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City Council Planning, Development & Environment Committee Auto captions

Wednesday, January 3, 2024

6:30 PM · 52m 18s · Council Chambers, 135 E. Sunset Way, Issaquah WA
Topic tracked across meetings:
Comprehensive Plan Update SEPA Scope Review ID 1493 2/2
3. APPROVAL OF MINUTES
3a
Minutes of November 8, 2023
packet pp.5–6
Staff report:
APPROVAL OF MINUTES a) 11-08-23 City Council Planning, Development & Page (1) Environment Committee Minutes CITY OF ISSAQUAH City Council Planning, Development & Environment Committee 6:30 PM Council Chambers, 135 E. November 8, 2023 MINUTES Sunset Way, Issaquah WA
4. AGENDA ITEMS
4a
Comprehensive Plan Update SEPA Scope Review ID 1493
60 min · Stephen Padua, Long Range Planning Manager · packet pp.7–32
Topics: Land Use
Staff report:
The City of Issaquah 2044 Comprehensive Plan update will guide growth over the next 20 years. Every ten years, the City reviews the Comprehensive Plan for periodic updates as required by state law. These updates help the City refine and implement the community vision for how the community will look and function over the next 20 years through 2044. The last major update (Issaquah 2035) was adopted in 2015.
0:05 hello everyone welcome to the Wednesday
0:08 January 3rd 2024 city council Planning
0:11 Development and environment committee
0:13 meeting my name is council member hunt
0:15 and I am here tonight with council
0:17 president Walsh uh council member Zach
0:20 Hall is also a member of this committee
0:21 but he has an excused absence this
0:24 evening um we have multiple public
0:27 comment opportunities tonight um um one
0:30 of them will be uh now before our items
0:34 of business and so at this time I will
0:37 check in I will mention from the record
0:38 that there are no members of the public
0:40 in council chambers this evening and at
0:42 this time I will um check in with the
0:44 city clerk if there are any members of
0:46 the public wishing to make comments um
0:49 in the virtual meeting and if so I will
0:51 uh read some more
0:54 information chair hunt we have one
0:56 virtual attendee but I don't see a hand
0:59 raised uh indicating the desire to
1:01 speak okay um well as a reminder there
1:04 will be another public comment
1:05 opportunity later in the meeting um so
1:07 I'll will also call for public comment
1:09 after that item um the first thing we
1:11 will do is approval of the minutes we
1:13 have minutes from November 8th
1:16 2023 um do we have any corrections or um
1:20 changes to those meeting
1:23 minutes right then um move to approve
1:26 the meeting minutes of November 8th
1:28 please indic indicate saying I I I that
1:32 passes and um thank you now we will get
1:36 to our first and only agenda item which
1:38 is ID 1493 comprehensive Plan update sea
1:42 scope review and this will be presented
1:45 um by long range planning manager
1:47 Stephen P welcome
1:50 Stephen thank you chair hunts a moment
1:52 to pull up my
1:58 slides thank you uh tonight as you said
2:00 we're going to talk about the
2:01 environmental impact statement scoping
2:03 process and take committee members
2:06 feedback on the scoping on on how to
2:08 approach the Eis for the comprehensive
2:10 plan and um potentially get any
2:13 additional topics to analyze as part of
2:15 the EAS as well we have three questions
2:18 for the committee members tonight first
2:20 is are there topics not listed that
2:22 should be addressed in the EAS are there
2:25 additional concerns that should be
2:26 considered as part of the E and are
2:28 there changes to the proposal
2:29 Alternatives that'll be presented uh in
2:32 tonight's meeting that you consider for
2:34 the Eis
2:37 analysis as a little background
2:39 information we I'm going to dive into
2:41 what is the Eis what's it what's the
2:43 requirement behind it and
2:46 what the Eis uh is required by the State
2:50 Environmental Policy Act which is State
2:53 requirement to do environmental analysis
2:55 for government decisions and projects
2:58 that could look at environment
3:00 potential mitigation for imps the
3:03 environmental impact statement which I'm
3:05 calling the Eis tonight describes or
3:08 looks into those um different topics for
3:12 analyzing the envir environmental
3:13 impacts and potential mitigation and
3:16 significant impacts as a result of a
3:19 government decision or
3:22 project the many topics that are
3:24 required to be looked at in the includes
3:27 u a lot of the topics for the
3:29 comprehensive plan in line with the
3:31 elements in the comprehensive plan as
3:32 well as a few additional topics
3:34 including display displacement analysis
3:37 or different types of services that uh
3:40 should be analyzed with growth as the
3:42 different alternatives
3:46 for as required by the state the Eis has
3:51 to go through a scoping period um we
3:54 initiated that scoping period at the end
3:56 of November and it'll end at January 5th
3:59 this Friday we held an open house on
4:02 December 7th at the isqua community
4:04 center and then we also held uh the same
4:07 night the planning policy commission
4:09 discussed the same topic and take public
4:12 comment and then the total uh comments
4:16 that we received was about 25 individual
4:18 comments throughout the openhouse the
4:22 online comments that we receiv received
4:23 and email comments that we received in
4:25 addition to the PPC comments from the
4:28 meeting on the December
4:32 generally the feedback we received is U
4:36 there was some concerns around
4:37 emergencies and preparedness for natural
4:40 disasters as it relates to growth and
4:42 access to resources there is cons
4:44 General concern around affordable
4:46 housing um
4:47 Citywide uh as well as regionally in
4:50 terms of how the city is providing
4:52 affordable housing along with our
4:54 regional Partners H uh traffic again is
4:58 always a concern when when it comes to
5:00 growth there's that we received some
5:03 comments along engineering standards and
