗
at the bottom of page 126 and just want
2:26:13
↗
to know this was a question last year
2:26:16
↗
but we're certainly keeping it in
2:26:17
↗
because there was a question about plan
2:26:20
↗
check fees dipping and an engineering
2:26:22
↗
fees increasing and this was primarily
2:26:26
↗
due to some in 2014 and 16 some of large
2:26:30
↗
multifamily projects in Highlands and
2:26:34
↗
well in the valley floor to show you
2:26:37
↗
that again like I stated this is a hard
2:26:40
↗
one to predict and we do our best to
2:26:43
↗
monitor what's in the pipeline and put
2:26:45
↗
that into our forecast and budgets
2:26:51
↗
shared revenues then is on page 127
2:26:55
↗
shared revenues include our liquor
2:26:57
↗
license our liquor profits and and
2:26:59
↗
marijuana profits and just to show you
2:27:02
↗
where where we have been and how we the
2:27:06
↗
dollar amounts that we have been
2:27:08
↗
collecting tell us remember hunt I
2:27:13
↗
actually have a question about the
2:27:15
↗
previous page the figure four with the
2:27:18
↗
building permits engineering and plan
2:27:20
↗
check you mentioned that it's hard to
2:27:23
↗
predict these I also is it safe to say
2:27:27
↗
that they're not tracking with each
2:27:28
↗
other you you don't see the same trends
2:27:31
↗
with you can't really predict what's
2:27:34
↗
gonna happen with the plan check or with
2:27:37
↗
building permits and they're just sort
2:27:39
↗
of independently changing it looks like
2:27:47
↗
yeah listen I just want a question is
2:27:50
↗
there there they don't they're not
2:27:51
↗
really they're not following a trend
2:27:54
↗
with each other they just follow
2:27:55
↗
different trends for each of those these
2:28:06
↗
that's not I guess it's not really
2:28:08
↗
question it's just I I would have
2:28:09
↗
thought that they would have a
2:28:11
↗
relationship with each other where
2:28:12
↗
they're correlated or something but they
2:28:14
↗
seem to not be they do it's a little
2:28:18
↗
funky on this page I think you're seeing
2:28:21
↗
the impact of the moratorium here so
2:28:23
↗
they do sort of track until we hit that
2:28:26
↗
that moment in time to some degree
2:28:29
↗
there's also lag
2:28:30
↗
so you'll typically you get the plan
2:28:35
↗
check and then the building permit so
2:28:41
↗
they do they they typically follow kind
2:28:44
↗
of similar pattern but I think we've had
2:28:46
↗
some weirdness with our moratorium
2:28:50
↗
impact and and that's why 2017 was so
2:28:56
↗
difficult for us we tried to be very
2:28:59
↗
conservative in our estimate and
2:29:00
↗
actually had more in the pipeline that
2:29:03
↗
proceeded faster than we had expected so
2:29:08
↗
that's really the strangeness I think
2:29:11
↗
you begin to see play out in 2016 and
2:29:14
↗
2017 I just like that there was a year
2:29:19
↗
that we run in $50 in engineering of
2:29:22
↗
inspections it just makes you wonder
2:29:27
↗
what was that $50 any other questions
2:29:34
↗
the homestretch
2:29:38
↗
I think your mic is your mic not about
2:29:44
↗
that on page 128 there's a this is the
2:29:48
↗
some similar information the council
2:29:50
↗
might have seen for information purposes
2:29:52
↗
only
2:29:53
↗
these are alternative revenue options
2:29:56
↗
that may be considered we talked about
2:29:59
↗
that earlier about a new source of
2:30:01
↗
revenue was in one of the scenarios in
2:30:04
↗
the financial model but it is hoped to
2:30:07
↗
give the council a very brief background
2:30:09
↗
about some of these alternative revenue
2:30:13
↗
options there is certainly more
2:30:15
↗
information certainly about any of these
2:30:17
↗
revenue options and as we go forward
2:30:21
↗
through the budget discussions certainly
2:30:23
↗
would would bring forth more
2:30:26
↗
comprehensive review of a source should
2:30:28
↗
the council direct the administration to
2:30:30
↗
do so all right questions all right
2:30:39
↗
does administration have any closing
2:30:42
↗
comments for us this evening does anyone
2:30:46
↗
in council have any comments I'm
2:30:48