5:05 aligning them with uh neighborhood
5:08 need environment is also a big concern
5:11 at the openhouse from the planning
5:13 policy commission as well as emailed
5:15 comments that we received in terms of
5:17 how we are addressing climate change
5:19 with our regional Partners how we're
5:21 addressing environmental justice and
5:24 access as well as considering the city
5:27 should consider higher growth targets as
5:29 part of this
5:35 year just for context our uh City growth
5:39 targets were adopted in 2021 and we use
5:42 our 2019 Baseline numbers
5:45 so in addition to the Baseline numbers
5:50 from for housing of 17,000 we expect or
5:54 have a target of 3500 housing units um
5:58 by 2044 as well as
6:00 7,900 jobs in addition to the 2019
6:03 Baseline by
6:08 2044 now to help us put together the
6:11 different Alternatives we wanted to take
6:12 a look at what's actually going in the
6:15 pipeline now what's been constructed
6:17 what's what's in our permitting process
6:19 what's in the development agreements
6:21 what we see is projected growth uh with
6:23 what we have now to help us determine
6:26 how to better analyze different growth
6:28 alternatives for this Eis and so what
6:31 you can see is what we've seen since
6:33 2019 is we've seen a little over 1100
6:35 housing units constructed in uh the city
6:39 we have 118 housing units currently
6:43 under permit review we also have 360
6:46 housing units under
6:49 construction and then we under our
6:50 development agreements uh we potentially
6:52 have an additional 3500 housing units
6:55 coming in by 2044 and so by 2044 just
6:59 using these Pipeline and and
7:01 construction numbers as well as the
7:02 development agreements we are expecting
7:06 just over 5,000 500 5100 housing units
7:12 2044 oh and one note on the agreements
7:16 so we looked at the development
7:18 agreements for shelter rally and
7:19 Lakeside and then the Tod project which
7:22 isn't necessarily a development
7:23 agreement but we have an agreement with
7:25 County that'll look at additional
7:27 housing units in the regional growth
7:28 Center
7:34 so the Alternatives that we're wanted to
7:36 discuss with the committee
7:38 tonight is in line with what much of
7:40 what we looked at from the pipeline
7:42 numbers in construction as well as what
7:44 was in the development agreements using
7:45 different assumptions so for the first
7:47 alternative alternative a we are looking
7:50 at a total housing growth of 3,500 units
7:54 in the next 20 years this assumes that
7:57 the numbers in the pipeline um are going
7:59 to maintain be maintained everything in
8:02 the uh under review and permits or under
8:05 construction will be maintained but it's
8:07 only assuming partial build out of the
8:08 development agreements and this also
8:11 doesn't assume any additional growth in
8:13 addition to what's in the pipeline now
8:16 and that'll help that'll is what'll get
8:18 us to the growth of
8:21 3500 using that we that means we will
8:24 have majority growth outside of the
8:26 centralis wall U Valley
8:30 and only 40%
8:33 within for alternative B we increase the
8:37 total housing units to
8:38 5,500 and doing that we assume that the
8:41 development agreements will get fully
8:43 built out we also assume that there will
8:45 be um some minor projects within the
8:48 regional growth Center for additional
8:51 housing um but it's still maintains
8:53 majority growth minor majority outside
9:00 and then for the third alternative
9:01 alternative C we increase the total
9:04 housing to 6,800 housing units this also
9:07 assumes the pipe maintains the pipeline
9:10 housing units as well as assumes the
9:12 development agreements get fully built
9:14 out but it also assumes additional
9:16 growth within the regional growth Center
9:18 and the um more growth actually outside
9:20 of the regional growth Center in central
9:24 isapa um but these assumptions get us to
9:27 the majority growth Within well by
9:33 2044 next steps for the E is will be
9:36 bringing or for the comprehensive plan
9:38 we'll be bring the economic Vitality uh
9:40 element draft to this Committee in
9:44 February and then we'll be bringing the
9:46 parks Human Services and cultural
9:48 elements to the services safety Parks
9:51 Council Committee in feary and then the
9:54 expected draft release for the Eis will
9:56 be in second quarter this
9:58 year
9:59 that concludes my presentation I'm
10:01 joined by Mandy Roberts and M entally
10:06 just Mandy Roberts one of her
10:07 Consultants helping us with the Eis
10:09 analysis and she'll help me Feld any
10:15 questions okay thank you um do we have
10:19 any
10:20 questions counil president Wast thank
10:23 you so I had emailed in a few but I just
10:26 want to kind of have some of that
10:27 conversation on
10:29 um record so you mentioned the three
10:34 development agreements and then the to
10:37 project and um can you bring up the
10:40 numbers that are shown for what the
10:44 growth rate yeah so you've got
10:48 3500 and we've had development
10:51 agreements in the past when we've talked
10:52 about comp plans but they've always had
10:54 future end dates um so we haven't known
10:58 when the growth would happen but I had
11:01 asked you when
11:03 the end dates are for each of these and
11:06 you had said 2038 2044 and
11:09 2043 so is there any reason that we
11:13 wouldn't expect to see those
11:16 3500 units be built I mean wouldn't they
11:21 basically be giving up what is their
11:26 right it would it's their right but it's
11:28 also based on the market in terms of
11:30 cost and and viability for the project
11:32 and what they're how how they're going
11:33 to be able to get maximize their profits
11:35 for the project in terms of what's
11:37 feasible for them to be able to develop
11:39 within the time frame of the development
11:40 agreement um so for the purposes of the
11:44 E we wanted to take a conservative
11:46 approach and and just make sure that we
11:48 have the capacity to be able to
11:50 accommodate these projects if they do
11:51 fully build out but typically we don't
11:54 always see these development agreements
11:56 fully build out as they're outlined or
11:59 allowed to do
12:01 within yeah it's interesting because I
12:03 think many of the development agreements
12:05 we've dealt with have been single family
12:07 homes and those have all gotten built
12:09 out in more um but these are slightly
12:12 different scenarios okay um and then I
12:16 kind of asked what so what's the impact
12:20 of choosing to go after smaller versus
12:24 larger Targets in this does are there
12:27 any Li itations that that puts us under
12:30 is what's the financial impact for the
12:33 city how how should we go about
12:35 evaluating those so for the Eis well
12:41 when we are looking at the larger growth
12:42 projections or slightly larger growth
12:46 projections we'll have to analyze any
12:48 potential impacts on our infrastructure
12:50 any potential needs that haven't been
12:52 looked at or any potential significant
12:55 impacts that aren't recognized within
12:57 our CIP and be able to address that if
13:00 that's the projected growth that we want
13:01 to uh plan for and so by a smaller
13:06 growth projection we'll actually be
13:08 looking at what potential mitigation
13:10 projects we don't need versus the larger
13:13 Pro larger projections we'll need to
13:15 look at things that we haven't looked at
13:17 before and so that would be kind of the
13:19 difference of how we're going to be
13:20 analyze them both will come with
13:22 different cost within the Eis analysis
13:25 but we'll be able to um
13:29 but the additional um analysis is going
13:33 to be looked at within the modeling in
13:35 terms of what what can be accommodated
13:37 and I'll go to Mandy Roberts one of our
13:39 Consultants to kind of add to my
13:41 respon thank you Stephen I wasn't sure
13:44 if you could see my hand raised can can
13:46 everyone hear me yes we
13:49 can okay very good yeah I just wanted to
13:52 add in to Stephen's uh explanation which
13:55 was really thorough but just that um
13:58 doing the environmental impact statement
14:00 gives us the opportunity to analyze a a
14:03 reasonable range of Alternatives under
14:06 the State Environmental Policy Act sepa
14:10 and uh so it doesn't necessarily mean
14:11 that any one of these three would be you
14:15 know the exact or ultimate future it but
14:18 it does give us opportunity to analyze
14:20 these three different possibilities and
14:23 through a public document gather
14:25 additional comments on that look at uh
14:28 different impacts to traffic
14:29 Transportation utilities and whatnot so
14:32 it's really just you know wanting to
14:35 brief you on these Alternatives and uh
14:38 get a sense of how you're feeling about
14:39 these for further study so I just want
14:42 to add that in thank
14:47 you okay and I had one other question so
14:52 this is looking at a period of 25 years
14:56 starting back in 2019 um and we've
14:59 obviously already constructed I had had
15:02 asked for the number of average units
15:06 that we have grown over the last 5 years
15:09 and 10 years you said 270 and 287 units
15:13 per year obviously we're in a different
15:15 Financial scenario right now but we
15:18 don't know what the financial scenario
15:19 is going to be within all of these 25
15:22 years um is there a reason we wouldn't
15:25 just assume or try to to predict that we
15:30 will grow at about the same rate or even
15:33 more since there's such a high demand
15:35 for housing going
15:37 forward I think the main reason we' want
15:40 to go for a higher growth alternative is
15:44 that if we do at one point exceed that
15:47 growth that growth projection we would
15:50 need to do another Eis to analyze what
15:53 those impacts might be but if it's
15:55 within the range of what we're
15:57 considering within this Eis
15:59 we don't need to redo it and we actually
16:00 have looked at the environmental impact
16:02 as part of princi well let me clarify
16:05 270 units per year over 25 years is
16:10 6750 which would be toward the high
16:12 range of what we've projected so one of
16:16 the things I'm trying to get at is are
16:18 we maybe looking too low given our past
16:23 growth rate over not just the last 5
16:26 years but the last 10 years and consider
16:28 ing we're looking at more potential
16:31 multifam which is going to be a higher
16:33 number of units per
16:36 acre I'm wondering whether the numbers
16:40 suggest that there could be higher
16:42 numbers coming
16:46 in we can definitely look at a higher
16:48 number for the Eis um there's nothing
16:50 holding us back the main thing is we
16:52 were trying to pull the numbers from
16:54 what we see kind of in our permitting
16:56 process development to kind of get us to
16:58 our projected uh growth
17:03 alternative good evening uh council
17:06 members and any members of the community
17:08 I want to add to that is I would caution
17:10 us taking you know we can analyze a much
17:14 higher uh growth pattern um under the
17:17 state law we only have to plan for
17:20 3500 and that means uh not just the
17:23 planning exercise but are do we have the
17:26 water and the sewer capacity to serve
17:29 these places so we don't want to build
17:30 reservoirs that aren't going to get used
17:33 so so I think um from a planning
17:36 perspective that's the growth targets
17:38 are done with the analysis at a at a
17:41 whole region sub region and then the
17:43 county gets a chair and the cities get
17:45 this share so these forecasting models
17:47 work at that much larger Regional scale
17:50 for each City to determine what your
17:52 growth is going to be we can you know we
17:54 don't control the market some of it will
17:56 be driven by market and such so I would
18:00 caution Council from going even larger
18:03 than 6,800 at this time for for the Eis
18:07 process we we're happy to add that if