↗
something of a winter's day
2:30:49
↗
thank you toilet I think I'm gonna ask a
2:30:55
↗
question of the administration that I'm
2:30:56
↗
gonna ask a question of you the the
2:30:59
↗
fiscal model summary the baseline sarios
2:31:02
↗
a b c and d you've indicated tonight
2:31:07
↗
that you will be using this information
2:31:13
↗
some i mean and maybe going forward did
2:31:17
↗
you just explain what what you were
2:31:19
↗
talking about there I'd like to hear
2:31:21
↗
that and then actually so I'm gonna let
2:31:23
↗
Tola know what I'm gonna ask him as well
2:31:25
↗
so Tola
2:31:26
↗
it seems to me that that model and what
2:31:29
↗
we've assumed in there are all big is is
2:31:33
↗
there's a pretty big deal it's hold
2:31:36
↗
documents a big deal Jen but that part's
2:31:38
↗
a really big deal and and if some of us
2:31:43
↗
I know you know Ryan
2:31:44
↗
bill Vikki haven't seen it before at all
2:31:48
↗
but it would be good not to go away
2:31:51
↗
tonight without getting at least some
2:31:53
↗
type of reaction to what was proposed
2:31:58
↗
here or or or what it's not really a
2:32:00
↗
proposal but what's in this model and
2:32:02
↗
what it might be from everybody I'd like
2:32:03
↗
to get because we spent a lot of time on
2:32:05
↗
this and the ad hoc committee I just
2:32:07
↗
seeing it for the first time I'm just
2:32:09
↗
kind of wondering if they have any
2:32:11
↗
reaction or care the concerns or
2:32:13
↗
comments and and and I thought before we
2:32:16
↗
left tonight to get that would be good
2:32:18
↗
but I'd also like to hear a little bit
2:32:19
↗
more how the administration was it wants
2:32:21
↗
to use this information so there you go
2:32:29
↗
okay so one of the things that so what I
2:32:35
↗
what I would like to do to honor that is
2:32:39
↗
I would like to offer council members an
2:32:43
↗
opportunity to summarize how this
2:32:46
↗
information they think will what
2:32:51
↗
questions it may address that we want to
2:32:54
↗
bring up in the budget process but I
2:32:56
↗
also want to make a mechanism where
2:32:59
↗
people can alternately if they have
2:33:03
↗
feedback that they want to provide in
2:33:05
↗
writing this week to the administration
2:33:07
↗
they could do that and the
2:33:08
↗
administration could come back to us
2:33:10
↗
because I know some of us are more
2:33:11
↗
comfortable speaking extemporaneously
2:33:13
↗
and some people are not so I want to I
2:33:16
↗
want to provide both of those mechanisms
2:33:17
↗
and make sure people don't feel like
2:33:19
↗
they would have to do it tonight they
2:33:21
↗
could also do it in if they wanted to
2:33:23
↗
after after sleeping on it and thinking
2:33:26
↗
about it a little further I like the
2:33:30
↗
idea of us having an opportunity to
2:33:33
↗
provide that feedback and I've sort of
2:33:34
↗
already done that myself personally
2:33:43
↗
so I think from administration's
2:33:45
↗
standpoint we were just eager to share
2:33:48
↗
this information so you have a better
2:33:50
↗
sense of the overall financial health of
2:33:52
↗
the organization and you asked you know
2:33:56
↗
how might we use this information going
2:33:59
↗
forward and I think we have a we have a
2:34:02
↗
couple places at least coming up soon
2:34:05
↗
we're having this background will help
2:34:08
↗
us in facing some decisions so one is
2:34:12
↗
with the budget amendment that is coming
2:34:14
↗
up majority of the budget amendments are
2:34:20
↗
items that have already been approved by
2:34:23
↗
council and you've directed us to
2:34:25
↗
incorporate those but when we bring it
2:34:28
↗
back to you as a package it looks like a
2:34:30
↗
big number so this will help you put it
2:34:33
↗
into context to some degree and we are
2:34:37
↗
in the midst of developing the 19 budget
2:34:41
↗
I think having this background
2:34:43
↗
information will allow you to maybe get
2:34:47
↗
a visual on how what we will propose for
2:34:53
↗
2019 compares to what's in the forecast
2:34:55
↗
let's take an example of that might be
2:34:58
↗