18:09 you think we need to explore that option
18:11 um but I think that's almost twice the
18:15 amount of 3500 that the city is
18:18 required okay that was kind of what I
18:20 was trying to pick at with what are the
18:23 pros and cons of choosing High versus
18:26 low and what what it means if we set
18:30 something either too low or too high are
18:34 we and I think your comment about water
18:37 and building towers and all of that
18:39 gives me a sense of hey there could be
18:42 problems if we set something too high
18:45 and like a school district that is
18:48 decreasing in enrollment over build and
18:52 then not have the um housing to deal
18:55 with that thank you that's the end of my
18:57 questions
19:00 and then I do have a hand from uh our
19:02 consultant Mandy if if you don't mind
19:04 her adding into
19:06 respon go ahead Mandy yeah is it is it
19:09 is it okay if I tag on thanks Stephen I
19:12 just wanted to reiterate I believe you
19:14 said it earlier but um cities are
19:17 required to update their conference of
19:18 plans every 10 years and so that will be
19:22 another opportunity you know the city
19:24 will be monitoring what growth happens
19:27 over the next 10 years years and
19:29 approaching that timeline um things can
19:32 be adjusted at that point if it looks
19:34 like you're going to you know exceed
19:37 your 20year targets so that's just sort
19:40 of a a stop fail I guess or a stop Gap
19:43 that has built into the process that
19:45 every 10 years we take a fresh look at
19:47 this so just want to mention that
19:55 too okay great thank you um um well I
19:59 had a very similar question we had a
20:01 comment from um the community meetings
20:04 that was uh the suggestion that we
20:08 should consider higher growth
20:10 targets um I don't think I fully
20:15 understand the answer because if we
20:18 there we're considering
20:20 Alternatives um those alternatives are
20:22 not as was stated earlier none of them
20:24 are going to be exactly what ends up
20:26 happening so if we have an Alterna ative
20:29 larger population wise than growth-wise
20:32 than what ends up happening in the
20:34 future that doesn't mean that we
20:36 necessarily build out the infrastructure
20:38 to support that alternative that
20:40 doesn't happen so I'm not I'm not sure
20:43 that I understood your concern about
20:46 choosing one alternative that is higher
20:47 than our Target my understanding right
20:49 now is we don't have any alternatives
20:51 that we're considering higher than our
20:54 Target yeah I I think what I was getting
20:57 at is is you know for transportation
20:59 model update I mean that's a pretty
21:01 expensive study for the city to
21:02 undertake if our assumptions are really
21:05 high we'll be spending a lot of planning
21:07 exercise for the trips that may or may
21:09 not be the reality so I think ground so
21:14 that was one one piece um so planning
21:17 for infrastructure for this larger
21:19 growth alternative we have to pick an
21:21 alternative uh we can analyze the three
21:24 but we're going to have a preferred
21:25 alternative for our comp plan is that
21:28 correct Mandy or Stephen through this
21:34 exercise usually uh if I could speak to
21:37 that usually we go through the analysis
21:40 process and gather public and agency
21:42 comments on the Eis and then the city
21:45 will um choose a preferred direction to
21:47 be reflected in in the comprehensive
21:50 plan yeah so for the initial stage if
21:53 you want us to explore a much higher
21:56 growth we you know we can do it
21:58 but at the end of the day the preferred
22:01 um selected option the city has to use
22:04 the that that those studies and Analysis
22:06 to plan for that infrastructure to be in
22:09 place if that growth comes our
22:13 way and I would I would just add correct
22:15 me if I'm wrong Stephen but um I believe
22:19 two two of the alternatives are higher
22:23 than are the targets that were required
22:26 to plan for it's
22:29 um is that correct in housing un anyway
22:33 yes that's correct yeah okay yeah so we
22:37 already are looking at higher than than
22:39 the targets we've been allocated by the
22:41 region and we and we think that's a
22:43 healthy reasonable thing to do given the
22:45 growth trends that as um was mentioned
22:49 earlier so yeah okay thank you yeah
22:52 there's a sentence here which um is Al
22:55 all alternative Alternatives consider
22:57 the central
22:58 e and do not exceed the preferred
23:00 alternative so um I think that was where
23:03 was uh thinking that was the target but
23:06 it's the preferred alternative
23:08 apparently um
23:11 okay so we're we're already assuming
23:13 that the preferred alternative we
23:15 already have an assumed preferred
23:18 alternative for centralis CLA yes okay
23:22 when the central scull plan was
23:23 developed it had its own Eis conducted
23:25 and so the preferred alternative was
23:27 closer to about 8,500 units for Central
23:35 okay and and realistically then for the
23:38 Alternatives that we're considering we
23:39 don't think there's value to going
23:42 higher than at this time now okay um
23:46 okay then my other question is there
23:48 were a number of comments from the
23:51 community about different um topics that
23:56 they uh were interested in making sure
23:58 we're represented you had a slide on
24:00 that earlier um do you uh by by your
24:05 perceptions do you think that all of
24:07 those items would be incorporated into
24:10 the comp plan process and the Eis um or
24:14 are there things here that are not uh
24:17 are not part of the Eis but that could
24:20 be I think for the most part A lot of
24:22 these will be considered uh to an extent
24:24 as part of the Eis but to fully address
24:27 a lot of these topics they're going to
24:28 be need to be considered within the
24:30 functional plans for those specific
24:32 topics um a lot of them are at least the
24:35 responses to some of these are going to
24:37 require a little more detail than what
24:39 we normally would look at for the E for
24:41 the comprehensive plan we primarily are
24:43 trying to look at the infrastructure
24:45 needs be behind a lot of it more so than
24:48 how we're going to achieve a lot of the
24:50 detailed
24:54 Ben okay um just looking at this list
24:59 and I did read um the the detailed
25:02 comments and it seems like there was a
25:03 lot of really good discussion which is
25:05 part of I am um trying to clarify if
25:08 this will be incorporated um so the one
25:12 aligning standards with neighborhoods
25:14 that does seem like that's potentially
25:16 something that would be in the comp plan
25:17 but not in the um Eis and then the other
25:21 one the consider higher targets we
25:22 already talked about that one but the
25:23 other ones on this list too is that fair
25:26 yes yeah uh
25:28 particularly the alignment standards
25:29 with neighborhoods we we kind of looked
25:31 at that as in terms of looking at our
25:33 development standards alignment with the
25:34 comprehensive plan so that is something
25:36 we do will look at as part of the as but
25:38 the specific needs for specific
25:41 standards for each neighborhood is not
25:44 something but is is part of comp plan in
25:47 general correct yeah okay um my last
25:50 question is about the
25:52 emergency planning um how does that
25:57 factor in and how do we factor in that
26:01 in combination with climate
26:03 change I have Mandy jump in on um
26:07 responding to this
26:10 question okay and when you're uh
26:12 speaking about emergencies are you
26:14 specifically speaking about emergency
26:16 shelter Provisions that will be required
26:19 to meet or more climate
26:24 resiliency I am think thinking of all
26:29 manner of disaster preparedness okay
26:33 okay so in a couple of ways one um the
26:38 county has allocated to all the cities
26:41 within the county um different levels of
26:44 Sheltering that need to be provided so
26:46 numbers of shelter units in each
26:49 community that need to be provided for
26:52 different different purposes um and so
26:55 we'll be analyzing those that are
26:57 required for isqua and how those might
27:00 be met and it can be you know that
27:03 hotels can be converted for that purpose
27:07 um so there's just some state
27:08 requirements that we need to make sure
27:10 we're um our zoning uh supports and
27:13 aligns with on human
27:15 Sheltering and that's kind of also
27:18 pertinent when we look at different
27:20 affordability levels of housing we'll be
27:23 looking at that on the income bands
27:26 analysis um in quat will be looking to
27:28 make sure that their um that housing
27:32 Supply over time will help to meet the
27:35 different demands within income levels
27:38 so the shelters is kind of part of that
27:40 analysis too the units related to um
27:44 permanent and temporary shelter and then
27:47 um there is a new State Law related to
27:51 clim planning for climate and resiliency
27:54 it actually um won't require isqua to do
27:59 detailed planning right away it's I
28:02 believe it's
28:03 2029 if I'm remembering it right Stephen
28:07 but what what we are going to do is
28:09 start thinking about that now with this
28:10 comp plan update and be ready with some
28:13 kind of early policy planning to move
28:16 forward um in Earnest when we're
28:19 required to to do that at the next comp
28:21 plan update um so we can I I want to
28:26 research that a little bit more on the
28:28 dates and what's required but we can
28:29 bring that back at a future meeting for
28:31 you but that would be planning for all
28:34 manner of things related to climate
28:36 change um as part of you know protecting
28:40 and serving the
28:47 community okay um thank you and I
28:52 believe there were also comments on
28:55 schools and um School school capacity
28:58 from the community um how is that
29:00 factored in so uh schools are considered
29:03 part of the Public Services but uh
29:06 because of how our state mandates uh
29:10 School planning it will look at at a
29:12 very high level but it's more of the
29:14 coordination of schools that the city
29:16 actually has control over and so that's
29:18 some of the component we'll be looking
29:25 with okay thank you
29:28 council president thanks um when we are
29:33 looking at the proposed growth
29:35 Alternatives it sounds like we're not
29:39 just choosing a number based on what we
29:42 think is going to happen or anything
29:43 like that we're also in some ways
29:48 choosing where that growth is going to
29:52 happen because I assume you need that in
29:54 order to study to do the transportation
29:56 analysis is and all of those
30:00 things um okay just kind of making sure
30:04 that I'm hitting the right concept there
30:07 yes that's correct it's it's helping us
30:09 kind of develop our assumptions of how
30:11 that growth will happen with the city
30:13 that'll help us look at the models it a
30:15 little differently within each
30:16 alternative okay and then um is
30:23 there in the urbanist minds whoops sorry
30:26 mindset in community there's been a lot
30:28 more conversation toward um mixed use
30:32 and creating areas where people don't
30:35 have to take their car and drive across
30:38 town to get groceries or any of that it
30:42 I assume we can't study a concept like
30:47 that in an Eis and have that
30:49 affect
30:52 our results here because it would
30:54 obviously affect transportation and all
30:55 of that because we haven't zoned
30:57 owned necessarily that as a
31:03 requirement is that
31:05 correct yes within our traffic model
31:08 itself it actually does make an
31:09 assumption on how many within the growth
31:12 that we're assuming for like Central
31:14 esqua what percentage of that is
31:16 actually going to be turned into vehicle
31:18 trips versus multimodal trips and so
31:20 that is kind of accommodated a little
31:21 bit within our traffic model already but
31:24 beyond that it doesn't make any