the debt service level we might propose
2:35:03
↗
having greater debt expenditure or we
2:35:06
↗
might propose adding more staffing
2:35:09
↗
resources than what was depicted here
2:35:12
↗
and you might be able to kind of scale
2:35:14
↗
up and understand what the longer-term
2:35:18
↗
impact of that is I think on the
2:35:23
↗
scenarios that we gave you we are hoping
2:35:27
↗
to get some reaction whether it's
2:35:30
↗
tonight or some point in the near future
2:35:32
↗
so that we can bring forward a tangible
2:35:36
↗
proposal a direct proposal for you on
2:35:38
↗
how to meet some of the community needs
2:35:41
↗
that you've expressed whether that's
2:35:44
↗
transportation or something else as
2:35:47
↗
council president Mart's stated there is
2:35:52
↗
an
2:35:53
↗
standing directive to the ad hoc Finance
2:35:56
↗
Committee to come back to the whole
2:35:58
↗
council with the recommendation on how
2:36:01
↗
to fund the unfunded transportation
2:36:05
↗
projects and so we're trying to be
2:36:08
↗
responsive to that as well deputy
2:36:15
↗
council president impetus first of all
2:36:19
↗
Jan and everyone who worked on this
2:36:23
↗
thank you for for all the hard work and
2:36:27
↗
everything that has gone into this I
2:36:29
↗
would say I just wanted to give a little
2:36:32
↗
bit of initial feedback and then if I
2:36:34
↗
have some other thoughts all follow up
2:36:36
↗
via email but having the the modeling
2:36:40
↗
and the ending fund balance baseline
2:36:43
↗
with the different scenarios especially
2:36:45
↗
as we're talking about transportation is
2:36:48
↗
really helpful to me being able to look
2:36:51
↗
at that and think about the different
2:36:52
↗
scenarios and and try to I think it just
2:36:56
↗
helps my brain anyway to think about
2:36:58
↗
those different scenarios especially
2:37:00
↗
before something comes forward I did
2:37:03
↗
have the question about that that we
2:37:06
↗
went straight to recall it traffic
2:37:08
↗
instead of transportation here but that
2:37:10
↗
we went straight to that so better
2:37:12
↗
understanding that was good we asked a
2:37:16
↗
few questions around those assumptions I
2:37:19
↗
always feel like when you're working
2:37:21
↗
with models and assumptions it's really
2:37:24
↗
good to get a lot of pushback on the
2:37:27
↗
assumptions I think it gives you a
2:37:29
↗
better product in the end so I was glad
2:37:31
↗
that we had a conversation around that
2:37:33
↗
so I just wanted to say overall having
2:37:36
↗
having it modeled this way and and being
2:37:40
↗
able to look at that is helpful for me
2:37:45
↗
other comments
2:37:51
↗
council member hunt thank you also for
2:37:56
↗
all of the work that went went into this
2:37:58
↗
so this is the first time that I've been
2:38:01
↗
looking at the budget and we're looking
2:38:04
↗
at the finances in such detail and I
2:38:06
↗
think for me the the thing that I want
2:38:09
↗
to look at in parallel with the model is
2:38:12
↗
what's in our CIP because I think that
2:38:14
↗
that is the other piece to this and look
2:38:18
↗
at here it is trying to tackle traffic
2:38:22
↗
or transportation but as has been
2:38:25
↗
mentioned by my fellow councilmembers
2:38:27
↗
there are other things in the CIP too
2:38:29
↗
and I think that that really affects how
2:38:33
↗
I would think of the scenarios and then
2:38:36
↗
I think that having the having the
2:38:39
↗
scenarios where you just change one
2:38:41
↗
variable it makes a lot of sense for
2:38:43
↗
looking at how in the big picture how
2:38:47
↗
changing one variable does change the
2:38:49
↗
trend over time it might be as we have
2:38:54
↗
more conversations it might be helpful
2:38:56
↗
to have some more realistic detailed
2:39:00
↗
versions of scenarios where if we if we
2:39:03
↗
come sort of start narrowing down our
2:39:06
↗
options and then think well if we did
2:39:08
↗
this then we would probably start tuning
2:39:10
↗
down this other lever at this point that
2:39:14
↗
would also be helpful so I will be
2:39:17
↗
looking at looking in more detail to try
2:39:20
↗
to match up my understanding of this
2:39:23
↗
model with the CIP councilmember Ramos
2:39:30
↗
yeah this is great to start looking at
2:39:34
↗
the budget in this way because one of
2:39:35
↗
the concerns I've had as we've done
2:39:37
↗
things in the past is we look at the big
2:39:39
↗
budget and then we keep making these
2:39:41
↗
amendments through the year which keep
2:39:42
↗
adding a piece of the time of pieces
2:39:45
↗
time as you just mentioned all of a
2:39:46
↗
sudden we're gonna get an amendment
2:39:47
↗
that's gonna come here and look like how
2:39:48
↗
the heck we did we just approve all that
2:39:50
↗
because it totals up quickly and it's
2:39:53
↗
not and when we do that we're never
2:39:54
↗
looking at the big piece we just keep
2:39:56
↗
looking at these individual pieces which
2:39:58
↗
which puts our perspective nothing in a
2:40:01
↗
good way so this is a start
2:40:04
↗
trying to look at that hole that big
2:40:06
↗
picture and say compare back to the CIP
2:40:09
↗
that's all great too but we have not
2:40:11
↗
prioritized that list in in the totally
2:40:16
↗
you know so as we look at that it's like
2:40:18
↗
what would we do in in what order and
2:40:20
↗
that would also make a difference to to
2:40:22
↗
how we fund things in the long run as
2:40:24
↗
well so the priorities do make a
2:40:26
↗
difference to to that list as well and
2:40:29
↗
and another thing that I guess because
2:40:30
↗
I've heard it previously as we need you
2:40:33
↗
know a transportation benefit district
2:40:35
↗
to fund these things and this is shown
2:40:37
↗
that there are some ways without adding
2:40:39
↗
more money because I think one of our
2:40:40
↗
most important duties is to take the
2:40:43
↗
money we have now and spend it very
2:40:45
↗
wisely and in places where we prioritize
2:40:47
↗
it I think it's most important and
2:40:49
↗
before we ask for additional funding so
2:40:52
↗
that's that's showing that that gives us
2:40:54
↗
more option than what I've heard
2:40:55
↗
previously from s administrations so
2:40:59
↗
that's a real good way to start looking
2:41:01
↗
at those those things so to me
2:41:02
↗
prioritizing what can you get done with
2:41:05
↗
the resources you have protecting them
2:41:07
↗
out over time before you start looking
2:41:09
↗
at more and really the way we just do
2:41:15
↗
our budgeting in a way that when we keep
2:41:17
↗
adding pieces we have to somehow keep
2:41:19
↗
keep the whole picture in mind versus a
2:41:21
↗
little piece of the time a little piece
2:41:22
↗
of the time and all of a sudden you
2:41:24
↗
spent a few extra million dollars that
2:41:26
↗
you weren't expecting this bin and that
2:41:27
↗
that lets our budget way out of whack
2:41:30
↗
when we when we're looking at the big
2:41:31
↗
picture we're arguing sometimes down to
2:41:33
↗
ten thousand dollars or something like
2:41:34
↗
that and Ellison's something much bigger
2:41:36
↗
comes buying it slides right in so those
2:41:39
↗
are things I hope that we continue to
2:41:40
↗
improve how we look at this budget
2:41:42
↗
overall and then fiscal practices will
2:41:45
↗
just keep getting better thank you
2:41:49
↗
so so I'll circle back this is this is
2:41:54
↗
incredibly valuable information and
2:41:55
↗
thank you very much it's super important
2:41:58
↗
that that people understand this
2:41:59
↗
information and that's why you know I
2:42:02
↗
apologize if I if I pick some
2:42:04
↗
engineering nits and some individual
2:42:05
↗
slides I just want to make sure the
2:42:07
↗
public understand it's because because I
2:42:08
↗
think generally it tells a really good
2:42:10
↗
story about our fiscal stewardship it
2:42:15
↗
does this issue of
2:42:17
↗
we track compared to inflation is a
2:42:19
↗
thing I'm gonna really want to
2:42:21
↗
understand going forward I have some
2:42:23
↗
concerns I'm again I'm hoping that when
2:42:26
↗
we look at it on a long timeline and
2:42:29
↗
gonna put it in present dollars and all
2:42:31
↗
that kind of stuff
2:42:31
↗