31:26 additional okay and there's no way
31:29 to push that higher the multimodal
31:33 higher in this analysis because it would
31:37 require the assumption that we've made
31:39 some sort of land use change that would
31:42 enable that type of scenario either
31:44 vertical mixed use or requiring you know
31:48 we yes we we could make that assumptions
31:51 but then we would look at what
31:52 regulatory needs to be accommodated okay
31:56 yeah good thank
32:05 you okay um so this is not something
32:08 that you're asking for feedback for but
32:11 um I am
32:13 wondering after you do the analysis what
32:16 do you look at for which one you
32:19 determine is the preferred and is there
32:21 a policy conversation around that at a
32:24 later stage at a later time we'll have a
32:26 policy discussion about which one will
32:28 be our
32:30 preferred okay um great I think I think
32:33 that was my last question do you have
32:34 any more questions no okay um great so
32:38 at this point um we will check in with
32:40 public comment in case there are any
32:42 members of the public that are wishing
32:43 to um give a comment on this item I will
32:46 mention again there's nobody in council
32:48 chambers uh city clerk is there anyone
32:50 online that might wish to make a
32:54 comment chair hunt we have uh
32:57 one uh virtual attendees still but I I
33:00 see no indication that they wish to
33:02 speak at this time
33:05 okay I'll just give
33:13 minute okay um all right then we will
33:17 move into our discussion and um I think
33:20 it would be helpful if you could put the
33:22 uh questions that you want us to give
33:24 feedback on um in the presentation
33:29 um the first one is are there topics not
33:31 listed that should be addressed in the E
33:36 analysis president was sure I I think
33:40 the concept of multimodal Transit and
33:45 kind of how like I was kind of trying to
33:49 hint at I think when I'm looking at this
33:53 concept for the next 25 years I do think
33:57 that other than our development
33:58 agreements we're going to see a lot more
34:00 of our development happen in the central
34:04 isqua area so part of that I think
34:09 necessitates this concept of more
34:12 multimodal and how that affects um our
34:16 transportation grid our Transit usage um
34:20 and all of those areas so I would be
34:22 very interested to
34:24 see particularly
34:27 if we look at some of these Alternatives
34:30 and say okay one of these is going to be
34:32 more Suburban one of these is going to
34:35 be more centralis C focused what are the
34:38 differences we see between them because
34:41 I think that's a important concept um as
34:44 we're studying each
34:49 option okay great um my thought on this
34:53 one is um I understand that the school
34:57 capacity is um interrelated but not not
35:02 exactly part of this analysis uh I do
35:04 think it's very important to work
35:06 closely with the schools to be
35:08 communicating with them about what our
35:10 growth projections are and what that
35:12 means for housing and where we think
35:14 that housing is going to be so that it
35:15 helps them do their planning because I
35:17 know they're very invested in making
35:19 sure that um there's adequate capacity
35:23 for for schools um and to be a good
35:26 partner to them that communication is
35:28 super important um the other thing on
35:31 this uh not it was listed but um just to
35:37 put a finer point on it I do think we're
35:40 increasingly in a um part of the country
35:44 that is at risk for things like wildfire
35:47 um due to climate change we've seen our
35:49 our risk of that increase and we have
35:51 neighborhoods that are at the wildlands
35:53 urban interface um so I would like to uh
35:58 consider and this seems like a good
36:00 vehicle for considering this consider
36:02 the um
36:04 evacuation routes the capacity we have
36:07 for making sure that people um are able
36:10 to um respond and that we have a
36:12 resilient community in the case of those
36:15 um climate disasters
36:18 that the reality is we are increasingly
36:20 at risk for with climate change um so I
36:22 think that would be good to get more
36:24 information on and I know earlier in the
36:25 meeting um you mentioned that you would
36:28 look into into that and what those
36:29 planning are but that would be something
36:31 I would
36:33 add
36:35 um have any else on that one no okay
36:39 second one um well first I'll just check
36:42 in do you have what you need on on that
36:45 yes I do great okay the second one is
36:47 are there additional concerns that
36:51 should be considered as part of this Eis
36:55 analysis
36:58 I'm not sure I understand the difference
36:59 between concerns and topics um is there
37:02 some specific type of feedback you're
37:04 looking for there it was more on the how
37:06 the Eis was being conducted more so than
37:08 the topics um is there something that
37:11 we're just not looking at is in terms of
37:14 how we're
37:15 collecting public engagement for the Eis
37:18 scoping is it is there concerns on how
37:21 we're going to be analyzing or something
37:24 that we're not analyzing as part of the
37:25 Eis it's it's there is overlap between
37:28 the two questions but it was more
37:29 focused on the the Eis as a whole okay I
37:33 don't think I have anything additional
37:35 there I I also don't have anything
37:38 additional there um and then are there
37:40 changes to the proposed
37:47 Alternatives so my I I think I've hit on
37:51 it several times is just I want to be
37:53 prepared for whatever potential growth
37:56 we're looking at um particularly as we
38:01 look at these different Ami um growth
38:04 levels and the um potentially smaller
38:09 units that could come in as a result of
38:12 that um so I think if I'm looking at the
38:18 various
38:21 Alternatives I'd like to
38:25 see maybe something in between B and
38:33 that assumes more of the growth within
38:37 Central isqua I think it's as much as