that my concerns will will not you know
2:42:35
↗
will go away you know I want to
2:42:38
↗
reiterate I think the challenge coming
2:42:40
↗
out of tonight is to talk about this
2:42:44
↗
you know there's transportation and then
2:42:46
↗
there's the other right and the a you
2:42:48
↗
know I wrote down some stuff open space
2:42:50
↗
we've had conversations recently about
2:42:52
↗
spending money on open space we've got
2:42:55
↗
you know recreational facilities every
2:42:58
↗
so often we get letters from people that
2:42:59
↗
want us to build a new pool and we're
2:43:01
↗
not gonna do that any time soon but
2:43:03
↗
that's in the mix out there city
2:43:06
↗
facilities and where the city what the
2:43:08
↗
city looks like 20 years from now for
2:43:10
↗
infrastructure human services things
2:43:13
↗
that we want to do services to provide
2:43:15
↗
for the community workforce housing is
2:43:17
↗
something that at times cost money
2:43:19
↗
you know Senior Center do we want to
2:43:21
↗
invest money and in running a Senior
2:43:23
↗
Center ourselves that's a that's a
2:43:25
↗
smaller one but a one that's coming up
2:43:27
↗
in the near term and we have to factor
2:43:29
↗
all these things in when we look at that
2:43:32
↗
coming up with a curve that's that's
2:43:34
↗
beautiful and just touches a limit that
2:43:37
↗
we set for ourselves we want to make
2:43:38
↗
sure that those other factors although
2:43:41
↗
no one of them probably you know raises
2:43:44
↗
people's blood pressure as much in the
2:43:46
↗
community as traffic put together
2:43:47
↗
they're also additional important
2:43:50
↗
factors for making our city run well so
2:43:52
↗
I'm not sure exactly how we broaden the
2:43:54
↗
conversation to include those topics but
2:43:57
↗
we'll figure it out and we'll do it
2:44:00
↗
any other comments and I do want it I
2:44:03
↗
don't know if we have anybody from the
2:44:04
↗
public here tonight but if we do we
2:44:05
↗
could do we have anybody yeah all right
2:44:08
↗
we don't have to worry about public
2:44:09
↗
comment all did you yeah thank you
2:44:14
↗
regarding the the scenarios I'm gonna
2:44:18
↗
repeat myself somewhat but it is so I've
2:44:21
↗
had the opportunity to sleep on it for
2:44:23
↗
many moons I'm not just hearing it for
2:44:25
↗
the first time we heard it in the
2:44:26
↗
ad hoc committee and seeing it again
2:44:29
↗
tonight there I think Vicki touched upon
2:44:34
↗
something I think I saw some non income
2:44:36
↗
heads we see we think we think we think
2:44:39
↗
this strategy we pick a strategy to go
2:44:42
↗
forward with we will perhaps refine some
2:44:45
↗
of the estimates that makes sense to me
2:44:48
↗
but at at this level I think I think
2:44:51
↗
what we're looking for some type of
2:44:52
↗
policy direction with this granularity
2:44:54
↗
in this type and level of data that we
2:44:57
↗
have right now so so that I think that's
2:45:00
↗
that will happen well we'll get more
2:45:03
↗
rule refined things once we focus in on
2:45:07
↗
a scenario that we want to try to
2:45:08
↗
execute on I'm still in favor of I do
2:45:12
↗
like the idea of using that capacity
2:45:16
↗
that we have and saying we're going to
2:45:19
↗
fund this out of our existing revenues
2:45:21
↗
and we're gonna we're going to figure
2:45:22
↗
out how to make this work and so that
2:45:24
↗
and that so that so that cenario see
2:45:28
↗
that we've already discussed I just want
2:45:31
↗
to reiterate I think that that is I'd
2:45:33
↗
like to see us go on a path and try to
2:45:36
↗
do that and and I think what I heard
2:45:39
↗
that does say there's got to be some
2:45:43
↗
revenue we have to somehow fund a
2:45:47
↗
greater debt obligation and the TBD
2:45:49
↗
still maybe one of the tools for doing
2:45:51
↗
that but not anytime soon
2:45:53
↗
if we follow scenario C any other
2:46:00
↗
comments o deputy council president
2:46:04
↗
batiste
2:46:05
↗
so that this comment may be a little bit
2:46:08
↗
down in the weeds but I'll just go ahead
2:46:10
↗
and talk about it the as we talk about
2:46:15
↗
whether this is for transportation or or
2:46:18
↗
it's going to include other things as
2:46:20
↗
has been talked a little bit about when
2:46:23
↗
we when we look at scenario B and within
2:46:28
↗
the modeling we bring it all the way
2:46:30
↗
down to the 15% reserve line that what
2:46:36
↗
what sticks out to me is
2:46:38
↗
if we're if we're wrapping everything
2:46:40
↗
around transportation and we go all the
2:46:42
↗
way down to that reserve line and then
2:46:45
↗
what about other things that might come
2:46:47
↗
up so just within the modeling it might
2:46:50
↗
there might be the ability to play with
2:46:52
↗
the numbers a little bit so it's not to
2:46:54
↗
being all the way down and scenario B to
2:46:56
↗
the 15 percent reserve line so just a
2:46:59
↗
thought so all for myself a third
2:47:08
↗
comment I think that I want to come back
2:47:16
↗
to this idea that if we know what we
2:47:19
↗
need to do I think that one of the
2:47:22
↗
things we should consider as a council
2:47:24
↗
is whether we go to the public sooner
2:47:28
↗
rather than later I think that on the
2:47:31
↗
last bond I don't think the public
2:47:35
↗
necessarily saw the direct coupling of
2:47:39
↗
what we wanted to do to improve to
2:47:42
↗
improving transportation in and through
2:47:44
↗
the city and I think that if we came up
2:47:47
↗
with a killer package of things that
2:47:51
↗
everybody looked at and said oh yeah
2:47:54
↗
that's gonna make traffic better
2:47:55
↗
tomorrow right
2:47:56
↗
like the roundabout in front of in front
2:48:00
↗
of target makes better banks traffic
2:48:02
↗
better right now right it's better safer
2:48:05
↗
through that area now than it was before
2:48:08
↗
that roundabout was there there's
2:48:10
↗
there's projects like that so I I just
2:48:13
↗
want to I don't want to leave it unsaid
2:48:16
↗
that there's an option going forward
2:48:17
↗
that would be putting together like I
2:48:19
↗
said this killer package of
2:48:20
↗
transportation benefits and putting in
2:48:22
↗
front of the public that I think we you
2:48:27
↗
know we did well on a package that I as
2:48:30
↗
I said had some confusion had an active
2:48:32
↗
no campaign if we had something that the
2:48:34
↗
public thought Janet that's perfect
2:48:36
↗
that's what we need
2:48:38
↗
I think we'd find the other 5% so I
2:48:40
↗
think it needs to stay in the mix in
2:48:42
↗
consideration I also think that before
2:48:44
↗
we did the parks bond and this was what
2:48:48
↗
five years ago something like that we
2:48:51
↗
did some polling to find out priorities
2:48:53
↗
around bonding specifically right and so
2:48:56
↗
when we did the bond and we said five
2:48:59
↗
million of it was going to be for
2:49:00
↗
renovating the pool and five million of
2:49:03
↗
it was going to be for confluence we had
2:49:05
↗
some confidence that there was support
2:49:07
↗
for that in the community and it's one
2:49:08
↗
of the reasons why we just went to the
2:49:09
↗
city we didn't try to create a benefit
2:49:11
↗
district that would include the larger
2:49:14
↗
area because those voters told us to go
2:49:16
↗
pound sand and so I wonder if there's an
2:49:19
↗
opportunity as we move forward to get a
2:49:22
↗
better feel as to the community's
2:49:24
↗
appetite for what they would want to see
2:49:26
↗
potentially bonded out to the public
2:49:29
↗
before deciding what would go into that
2:49:32
↗
quote-unquote killer package so again
2:49:38
↗
other additional comments thoughts going
2:49:43
↗
once
2:49:43
↗
I think twice I guess we don't have to
2:49:46
↗
do it like public comment we don't have
2:49:47
↗
to ask three times with that we are
2:49:49
↗
adjourned thank you very much everyone
2:50:02
↗
you
Approved minutes
Extracted from the next meeting's packet, where this meeting's minutes were approved as a consent-calendar attachment.
Open PDF
Attendance
Council / Members (7)
Mariah Bettise
Stacy Goodman (Arrived at 6:25 PM)
Victoria Hunt
Tola Marts (Mayor Pro Tem)
Bill Ramos
Chris Reh
Paul Winterstein