38:41 we're going to redo this in another 10
38:44 years and so the scope of Transit um as
38:48 a light rail station comes after that if
38:50 we are truly looking at this 25e period
38:54 I would assume that we're going to see
38:57 growth toward the end of that
38:59 particularly in the central isqua area
39:02 around a transit station and so if we're
39:05 kind of looking at what our long-term
39:08 Future Vision for the city
39:12 is I really think that should be more of
39:17 the concept um that we're looking at I
39:20 also think that we should assume pretty
39:23 standard that we're going to see full
39:25 buildout of the velopment agreements
39:27 particularly because we've seen lots of
39:30 action with shelter and Lakeside
39:33 recently and we have quite a bit of
39:36 control over the to project I think all
39:40 of those in
39:41 combination plus our
39:44 270 units average um annually leads me
39:48 toward this concept that I think we're
39:50 likely closer on the beta c um
39:53 Alternatives and more toward um Central
39:58 esqua so that's where my mindset
40:05 goes just for a quick clarification um
40:09 alternative C does a it it does assume
40:12 all the pipeline projects full build out
40:14 of all the Das and significant growth
40:18 primarily just in central isapa are you
40:21 asking to increase that total number a
40:23 little more so we have more growth in
40:24 central or the concept of c c probably
40:29 might be uh closer to what you're
40:32 looking
40:34 for I think I'd probably have to math
40:36 that out because I know some of the
40:39 development agreements actually yeah
40:41 most all of the development Agreements
40:43 are outside of Central isqua so is the
40:47 45% of that
40:50 6800 basically just
40:54 the external development agreement plus
40:57 some House Bill
40:59 1110 type of
41:03 growth it's about 1,300 units in the
41:05 regional growth Center and then 700 in
41:08 the rest of central is what it
41:10 assumes so that two total about two thou
41:14 wait sorry 2500 in regional growth
41:17 Center and uh 1,00 in the rest of
41:20 central which is uh 400 more than what's
41:24 in the pipeline for the rest of Central
41:27 and about a thousand more in the
41:31 regional growth
41:33 Center okay yeah I think what you're
41:36 getting at there is C is probably more
41:39 what I think would happen over a 25y
41:41 year time period okay um I just don't
41:45 know if B is maybe what I'm looking at
41:49 there is I think it should be a little
41:51 bit more um in central isqua
41:57 okay I don't know what your thoughts
42:04 are when you were developing this list
42:06 were there other Alternatives that you
42:09 thought through but then decided not to
42:11 do or was this pretty much the list that
42:13 came to mind of likely scenarios we
42:15 considered all other Alternatives we
42:17 considered um an alternative where
42:19 growth you know the 20-year growth for
42:21 like B happened within 10 years instead
42:23 of 20 years we also considered a higher
42:26 Alternatives but we didn't want to to to
42:29 Minnie's point we didn't want to sway
42:30 too far above what we already have in
42:33 the pipeline just because we'll be
42:35 looking at projects that we have no idea
42:38 whether they going to happen whether we
42:40 know within the Das and what's in the
42:42 pipeline they're likely going to happen
42:45 just we need to stay within that
42:47 ballpark I think all three alternatives
42:50 are going to assume House Bill 1110
42:53 growth so that's already factored in in
42:55 all three of them because you know but
42:58 how much you don't know uh the other
43:01 thing I think the the the city's
43:03 planning efforts with Central isqua are
43:06 great we want all the energy to be
43:08 focused on the planning for that to
43:11 become real uh it's a matter of time so
43:15 this is a 20-year growth when light
43:18 Trail comes maybe with the next cycle of
43:20 the comp plan updates that becomes more
43:22 of a you know consc that that the
43:25 numbers would skew more toward Central
43:28 perhaps that time I think the numbers
43:31 because of these larger Das really make
43:33 it look like there's growth happening
43:35 outside Central but it's majority of it
43:38 is you know concentrated in one or two
43:40 areas um because of the larger sites and
43:43 and the
43:44 Das um I think in all of them the
43:47 Assumption still is 45% of 3500 is a is
43:51 a lot of units will still are being
43:54 assumed in the central
44:02 okay I was just looking for this but do
44:04 you do you know what the P um the the
44:09 estimated impact of 1110 is is supposed
44:12 to be I I've read that it will be modest
44:16 that's why I'm
44:17 asking Mandy could you speak to um what
44:20 you're seeing in other cities in terms
44:22 of what they're assuming from impacts
44:23 from hpit 1110 that's yes that is a
44:27 question that is on everyone's mind and
44:30 um we have um some subc Consultants who
44:33 will actually be supporting some of the
44:36 work here in isqua as well who are
44:37 who've been studying that and looking at
44:40 Trends in other communities that have um
44:45 increased single family densities and
44:47 added Adu um cap capabilities um it what
44:52 we're hearing and we'll be kind of
44:55 looking at this more specifically for
44:57 isqua but over a 20year
45:00 period it's it you know what communities
45:02 are typically seeing is about a two to
45:05 5% increase which is
45:08 not you know which is not substantial um
45:12 in in specifically single family units
45:15 in single family zoned areas and there
45:17 are areas of zoning that are exempt um
45:21 for example um plats and subdivisions
45:25 and master PL communities that have ccnr
45:28 that specifically prohibit more than one
45:30 unit per lot or adus those would all be
45:35 exempt areas from the house bill 1110
45:39 legislation so it is really expected and
45:42 I know isqua has a lot of um a lot of
45:45 places that have regulations like that
45:48 um critical areas is another thing that
45:50 tends to constrain the the possibility
45:53 of increasing density on single family
45:56 loss so we'll be taking a closer look at
45:58 that but I think as you characterized it
46:01 it's not expected to be highly
46:04 impactful um to a community like yours
46:07 over the next 20 years but definitely
46:09 something we need to think about and
46:10 plan for and um to the extent kind of
46:13 think about just the design and how
46:16 those those types of um integrating of
46:20 single family units into um into
46:24 subdivisions can look and how it should
46:26 fit into the to the um look and uh
46:30 character of each neighborhood aesthetic
46:32 character of each neighborhood is
46:34 important too so yeah hopefully that
46:37 helped answer your
46:41 question council
46:43 president thanks um director dely wall
46:46 you said something like this concept of
46:49 yes in 10 years when we do the next comp
46:51 plan we'll have a little bit more
46:53 certainty about Transit and Light Rail
46:58 and what type of development will happen
46:59 out of there how how should I think
47:02 about choosing an alternative if this is
47:06 supposed to be for a 25-year comp
47:08 plan when we really only have a lot more
47:12 certainty about the next 5 to 10 years
47:15 do we short that number or does it make
47:19 sense to really go after the full
47:21 25 and potentially
47:24 overbuild well we have to plan for
47:28 2024 20 you know for the TW it's a
47:30 20-year plan so it is a long range look
47:34 at whe are we prepared to address with
47:37 our infrastructure with all of these
47:39 things that we have in place for this
47:41 amount of growth to come in and that's
47:43 the 3500 number uh beyond that it's up
47:48 to us when we for for you all to see we
47:51 know this is you know this is looking
47:53 more like a reality and we think it's
47:56 worth spending uh the city's money to do
47:59 these this these analysis for traffic
48:01 for utilities and plan for in that area
48:05 now um with the way the numbers are you
48:08 know the pipeline projects that Stephen
48:10 shared those are the Das and and things
48:13 like that the stuff along uh Central the
48:16 city's already done the planning for it
48:18 you know we since
48:20 2013 uh so if the growth were to happen
48:23 we have a planned action sea already
48:25 done for Central isqua so and and it's a
48:28 designated growth Center so we do want
48:30 to recognize some of the the planning
48:32 effort that the city has done in the
48:34 past and anticipate that it will come
48:37 it's a matter of time when that happens
48:40 we're making an assumption that it will
48:42 get started by 2024 2044 will have some
48:47 of that how much is sort
48:50 of uh the part that we we're trying to
48:53 be realistic about it and uh um and yet
48:57 have the the capacity exists whether the
49:00 market will deliver it at this point at
49:03 what point will we start seeing that
49:04 growth projection those are all some of
49:06 the assumptions factored into all of the
49:09 Alternatives but you know what we can
49:11 add another alternative uh if Council
49:14 desires we're happy to make a fourth
49:16 alternative uh it can based on your
49:19 feedback today we can consider
49:22 um that as
49:24 well
49:26 no I I think I'm just kind of getting my
49:28 mind around why we choose one versus the
49:32 other I think um first of all knowing
49:35 that we're going to do another study in
49:37 10 years and so if we're off um we're
49:41 not affecting our any of our ability to
49:45 get at some of these things because the
49:47 areas that we're going to be off are
49:48 going to be in the latter 10 years of
49:51 this concept um and then knowing that
49:55 all of these are just Alternatives that
49:57 we study as Concepts so that we can be
50:00 prepared for any of the utility work or
50:03 any of those things um but that we also
50:07 do that based on what's the pipeline of
50:09 Development coming in in actuality as
50:12 well um I I actually feel pretty
50:15 comfortable with these having talked
50:17 through um those options especially
50:19 knowing that we've already done the AIS
50:22 Eis for Central isqua because of the
50:24 growth
50:26 um area so thank
50:30 you okay um I I also think that there's
50:33 been you thought and Analysis and
50:35 consideration of other Alternatives um
50:38 and and reasons why those other
50:40 Alternatives didn't make the final list
50:41 so um I'm I'm good with the list um on
50:46 the HB 1110 um because there is uh
50:51 because there is um sometimes
50:54 information about that in the community
50:56 I do think it's important to to give a a
50:59 estimate with numbers behind it about
51:01 what we expect that impact to be um I
51:03 think it was mentioned 2% or so um and
51:06 so it's expected to be a small uh impact
51:09 on those neighborhoods that are outside
51:12 of the central squa area so since
51:14 there's um discussion on that I wanted
51:16 to make sure that we did clarify that
51:18 those are the estimates there's also I I
51:21 found there's
51:22 psrc um estimates that they've done
51:24 about the impact and um like I said I I
51:28 think it's it's very modest even in the
51:31 high scenarios what they expect that um
51:34 those bills do do it is does give land
51:38 owners more ability to make decisions
51:41 that would add adus for example but um
51:44 again modest overall impact in the big
51:46 scheme of where we expect growth to
51:48 be um like I said I think that the
51:51 proposed alternatives are are good and I
51:53 think thought went into it and I'm um
51:56 I'm satisfied with that is there
51:57 anything else that we want to give
51:59 feedback on do you have what you need we
52:02 dok okay great um then with that that is
52:06 our only item of business so do we have
52:08 any announcements there are no
52:10 announcements and with that this meeting
52:12 is adjourned at 7:22 p.m. thank you
52:14 everyone good
52:15 night